NEGa Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 woo hoo! just got up and have checked a few things, but still trying to wake up (although when i saw the widespread wsw i certainly perked up quickly lol) still looking good for a lot of us - snow atl to athn north :snowman: noticed that finger of moisture in n ga, and yes this is a weenie imby comment, i sure hope that verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Hi yall. Question. I see a reference to 5H quite often and i have no clue what that is. Can anyone tell me? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 BOOM for some...... woo hoo! just got up and have checked a few things, but still trying to wake up (although when i saw the widespread wsw i certainly perked up quickly lol) still looking good for a lot of us - snow atl to athn north :snowman: noticed that finger of moisture in n ga, and yes this is a weenie imby comment, i sure hope that verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 500mb level http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/12/model_m.shtml See the 500 vort column. Hi yall. Question. I see a reference to 5H quite often and i have no clue what that is. Can anyone tell me? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 12z NAM run implies that the screw zone of Upstate, SC finally gets lifted!!! What a run.. I'm shaking!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Guess i need to run to target and buy baby formula... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 full on weenie comment....winter storm warning for 18 HOURS!!!! :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 full on weenie comment....winter storm warning for 18 HOURS!!!! :snowman: Nice! Been looking better and better for you and I hope you can cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Nice! Been looking better and better for you and I hope you can cash in. thanks! it looks like a majority of us will be cashing in with a major winter storm i cant remember the last time i saw wsw across the south like are out today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Time to get the snow boots and shovel out! Glad I have new batteries for my camera as I am hoping to see the biggest snow of my lifetime! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I hate to be whining considering I'm in for probably 3-7". But I really wish that 8-12" band on the NAM would shift south 50 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Central NC people. The 12Z NAM really was not that bad of a run. It does shift higher amounts closer to us. Total precip is probably around .3 liquid, but there always seems to be a shift of higher amounts northward during the storm (i.e. southern Virginia is slated to get very little and they end up under WSW). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 A lady on GMA said 4-6 inches of snow would be the biggest storm in Atlanta since 1940? That's not right, is it? March '93? I felt confident that I remembered bigger snow there, but maybe not. As usual...they are useless...In 93, Atlanta was on the cusp...Marietta 10-12"...Hartsfield 4"...Mar 23-24, 1980 had 7.9" but it was pure dynamically driven glop... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 As usual...they are useless...In 93, Atlanta was on the cusp...Marietta 10-12"...Hartsfield 4"...Mar 23-24, 1980 had 7.9" but it was pure dynamically driven glop... you looked poised to clean house with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Central NC people. The 12Z NAM really was not that bad of a run. It does shift higher amounts closer to us. Total precip is probably around .3 liquid, but there always seems to be a shift of higher amounts northward during the storm (i.e. southern Virginia is slated to get very little and they end up under WSW). 06z GFS was way better... over .5"... and the 06z NAM was less than .25" but then got wetter at 12z. If the 12z GFS humors us we might be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 06z GFS was way better... over .5"... and the 06z NAM was less than .25" but then got wetter at 12z. If the 12z GFS humors us we might be in business. Yes but I think we are blinded by the high snow amounts to our SW. It is very cold right now. Ground temps (and pavement) are freezing. They will still be freezing for this event. If we end up with close to .25 liquid freezing rain (and we could with the main event and then a full day of freezing drizzle), it will be a nightmare on the roads. That would be a big event in itself... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 06z GFS was way better... over .5"... and the 06z NAM was less than .25" but then got wetter at 12z. If the 12z GFS humors us we might be in business. Well HPC said throw out the 12z NAM. Even so I think we will approach .5" of QPF with a little snow, sleet and frzn. Nothing like what burger and foothills are going to see, they look golden. One of these days we will be In the sweet spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Well HPC said throw out the 12z NAM. Even so I think we will approach .5" of QPF with a little snow, sleet and frzn. Nothing like what burger and foothills are going to see, they look golden. One of these days we will be In the sweet spot. Remember how well throwing out the 12z gfs during the christmas storm went Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Remember how well throwing out the 12z gfs during the christmas storm went And, I'm probably reading this wrong, but I'm reading it's for things that are modeled after our event: PREFERENCE: AFTER 00Z TUE...GFS OR ECWMF THE NAM INITIALIZES THE BASE OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER OREGON/IDAHO APPROXIMATELY 25 NM TOO FAR NORTH...WHICH CONTRIBUTES TO AN INCREASINGLY SLOW AND DEEP SOLUTION ENTERING THE OHIO VALLEY LATE IN THE FORECAST CYCLE COMPARED TO GFS/ECMWF WHICH ARE WEAKER AND MORE PROGRESSIVE. THUS...THE NAM IS DISCOUNTED BEGINNING 00Z TUE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaPilot Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Just flew into ATL in the past hour or so. high clouds moving in from SW. Interesting obs on the way in.....winds at upper levels slightly stronger than progged further SW we flew coming from the NE this am. Stronger upper levels mean anything to the mets here??? Just an interesting tidbit i thought. Finish up at about 5pm today and will be really fun overnight tonight....gonna break out some sleds for tommorow!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowforme Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I wasn't on the boards prior to the Christmas storm so I'm wondering which model was the most accurate so close to the start of it. I mean, which model should we really rely on and which model (or models) should we ignore? It seems like there are varying opinions about which one is the most reliable closest to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeneR4 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I'm looking forward to watching this event unfold here in Huntsville, AL later tonight/Monday. They are saying between 4-7 inches of snow with perhaps some icing at the end(I hope not). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Oh well, enjoy it out west. Even though the media is hyping it here, I don't see much happening other than maybe a little bit of snow that quickly gets washed away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 And, I'm probably reading this wrong, but I'm reading it's for things that are modeled after our event: PREFERENCE: AFTER 00Z TUE...GFS OR ECWMF THE NAM INITIALIZES THE BASE OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER OREGON/IDAHO APPROXIMATELY 25 NM TOO FAR NORTH...WHICH CONTRIBUTES TO AN INCREASINGLY SLOW AND DEEP SOLUTION ENTERING THE OHIO VALLEY LATE IN THE FORECAST CYCLE COMPARED TO GFS/ECMWF WHICH ARE WEAKER AND MORE PROGRESSIVE. THUS...THE NAM IS DISCOUNTED BEGINNING 00Z TUE correct, its discussing the system over the rockies currently... so its not necessary relevant to our system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Just flew into ATL in the past hour or so. high clouds moving in from SW. Interesting obs on the way in.....winds at upper levels slightly stronger than progged further SW we flew coming from the NE this am. Stronger upper levels mean anything to the mets here??? Just an interesting tidbit i thought. Finish up at about 5pm today and will be really fun overnight tonight....gonna break out some sleds for tommorow!!!!! Where were you flying and what level did you note this difference? Could have some interesting implications. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Oh well, enjoy it out west. Even though the media is hyping it here, I don't see much happening other than maybe a little bit of snow that quickly gets washed away. It doesn't get washed away...it just gets covered in ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I just can't get excited about this storm for the RDU area. Every time I see a little more qpf, something else comes out w/ less. Maybe it'll be one of those events where I'm surprised at what we get but right now I'm just not feeling it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 It doesn't get washed away...it just gets covered in ice Not with a temp of 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 car off the road in Jackson, MS http://www.mstraffic.com/streamcam.aspx?cam=I220_HM_35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 car off the road in Jackson, MS http://www.mstraffic...?cam=I220_HM_35 Cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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