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Ohio And Surronding states...(WVA,KY,PA,IN,MI) Part 2


Steve

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I'm starting to wonder if March 11th will be CLE's last inch of snow this winter. It would be the 8th earliest on record. Still plenty of time yet through April and a slight chance later in the week however.

Dayton and Columbus will probably end up below normal for the season. One of the few spots in the US.

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I'm starting to wonder if March 11th will be CLE's last inch of snow this winter. It would be the 8th earliest on record. Still plenty of time yet through April and a slight chance later in the week however.

Dayton and Columbus will probably end up below normal for the season. One of the few spots in the US.

It is snowing harder here than it has in about 2 months! Almost white out. Unreal! High winds too. Why oh why could this not be January?

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Definitely over performing. Roads are now snow covered.

It was snowing quite hard during my commute home. It's kind of fun driving through 1/4 mile visibilities with heavy snow while the roads are just wet.

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Wow, this snow came out of no where it seemed, with the forecast this morning calling for light rain today and rain/snow this evening. Over 2" here and still coming down hard with visibilities under 1/2 of a mile. May try to make a run at 3", however that back edge is getting closer.

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3.5" here as of 8 pm. Little band scooting the shore now. 4" looks possible. Crazy. Nice bust

Ya, I think the point and click for my location had a 50% chance of light rain today or something along those lines at 1pm before I left for work. By 3 it was steadily snowing. The snow obviously stuck to everything too, and during the middle of the day.

Anyways, some interesting happenings for the middle of next week on the 12z models:

Right now, some things that stand out...

-Not a strong cold air source. The Pacific jet is dominating and there is not blocking progged over the northern Atlantic or North Pole.

-This may allow any storm, if it occurs, to track farther west, if it can amplify and go negative tilt soon enough.

-Rain or no storm seem like likely solutions, but this is the next one to watch for something significant.

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Looks like this was a widespread 3-5" for Northeast Ohio. I thought I was ready for spring, but this was a nice event. Five hours worth of good solid heavy snows that stuck to everything.

CLE is now at 69.7" for the season. By my calculations the new CLE 30 year average should rise to 69", not sure how they smooth the data or if they toss out outliers. Nonetheless a 5-6 inch jump in averages from 1970-2000 to 1980-2010 is pretty significant.

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I never understand the climate reports and F6s that come out of CLE. They must be auto generated and then a person updates them to the correct information a few days later. I don't understand how the METAR can report .28" but the F6 will say .20. The PNS had 3.7" at CLE as of 7 pm last night, with 0.03" liquid falling thereafter. Likely will end up being a 4" event.

Also of note, CLE has had 7 consecutive days with a temperature departure of 10 degrees or more below normal. I think you'd have to go back quite a few years to see a similar departure.

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Looks like this was a widespread 3-5" for Northeast Ohio. I thought I was ready for spring, but this was a nice event. Five hours worth of good solid heavy snows that stuck to everything.

CLE is now at 69.7" for the season. By my calculations the new CLE 30 year average should rise to 69", not sure how they smooth the data or if they toss out outliers. Nonetheless a 5-6 inch jump in averages from 1970-2000 to 1980-2010 is pretty significant.

Picked up just over 3" IMBY. Everything is caked with snow. You would think it is January by the way it looks outside. Hopefully the snow will melt in time for opening day tomorrow.

What a difference a year makes compared to last Spring. It's been so cold lately the snow didn't have any trouble sticking to the roads last night.

Time for sun and warmth. Hopefully this is the last of the snow.

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Looks like CLE never updated last Wednesdays snow. All winter the PNS statements would report a different number than what ultimately ends up in the climate report.

The issue isn't just snow. There's no way CLE only picked up 0.53" of rain yesterday. Radar estimates were in the 1-1.5" range, with every personal weather station within a mile or two of the airport picking up at least 1.25"

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Looks like CLE never updated last Wednesdays snow. All winter the PNS statements would report a different number than what ultimately ends up in the climate report.

The issue isn't just snow. There's no way CLE only picked up 0.53" of rain yesterday. Radar estimates were in the 1-1.5" range, with every personal weather station within a mile or two of the airport picking up at least 1.25"

I was wondering how CLE only reported .53 yesterday as well. It poured a good part of the day. Easily 1.25 IMBY. If anything they are consistent.

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I forgot how hot it was at the beginning of last April. YNG had highs of 83, 87, 84, 70, 79, 87, and 81 the first seven days of the month. All but the high of 70 on the 4th were records. I wonder if we'll see anything like that this month... the ground seems too wet to get any mid to upper 80s anytime soon even if there were a very warm air mass.

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After last years summer April, this year feels cold and rightfully so. The lack of any spring torch is apparent. There have been only 6 other years which have failed to have a 70 degree day by April 7th. In fact the highest temp has been only 66 this year. There have been only 2 other years which have failed to have a 66+ degree temp by this date. Sunday should end that streak though.

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Record Watch... on a side note, what a temp bust at Erie. I checked the forecast for every spot in CLE's CWA yesterday. The forecast for KERI was 66; it's currently 79!

