BIG FROSTY Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Yeah, I will have to get in a bit earlier than normal....radar trends will be key there. More concerned about not getting home around midday after my on-air shift tomorrow morning. FWIW, the 9z RPM continues to look pretty impressive for the western Carolinas....and northern NC along and north of I-40....in the snow department. Widespread 4+" amounts... That's sounds real good Matthew, Hear in the N.Foothills looks like we might have lowest qpf and more dry air to overcome. Thanks for the update, really appreciate it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 SPC Update about freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
augustagaweather Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Ice storm warning in southern AL is a smart call I think. Unfortunately FFC and CAE would probably be wise to follow suite. That's one of those things you'd rather warn about and be wrong than not warn at all. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED AN ICESTORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PMCST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.ACCUMULATING ICE IS LIKELY STARTING LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THESOUTHERN COUNTIES FROM LIVINGSTON TO TROY...SPREADING NORTHWARD TOJUST SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 BY MONDAY MORNING. WHILE THE WINTRYPRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY START OUT AS SNOW IN MOST AREAS...IT WILLQUICKLY TRANSITION TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTERMIDNIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILLRANGE FROM ONE QUARTER TO NEARLY ONE HALF INCH IN SOME LOCATIONSWITHIN THE WARNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ESPECIALLY ICE WILLLIKELY DAMAGE TREES AND POWER LINES.EAST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL ALSOACCOMPANY THIS STORM SYSTEM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Anyone notice these two branches, in what it looks like, trying to almost phase? If that were to happen, this would become a monster.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earlwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Ice storm warning in southern AL is a smart call I think. Unfortunately FFC and CAE would probably be wise to follow suite. That's one of those things you'd rather warn about and be wrong than not warn at all. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED AN ICESTORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PMCST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.ACCUMULATING ICE IS LIKELY STARTING LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THESOUTHERN COUNTIES FROM LIVINGSTON TO TROY...SPREADING NORTHWARD TOJUST SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 BY MONDAY MORNING. WHILE THE WINTRYPRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY START OUT AS SNOW IN MOST AREAS...IT WILLQUICKLY TRANSITION TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTERMIDNIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILLRANGE FROM ONE QUARTER TO NEARLY ONE HALF INCH IN SOME LOCATIONSWITHIN THE WARNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ESPECIALLY ICE WILLLIKELY DAMAGE TREES AND POWER LINES.EAST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL ALSOACCOMPANY THIS STORM SYSTEM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.E FFC mentions the chance of doing so in their AFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 16 here...I believe the forecast low was somewhere around 20? I didn't really look last night, but I think I would have remembered 16. Burger, i remember seeing a forecast of 18. I believe it got down to 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 As to the significance of that, I don't know, but everyone I've heard from here today was right at 4 degrees lower than forecast. To me that can only be a good sign though. Colder air than EVERYONE thought. I was forecasted to be 19, got to 14.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 NAM looks like it ramping up QPF through 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I'm anxiously awaiting the preacher (Foothills) for this mornings sermon. The congregation is getting fidgity! Ha, haven't looked at much but did the RUC and now the NAM is coming in. No surprise, on the NAM the 5H center is over Jackson, and quite a strong booger. A good chunk of northern MS is .75" by this hour. Thats a big hit for the Magnolia state, with surface temps below freezing, and a lot of that is snow. By 24, the precip shiled is way more robust and stronger. Matches RUC for n. Ala, Ms, GA and Tn and western CARS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 through 24, not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Anyone notice these two branches, in what it looks like, trying to almost phase? If that were to happen, this would become a monster.. No, this is not a phasing scenario, the sooner some folks understand this, the quicker we can rid the thread of fictional hypotheses. There is not going to be a mechanism in place to deepen the coastal, and interaction with the northern stream will take place off the VA Capes, which is too far north to do anyone in the SE any good in that regard. This is a shearing out southern stream vort, not anything remotely close to a phasing of the streams. Ha, haven't looked at much but did the RUC and now the NAM is coming in. No surprise, on the NAM the 5H center is over Jackson, and quite a strong booger. A good chunk of northern MS is .75" by this