burgertime Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 lol if we get a foot of snow CLT will be like Thunderdome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherheels Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 lol if we get a foot of snow CLT will be like Thunderdome. You better respect your triangle, it will be surrounded by depths of 8-12 inches on the outside, but on the inside, you'll be lucky to get 3".... In all seriousness, i hope you guys get hammered down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 You better respect your triangle, it will be surrounded by depths of 8-12 inches on the outside, but on the inside, you'll be lucky to get 3".... In all seriousness, i hope you guys get hammered down there. Haha yep you're probably right, something alway happens but I like my chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This storm is a good example of why you don't want to be in the bullseye several days out. We went from historic 6"+ amounts here in the ATL metro to 2-4", and maybe very little in the southern burbs. I'll be more than happy with 2-4" and enough ice to shut things down for a day or two though! I think you will be surprised, 3-5" with some sleet/frzn, it will be pretty and great sledding weather, enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Our exchange on the other thread was deleted. Nice...maybe I'll take my waving flag off and that will help? Can't believe some of the stuff they keep and some of the stuff delete. Time to hang out with the banter boys and girls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Nice...maybe I'll take my waving flag off and that will help? Can't believe some of the stuff they keep and some of the stuff delete. Time to hang out with the banter boys and girls I plan on starting a thread about Storm Mode when things calm down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 from looking closely at the bufkit skew t's for the 12z nam, this is what i came up with below: SN IP ZR CLT 0.491 0.227 0.02 AVL 0.83 0.037 n/a HKY 0.693 0.048 n/a RDU 0.11 0.16 0.112 GSO 0.299 0.172 0.022 TNB 0.503 0.071 n/a CAE 0.3 0.052 0.278 GSP 0.687 0.339 n/a AHN 0.5 0.313 0.107 ATL 0.3 0.2 0.154 CHA 1.263 0.189 n/a :gun_bandana: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d12_fill.gif From HPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Hey so and so, what do you think about this model for my house???????? That can stay on there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 http://www.hpc.ncep....pf/d12_fill.gif From HPC I like the looks of that Rosie with a good chance of it being upped! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I like the looks of that Rosie with a good chance of it being upped! The suspense is killing me! Sure hope we all do well with this! Told the cats they will go out in the snow and like it as I want to watch the reaction! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Hey so and so, what do you think about this model for my house???????? That can stay on there? Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 We had the good fortune of moving away from Chattanooga over five years ago. If that godforsaken hellhole of a town gets a foot of snow, I'll have to hear about it from friends on Facebook for a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Via AviationWx Update for Delta Air Lines' Winter Weather cancellations for Sunday and Monday, Jan. 9-10, 2010 Delta plans to operate normally in Atlanta through 8 p.m. ET Sunday. After this time, Delta has proactively cancelled approximately 330 mainline and Delta Connection flights systemwide Sunday evening. We have planned approximately 1,400 Delta and Delta Connection flight cancellations systemwide Monday as the storm is at its peak, approximately 25% of all planned flights for the day. Advance cancellations help Delta stay ahead of the storm and minimize lengthy delays for customers. Cancellations are timed based on the projected periods of heavy precipitation at the airport, including snow, sleet and freezing rain. Delta is proactively notifying customers directly if their flights are cancelled. Customers flying to and from Atlanta are encouraged to check and change flights at delta.com before heading to the airport. On Friday, Delta began offering a winter weather travel waiver that allows customers traveling to, from or through Atlanta through Tuesday, Jan. 11 to change flights without fees. Details on our winter weather travel waiver are available athttp://www.delta.com/traveling_checkin/flight_status_updates/advisories/atlanta_winter10/index.jsp The next operational update will be available at 9 a.m. ET Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 We had the good fortune of moving away from Chattanooga over five years ago. If that godforsaken hellhole of a town gets a foot of snow, I'll have to hear about it from friends on Facebook for a month. The low is moving NE from TX and drilling the Hot Springs area of AR and eastern OK. TN is in for a pounding. No frozen precip out of this south of a Waco to Crocket line here in TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The main thread has suddenly become silent. One post in the last 12 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Tonight: Occasional snow, mainly after 1am. Low around 20. South wind around 10 mph becoming east. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Monday: Occasional snow before 1pm, then occasional snow, freezing rain, and sleet. High near 30. East wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Monday Night: A chance of freezing drizzle. Cloudy, with a low around 25. East wind around 5 mph. Was hoping to just get snow and sleet, hope this changes! Do like the amounts though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Tonight: Occasional snow, mainly after 1am. Low around 20. South wind around 10 mph becoming east. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Monday: Occasional snow before 1pm, then occasional snow, freezing rain, and sleet. High near 30. East wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Monday Night: A chance of freezing drizzle. Cloudy, with a low around 25. East wind around 5 mph. Was hoping to just get snow and sleet, hope this changes! Do like the amounts though! Now the dry air forecast for the Triad: Monday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 35. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Monday Night: Snow and sleet likely before 1am, then freezing rain and sleet. Low around 28. Northeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Tuesday: A chance of drizzle or freezing drizzle, mainly before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 33. North wind around 6 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Now the dry air forecast for the Triad: Monday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 35. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Monday Night: Snow and sleet likely before 1am, then freezing rain and sleet. Low around 28. Northeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Tuesday: A chance of drizzle or freezing drizzle, mainly before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 33. North wind around 6 mph. And Raleigh's... Monday: A chance of snow, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 35. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Monday Night: Snow and sleet likely before 1am, then freezing rain and sleet. Low around 31. East wind between 5 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Tuesday: A chance of drizzle or freezing drizzle. Cloudy, with a high near 35. North wind around 8 mph. Robert now has both of us in the 3-6" area, though, so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Now the dry air forecast for the Triad: Monday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 35. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Monday Night: Snow and sleet likely before 1am, then freezing rain and sleet. Low around 28. Northeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Tuesday: A chance of drizzle or freezing drizzle, mainly before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 33. North wind around 6 mph. Well, it ain't over till it is over or the fat lady sings so we keep the faith. Sure do hope you do lots better than that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The 18z NAM is re-damn-donkulous for areas just south of the Triangle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Dsaur, Have you seen the 12z Euro? May we have a chance next weekend? Remember, that's the time frame we were originally interested in. 1/9.11 is turning into an ugly affair. -fide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Well, it ain't over till it is over or the fat lady sings so we keep the faith. Sure do hope you do lots better than that! No biggie. Just not our turn this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bta0812 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The 18z NAM is re-damn-donkulous for areas just south of the Triangle. Apparently the NWS doesn't think so. Area downgraded to Advisory. Don't know what to think. Seeing different things everywhere I look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Apparently the NWS doesn't think so. Area downgraded to Advisory. Don't know what to think. Seeing different things everywhere I look. NWS is smart to do that. Model consensus isn't there and with a dying storm, it's going to come down to nowcasting. I think we have a good, if not greater chance of this being just a minor nuisance storm than warning criteria. They can always upgrade tomorrow morning if need be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I guess whatever happens will happen, but this looks like a big fail for the Triangle now. Downgarded to an advisory and doesn't look like we will have the precip for this to be anything but a nuisance. I'd rather it not do anything at all if it isn't going to be anything but that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bta0812 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 NWS is smart to do that. Model consensus isn't there and with a dying storm, it's going to come down to nowcasting. I think we have a good, if not greater chance of this being just a minor nuisance storm than warning criteria. They can always upgrade tomorrow morning if need be. True. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 And Raleigh's... Robert now has both of us in the 3-6" area, though, so we'll see. What is he seeing that no one else does? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 the persistent precip hole over SE NC/NE SC coast is interesting and almost all models show it. wonder if a met could ellaborate?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I guess whatever happens will happen, but this looks like a big fail for the Triangle now. Downgarded to an advisory and doesn't look like we will have the precip for this to be anything but a nuisance. I'd rather it not do anything at all if it isn't going to be anything but that. Brick, do you remember that post where I told you how to do things so you wouldn't post things like this? RAH is being conservative. The higher QPF is a recent trend in the last 12 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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