Current Temp / Record Hi

Cleveland 77 / 83

Toledo 82 / 83

Mansfield 80 / 78

Youngstown 78 / 80

Akron/Canton 77 / 81

Erie 79 / 81

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Record Watch... on a side note, what a temp bust at Erie. I checked the forecast for every spot in CLE's CWA yesterday. The forecast for KERI was 66; it's currently 79!

Current Temp / Record Hi

Cleveland 77 / 83

Toledo 82 / 83

Mansfield 80 / 78

Youngstown 78 / 80

Akron/Canton 77 / 81

Erie 79 / 81

Update

Cleveland 78 / 83

Toledo 83 / 83

Mansfield 80 / 78

Youngstown 80 / 80

Akron/Canton 78 / 81

Erie 80 / 81

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  • 2 weeks later...

Spring 2011 FTL... What a miserable pattern.

MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN SLOWLY MOVING HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH WEST OF THE AREA TUE TO BE OVER THE AREA THU. GOOD CONNECTION OF GULF MOISTURE STREAMS N INTO THE AREA FOR GOOD THREAT FOR SHRA/TSRA TUE AND WED WITH LINGERING THREAT FOR SCT SHRA THU AS UPPER TROUGH HELPS TO KEEP AIRMASS UNSETTLED. COLDER TEMPS ARRIVE FOR THU AFTER A FEW FLEETING DAYS OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS. THE PROLONGED THREAT FOR RAIN...THUS CONTINUING THE WET PATTERS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO CONTINUED FLOODING PROBLEMS AND LITTLE CHANCE FOR ANY

PROGRESS TO BE MADE TO BEGIN THE PLANTING SEASON.

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Spring 2011 FTL... What a miserable pattern.

MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN SLOWLY MOVING HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH WEST OF THE AREA TUE TO BE OVER THE AREA THU. GOOD CONNECTION OF GULF MOISTURE STREAMS N INTO THE AREA FOR GOOD THREAT FOR SHRA/TSRA TUE AND WED WITH LINGERING THREAT FOR SCT SHRA THU AS UPPER TROUGH HELPS TO KEEP AIRMASS UNSETTLED. COLDER TEMPS ARRIVE FOR THU AFTER A FEW FLEETING DAYS OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS. THE PROLONGED THREAT FOR RAIN...THUS CONTINUING THE WET PATTERS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO CONTINUED FLOODING PROBLEMS AND LITTLE CHANCE FOR ANY

PROGRESS TO BE MADE TO BEGIN THE PLANTING SEASON.

I made a remark in the April OBS thread stating that once the NWS Met Offices write discos about the cool Spring it will be the icing on the cake!! Sure enough it happened. This April sucks!!

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Could this year be the earliest last freeze on record for many areas? I was looking at the numbers from CLE's website and it showed most areas usually have their last freeze from late April to mid May. This year, there hasn't been any temps at or below 32 since the first week of April... and the forecast shows nothing even close to freezing for the foreseeable future. I don't even recall seeing any frost at all recently. Nevertheless, the greenup seems to be behind schedule (at least compared to recent history) due to all the cold, rainy afternoons.

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I made a remark in the April OBS thread stating that once the NWS Met Offices write discos about the cool Spring it will be the icing on the cake!! Sure enough it happened. This April sucks!!

Well, believe it or not, temperatures for most of northern Ohio are actually above normal. Lows have been really warm and highs have been really cool, making it seem cooler than it actually has been (since most people are out more during the daytime). Plus the clouds and rain feel colder than sun, even if the actual temperature is the same. The frequent gusty winds haven't helped either. 55 and rainy with a raw east wind feels a lot worse than 55 and sunny with calm winds.

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Well, believe it or not, temperatures for most of northern Ohio are actually above normal. Lows have been really warm and highs have been really cool, making it seem cooler than it actually has been (since most people are out more during the daytime). Plus the clouds and rain feel colder than sun, even if the actual temperature is the same. The frequent gusty winds haven't helped either. 55 and rainy with a raw east wind feels a lot worse than 55 and sunny with calm winds.

The temperature averages have been very deceptive. I'm a firm believer that the high plus low divide by 2 needs to be abolished. We've had several days this April where it's been 44 all day, a warm front comes through at 10 pm surging temps to 68 only to fall back to 44 by morning. The slight temp departure this month doesn't take into effect what the actual temperature was each day, but rather the anomalous 11:59 and 12:01 readings.

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CLE should break the record for rainfall in April. Just need another 1.73. What an incredibly wet month this has been.

Also of note, just one below freezing night at CLE this month! I think the heaviest rain might set up just to our NW today, nonetheless it's been a soaker, Cincinnati is now around a foot of rain this April.

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Could this year be the earliest last freeze on record for many areas? I was looking at the numbers from CLE's website and it showed most areas usually have their last freeze from late April to mid May. This year, there hasn't been any temps at or below 32 since the first week of April... and the forecast shows nothing even close to freezing for the foreseeable future. I don't even recall seeing any frost at all recently. Nevertheless, the greenup seems to be behind schedule (at least compared to recent history) due to all the cold, rainy afternoons.

Looking at CLE data back to 1948, the earliest last freeze was April 8th in 1955. Barring any major cold snap, we'll be able to push that record up 5 days to April 3rd this year.

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