MaineJayhawk Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:57 AM, SnowMan said: GFS starts in???? The pertinent panels would be prob'ly just before 11:00 I'd guess. And though I know they'll be south of ACK, I need to see them, so I'll be joining in on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Looks like the max from my area into sw ME is cf attributed on the NAM.....I agree that there would be a max RELATIVE to ene, but not as compared to w ne. I agree with Ryan that qpf is too heavy in the east if this were to play out and it's underdone in GC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:01 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like the max from my area into sw ME is cf attributed on the NAM.....I agree that there would be a max RELATIVE to ene, but not as compared to w ne. I agree with Ryan that qpf is too heavy in the east if this were to play out and it's underdone in GC. Yeah verbatim you'd expect a GC/Litchfield Hills jackpot in this track. But since it's probably too far west it's not that important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:00 AM, MaineJayhawk said: The pertinent panels would be prob'ly just before 11:00 I'd guess. And though I know they'll be south of ACK, I need to see them, so I'll be joining in on it. Yeah, Need to see if you go to sleep counting snowflakes or counting storm whiffs........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:58 AM, cpickett79 said: i see why your saying that but reading john's post's earlier give it credence. BTW Ray i owe u 20$ At the gtg. He made valid points, but whatever validity the NAM held has been negated by it's wild swings imo......I'm also still hedging WEST of the globals by hedging on a track near ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattdWX Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I am sticking with a GFS, EURO compromise until the NAM is within 48 hours...thats all I am saying right now...mark my words this storm does not come that far inland, just going by educated gut haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:57 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll bet on every other piece of guidance....call me crazy, but..... Who knows it could all come in the same. The RGEM doesn't look all that much different early on...but it's been 42-48 where the nam has gone off the rails most of the time. Here's a question for the pros. Where is all the vorticity coming from on the NAM at 500 between 42-54. I mean it just goes epic nuts from N.S to N.D over a couple of thousand miles. I can't recall ever seeing that in my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:56 AM, PWMan said: Will be looking for that verbiage in the next GYX AFD..... No one reads those anyways... now the BOX one on the other hand... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 We see some SCREAMING SE/E winds between about 875-700mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:06 AM, ericnh said: latest from wcvb mike wankum from boston I like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeVries Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:07 AM, MaineJayhawk said: You've gotta believe that's what's gonna happen. Crap in The Valley with big stuff around NYC and BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:07 AM, MaineJayhawk said: There is my 18" of snow Too bad the run is wrong on a multitude of levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:06 AM, ericnh said: Personally I feel it's ridiculous for them to be issuing a map like that over 48 hours out from go time. At least wait until the overnight global's come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Well the NAM is further north with the heavy stuff compared to every SREF member and most of these are great CNE hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:58 AM, cpickett79 said: i see why your saying that but reading john's post's earlier give it credence. BTW Ray i owe u 20$ At the gtg. Maybe but one man's opinion over a totally different run is silly to simply ride without thinking it through. Just because we never had a "ku" during a strong Nina didn't preclude one 2 weeks ago which dumped a foot on Philly, 2 feet on NYC, and 18 inches on Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I agree. Especially with all the misses as of late. On 1/10/2011 at 3:09 AM, Happy Valley said: Personally I feel it's ridiculous for them to be issuing a map like that over 48 hours out from go time. At least wait until the overnight global's come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:08 AM, DeVries said: You've gotta believe that's what's gonna happen. Crap in The Valley with big stuff around NYC and BOS. Wouldn't exactly call that "crap" in the valley. I would take that on top of what we had this w/e. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:06 AM, ericnh said: latest from wcvb mike wankum from boston I like it It's before any of tonight's runs...was posted hours ago here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'm gonna bang the SREFs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:11 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm gonna bang the SREFs. Use protection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 RGEM does not agree with NAM.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:11 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm gonna bang the SREFs. I doubt you're the only one...SREF gangbang tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 btw....we may start getting some runs beginning tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:11 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm gonna bang the SREFs. That would make sense at this juncture. Should I stay up for the GFS?... nah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:13 AM, weathafella said: RGEM does not agree with NAM.... Of course it doesnt that's last nights! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattdWX Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 this has been posted on here before, but for anyone who wants to see an awesome analogs page for winter storms...keep in mind this is based on the GFS model only but its an awesome tool and a great way to learn about these storm http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/analog.php CIPS analogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:15 AM, messenger said: Of course it doesnt that's last nights! Nope.....48hours from tonight's init is 0Z Wed 12 Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 AWESOME...can't wait Love the look of the skew-t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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