hour. Thats a big hit for the Magnolia state, with surface temps below freezing, and a lot of that is snow. By 24, the precip shiled is way more robust and stronger. Matches RUC for n. Ala, Ms, GA and Tn and western CARS. Robert, RUC over the past several runs has been consistently south with the vort center compared to the NAM. Placement at 0z tonight would be in central LA almost, compared to the extreme sw tip of AR on the NAM. RUC through 12hrs is also not shearing it out as quickly as the NAM. That would fit the overall trend we have seen this winter in keeping the southern stream energy in tact longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Folks in southern Tn, n. Ms, n Al, n. GA and Upstate to w. NC are in the mega snows by 27 hours. The accum. are up there. Much wetter. The .75" is exactly as you'd think under the strong 5H track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 NAM also looks colder for the bulk of the precip in WNC...don't wanna speak too soon though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Don't remember a run where the s/w survives intact into Alabama, as is shown at 24 hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Folks in southern Tn, n. Ms, n Al, n. GA and Upstate to w. NC are in the mega snows by 27 hours. The accum. are up there. Much wetter. The .75" is exactly as you'd think under the strong 5H track Wow amounts are way up! Finally coming in line with SREF! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
david30 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Ha, haven't looked at much but did the RUC and now the NAM is coming in. No surprise, on the NAM the 5H center is over Jackson, and quite a strong booger. A good chunk of northern MS is .75" by this hour. Thats a big hit for the Magnolia state, with surface temps below freezing, and a lot of that is snow. By 24, the precip shiled is way more robust and stronger. Matches RUC for n. Ala, Ms, GA and Tn and western CARS. Yes Sir sounds excellent to hear tht this morning,im waiting on the first whatever to fall here in NW MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 @33 it inched the bulk of that precip into the CLT region but it's still trying to keep it out. This is a good sign the NAM is finally catching on hopefully. CLT would be the big winner on snow this run for NC it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Pretty obvious trend here for several days now. The 5H isn't dampening out as quickly as any model showed. If you draw a line from LIT to CLT and go 100 miles either side of that line, rough axis of good precip, approx .75" and even some 1.00" and more in MS AL and probably TN side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Pretty obvious trend here for several days now. The 5H isn't dampening out as quickly as any model showed. If you draw a line from LIT to CLT and go 100 miles either side of that line, rough axis of good precip, approx .75" and even some 1.00" and more in MS AL and probably TN side Are we dreaming? Looks like it's finally our time....and oh boy how about GA? This is looking better and better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bta0812 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I think I'm going to move about 75-100 miles west so I can be in WNC. You guys are going nuts! lol. Good for ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 By 36 hours the .75" is almost to CLT and the 1.00 Is Near GSP and both sites are changing over around 36 hours, so most of that is snow. I'm having chest pains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Are we dreaming? Looks like it's finally our time....and oh boy how about GA? This is looking better and better. Must be dreaming, even Southern Pines is in the >0.25" as SN this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DueUCMe Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Local mets here in Greensboro are still going with 2-4" N to S snowfall with up to a 1/4" of ice on top. PS...only 10 more weeks until spring!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Great omega in the comma head sweeping through. Theres also a coastal GA and eventually the western Carolinas will switch to ice and keep the ZR going on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Holy crap Robert......You are correct.... Up state is getting nailed at hr 39. WW snow map has all of the upstate in 6-10" I think this will be around 1. for CLT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 By 36 hours, precip still hasn't really made its way into the Triangle area. Congrats Burger et al. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 almost the whole state of GA is .50 or greater. nice .75 stripe through the northern counties and 1.0 in extreme NW GA and another 1.0 spot starting by lake Lanier going east. Man what a run, Charlotte looks good! way better for NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 By 36 hours, precip still hasn't really made its way into the Triangle area. Congrats Burger et al. I'll try to power up the snow jets and send it your way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Is there any mechanism at all that could bring higher totals to central/eastern NC than the general less than .25 inches the models are showing? I mean, is there anything we should be watching for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Just throw some of that back west down 74 ! But yes I agree I think this will be around 1. for CLT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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