blackjack123 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 How many tornadoes do you think there will be in 2011? I am going to guess around 1375. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 1605 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 1258 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 just for some reference, the 3 year average (2007-2009) is 1315. 2007: 1098 2008: 1691 2009: 1156 2010: ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 1584 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 1216 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 1653 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 1492 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 1612 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OhioValleyWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Spring La Nina but cooler Gulf....hmmmm...Still think pretty active though. 1676 Josh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 1177 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 1437 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 1177 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackjack123 Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 1177 That seems really conservative considering it is an El Nino year. I would think in the 1300-1500 range would be more reasonable. There is a possibility you may be correct though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 1383 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 1450 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 That seems really conservative considering it is an El Nino year. I would think in the 1300-1500 range would be more reasonable. There is a possibility you may be correct though. Well I basically took the average of 2007 and 2009, the last two El Nino years, and bumped it up by about 50. (See Post 4) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Well I basically took the average of 2007 and 2009, the last two El Nino years, and bumped it up by about 50. (See Post 4) But we're in La Nina, 2009 was negative-neutral, and the last two years that are pertinent are 2001 and 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 5 tornadoes. Whoever gets video/pictures of them will be rich. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 But we're in La Nina, 2009 was negative-neutral, and the last two years that are pertinent are 2001 and 2008. Yeah sorry, bonehead post on my part. I'm still living in 2010, lol. I don't think we'll see as many tornadoes as 2008 (which was a once-in-a-decade anomaly), so thats probably why I took the non-anomalous years, averaged them, and bumped it up a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 1410 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 30, 2011 Share Posted April 30, 2011 Anyone who went under 1500 is probably in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 1717...yeah, very late guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 1258 Anyone who went under 1500 is probably in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 Anyone who went under 1500 is probably in trouble. 1612 Still looking good, though I am starting to believe 1800 might be a better call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 I will say an even ton, 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 1890 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 10, 2011 Share Posted May 10, 2011 87,000,000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjetstream Posted May 10, 2011 Share Posted May 10, 2011 Over 9000!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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