Rankin5150 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Still nothing here in Belmont. I am having serious bad flashbacks of December 2002 (or 2000-cannot quite remember and do not want to). They had 4-8" forecasted and only had clouds. Arrgh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Hell yeah I know this goes in obs, but it just began pouring! I have been peeking and typing, and wow at the sudden increase . BTW, RUC is awesome. I can't imagine it going til 7 pm tomorrow night here, but it shows that, with incoming divergence from Alabama, and the comma head STILL over here. Unreal if that happens, I won't bank on it though. Most events here are about 12 to 14 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I know this goes in obs, but it just began pouring! I have been peeking and typing, and wow at the sudden increase . BTW, RUC is awesome. I can't imagine it going til 7 pm tomorrow night here, but it shows that, with incoming divergence from Alabama, and the comma head STILL over here. Unreal if that happens, I won't bank on it though. Most events here are about 12 to 14 hours. Congrats Robert! You deserve it more than most. Really happy for you. Thanks for the hard work. GSPs near term update seems to be right on target. Just got done texting with my brother in Franklin. 4" in an hour & fifty min. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Still nothing here in Belmont. I am having serious bad flashbacks of December 2002 (or 2000-cannot quite remember and do not want to). They had 4-8" forecasted and only had clouds. Arrgh... not happening this time it should start any minute where your at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Wow local EMA Director just posted this on my facebook page: Claude Craig: Everything is at a halt. Everyone needs to stay home in the morning. Tell them so. Only the main hwys have been bladed. No residential blading. Crews can't keep up it's snowing so hard tell everyone to stay off the roads!!!! Thanks Nearing 8.5 since only 11:15! Look at the convective bands developing back over central Bama moving NE!! oh yea FFC still has us at 4-6! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 moderate sleet changed over to light snow flurries now, small flakes, but the sleet that fell stuck fast to elevated surfaces, a little on the grassy surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Not sure it matters at this point but the 00z NAM is a lot colder aloft than the 18z run. It keeps me below freezing throughout the column throughout the event now!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 4" in an hour & fifty min. Yikes. Wow! I'd like to experience that. Had 3" one hour before. The RUC has 850 sse jet aimed right at western SC, NC and NE GA for a while yet, with UVV's pretty high and -4 or -6 air, not to mention the 5H vort is holding together strongly...wondering if its ever gonna die. That comes directly overhead AVL in the next 8 hours , so should get interesting for a lot of folks around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Yes, I just saw that also!! GSP noted about trending totals up, however, they must have trended them down as the total map has me at 5.4 down from 6.0... Less ip/fr maybe ? Not sure it matters at this point but the 00z NAM is a lot colder aloft than the 18z run. It keeps me below freezing throughout the column throughout the event now!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Awesome!! It has trending cooler then. 850 still south of us at hr 14 07ruc Wow! I'd like to experience that. Had 3" one hour before. The RUC has 850 sse jet aimed right at western SC, NC and NE GA for a while yet, with UVV's pretty high and -4 or -6 air, not to mention the 5H vort is holding together strongly...wondering if its ever gonna die. That comes directly overhead AVL in the next 8 hours , so should get interesting for a lot of folks around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 307 am EST Monday Jan 10 2011 Synopsis... a low pressure system will move from northern Florida today to the North Carolina coast Tuesday. As the low continues to move northeast in middle week...cold Canadian high pressure will be the dominant weather feature across the southeast through the start of the weekend. && Near term /through tonight/... a fairly significant upward adjustment is going to be needed in accumulations throughout the area...and in the associated threat language of the Winter Storm Warning. The models and ensemble means are now showing considerably more quantitative precipitation forecast than previously...with about an inch liquid equivalent through tonight in SW sections...and one half to three quarter inches across northern and eastern sections of the forecast area. This agrees well with the upstream trends of heavy snowfall rates moving across the SW third of the area this morning...and with negative epv regions still upstream over northern Georgia where a few lightning strikes have been observed. Synoptically...the models have initialized the potent vorticity lobe with the southern stream wave over la quite well early this morning. Frontogenetical forcing...upper jet divergence...and improving DPVA ahead of the wave and north of the Gulf Coast surface low will likely keep the higher snowfall rates in place across the region through at least midday. The deeper qg forcing will likely weaken this afternoon...with Omega transitioning to lower levels as warm advection and upslope forcing improve. The strong middle level dry slot is still expected to work into the area from the S starting early this evening...and steadily move north across the rest of the area overnight. This will allow a changeover to light freezing rain or freezing drizzle. The new west-southwest will feature snow accums around a foot around the NE Georgia mountains...9 inches Asheville to gsp...6 to 8 for Charlotte metropolitan and around 6 inches for north of the Interstate 40 corridor. About one tenth inch of ice on tops could make power outages quite