Steve Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 Snow looks south..tell me it is going to move NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Snow looks south..tell me it is going to move NE 00z nam is right on track, as well as the short range models... should be fine all models show when it gets to the OH/IN border if fills into northern parts of OH pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 00z nam is right on track, as well as the short range models... should be fine all models show when it gets to the OH/IN border if fills into northern parts of OH pretty good. So whatcha think Buckeye..I have a gut feeling this will be our best snow so far this winter!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 So whatcha think Buckeye..I have a gut feeling this will be our best snow so far this winter!! we're in the sweet spot.....the question is how sweet the spot will be. It's a fast mover but hopefully some good ratios. I think i was too high with my morning calls...but i'd say 60% chance of greater than 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 we're in the sweet spot.....the question is how sweet the spot will be. It's a fast mover but hopefully some good ratios. I think i was too high with my morning calls...but i'd say 60% chance of greater than 3" I will take several of these 3-6 inch snows,rather then one 12 inch snow!! Also i lost our private thread..could i get invited again please..Have no clue where it went. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 One thing is for sure, no matter how much we get its not going anywhere anytime soon....and we might possibly add to it early next week. BTW, I hope your call this morning is closer to what we will get buckeye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 00z nam is right on track, as well as the short range models... should be fine all models show when it gets to the OH/IN border if fills into northern parts of OH pretty good. yea, I agree with all of this, the only problem is that here is some data from the 0z nam.. CMH .21 ZZV .20 CVG .24 MFD .18 Not very impressive. I agree with JAY, 3" max.. You cant rely on ratio's so I may change my map from 3-5 to 2-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 yea, I agree with all of this, the only problem is that here is some data from the 0z nam.. CMH .21 ZZV .20 CVG .24 MFD .18 Not very impressive. I agree with JAY, 3" max.. You cant rely on ratio's so I may change my map from 3-5 to 2-3 definitely a disturbing trend here in the final hours of the model. rgem definitely coming in drier...sref...and as you show, the nam. hmmmm, will be interesting to see what happens. Guess we'll know tomorrow at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Yea, towel is in hand. Rgem means the ggem will be weaker as well.. Euro really isnt a late round model.. RUC and WRF would probably be the best 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 out to 18 on the GFS, not looking too promising. Appears that is going to be south of I-70 with the good stuff, need to see about 2 more frames to see how this is gonna go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maumee Bay Turf Center Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 dilly are you a professional met? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 dilly are you a professional met? Negative, but dont have to be to see obvious.. Didnt you ask me yesterday if I was jhamps? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maumee Bay Turf Center Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 :whistle:your verbage reminded me of a young lad from flora....mistake on my part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Lol its cool. Good news. Looks like .30 or near for most of central OH.. .38 for cincinnati Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 If the gfs verified someone in central ohio would see 6-8" north of the 540 line someone will see 20 to 30:1 ratios. That's what jb says anyways Just went and looked he said north of the 540 line and I went and checked and the 540 line is in southern ohio, so at least we'd be north of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 Lol its cool. Good news. Looks like .30 or near for most of central OH.. .38 for cincinnati With ngood ratios..5-6 inches not out of the question!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 With ngood ratios..5-6 inches not out of the question!! Yea problem is, take your pic of which model will be right wrt the qpf lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 :whistle:your verbage reminded me of a young lad from flora....mistake on my part Snow Patrol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Snow Patrol? No jhamps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 No jhamps. No I meant maumee bay turf is Snow Patrol from Eastern. Remember, he took a certain liking to jhamps over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Buckeye chime in on this. The way I see this storm, it it weakens as it reaches Ohio, and then starts to restrengthen as it comes through. Odds of it not losing its power? And if it does odds of regaining it in time to give a good snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 No I mean maumee bay turf is Snow Patrol from Eastern. Remember, he took a certain liking to jhamps over there. No I don't remember but I believe he did say he was snow patrol last night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Is this the new storm thread now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Buckeye chime in on this. The way I see this storm, it it weakens as it reaches Ohio, and then starts to restrengthen as it comes through. Odds of it not losing its power? And if it does odds of regaining it in time to give a good snowfall? meh, gfs held serve. ruc is good. sref and rgem are drier. All in all its nowcast. I'd probably lower my totals by an inch which still puts us around 4 or so. Radar looks fine, models bring it thru southern half of IN then builds it north in ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 btw, Jb said heaviest snow ratio/wise should follow the 526 gradient. That's pretty much along the i-70 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 btw, Jb said heaviest snow ratio/wise should follow the 526 gradient. That's pretty much along the i-70 corridor. not in his big dog video EDIT: it wasnt 540 or 526.. LOL it's 528. That is the arctic thickness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 not in his big dog video EDIT: it wasnt 540 or 526.. LOL it's 528. That is the arctic thickness. i was closer i knew it was 20 something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 looks like interesting times ahead here. tomorrow, then small clipper saturday, then ????!!!!!!????? mon-wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 looks like interesting times ahead here. tomorrow, then small clipper saturday, then ????!!!!!!????? mon-wed yea, at least something to track, but if this turns out to be a dud, I may not even watch the other two until 24hrs out lol.. I think we need to get obs and see how it has performed so far. No clue where people get the obs though. I know some places in MO got a foot, I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 EURO says this CMH .30 ZZV .33 CVG .36 ILN .34 CLE .19 PIT .33 VTA(newark) .31 MFD .23 850 temps during that time between -11 and -13 2m temps between -4 and -7 Between .30 - .35 would equate to 6-7" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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