problematic tonight...and driving nearly impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I have the SINKING feeling that Belmont/CLT to points east are going to have a major fail. I know this goes in obs, but right now my temp is 30 with humidity of 36% and a DP of 6! Can someone put my weenie mind at ease? I have solid virga returns now, but nothing to show. With everything moving west to east, and Shelby starting SN about an hour and a half ago, it seems this area would already be in the action? EDIT: Looked out the window and the flakes are a flyin!! I just read an update from GSP also. Sorry for the weenism yall. I have been screwed too many times the past couple of years around here. GAME ON!! WHOO-HOO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 ruc has convective snow all over west nc from 6am to 12pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 You can atest to that with 3.75 on the ground! So they waited on the 00 runs! nice Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 307 am EST Monday Jan 10 2011 The new west-southwest will feature snow accums around a foot around the NE Georgia mountains...9 inches Asheville to gsp...6 to 8 for Charlotte metropolitan and around 6 inches for north of the Interstate 40 corridor. About one tenth inch of ice on tops could make power outages quite problematic tonight...and driving nearly impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCBlizzard Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I have the SINKING feeling that Belmont/CLT to points east are going to have a major fail. I know this goes in obs, but right now my temp is 30 with humidity of 36% and a DP of 6! Can someone put my weenie mind at ease? I have solid virga returns now, but nothing to show. With everything moving west to east, and Shelby starting SN about an hour and a half ago, it seems this area would already be in the action? theres no way it fails it just takes longer to get to yall. I had a temp of 29 before this insanely heavy snow started and right now im sitting at 26-27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joshuaincharlotte Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I have the SINKING feeling that Belmont/CLT to points east are going to have a major fail. I know this goes in obs, but right now my temp is 30 with humidity of 36% and a DP of 6! Can someone put my weenie mind at ease? I have solid virga returns now, but nothing to show. With everything moving west to east, and Shelby starting SN about an hour and a half ago, it seems this area would already be in the action? EDIT: Looked out the window and the flakes are a flyin!! I just read an update from GSP also. Sorry for the weenism yall. I have been screwed too many times the past couple of years around here. GAME ON!! WHOO-HOO! Haha - I understand the worry you once had cause I have it too! I'm glad it's in Belmont -- you are about 7 miles to the west of me! I'm next! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoAPPS Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Just started flurrying here in HKY...I think that band in Shelby is coming my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 9 inches? I'm dreaming. Somebody wake me up. Or better yet don't. I love this dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'm waiting for Raleigh's discussion before I get some sleep. Their 8 ball must have frozen up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'm waiting for Raleigh's discussion before I get some sleep. Their 8 ball must have frozen up. Me too, but given that they wrote something at 12:30 I'm not expecting anything new. Seems like precip might start a bit earlier though to me...RAH still saying 18-21z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Me too, but given that they wrote something at 12:30 I'm not expecting anything new. Seems like precip might start a bit earlier though to me...RAH still saying 18-21z I'm curious on whether or not they upgrade my county to a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Someone answer how we get an inch almost 5 hours ago and have nothing since? How is it possible to be dry slotted and nothing but virga since? And I am north of I-20 towards Edgefield in N. Aiken? Depressing to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Haha - I understand the worry you once had cause I have it too! I'm glad it's in Belmont -- you are about 7 miles to the west of me! I'm next! I SERIOUSLY deserve a warning from the Mods for that weenie thoughts of fail. However, the reverse pysch worked and it is coming down heavy now! At the SAME TIME I was reading the updated AFD from GSP, it started snowing. Shew... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 ruc has convective snow all over west nc from 6am to 12pm Brandon, Please define convective snow? Does that mean HEAVY or is it another term for Thunder snow? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 ruc has convective snow all over west nc from 6am to 12pm How far east does west nc go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Looks like we get our best omega here around 15z on the RUC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyric297 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 It looks to me as if the 850 temps have trended colder on the 6z nam over the previous runs... would be nice to see that trend continue so that we don't have such an ice issue here in the Triangle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 wow good to see GSP ramping our totals way up 6-8? yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 wow good to see GSP ramping our totals way up 6-8? yes please Well Raleigh says...........nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 folks don't drive. mine started at 2:09 and I've got right at 2" already , less than 2 hours. Went to the store and made it fine. I almost didnt' get home. I got some good vids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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