QC_Halo Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Do you think the general public will understand the difference? if they understand what "probability" means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 You are welcome. Tomorrow afternoon/evening. For Raleigh in particular around Rush Hour if not a little later. Tomorrow night and Tuesday morning will be a mess perhaps all day Tuesday, depening on if we can get a layer of snow/sleet down before the freezing rain comes. It sure is going to be fun at work tomorrow. I hope the employers are smart and let people go home early before the roads become a mess at rush hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Almost all the colleges in the state have delays or are closed for tomorrow. Winthrop, Coastal, Clemson, USC, and several others. USC Beaufort, C of C, and a couple others have delays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 We'll see how the precip holds together once it reaches our neck of the woods. The radar looks really good below us. I hope it holds out. RUC looks good to me. The previous run was a monster with waves of UVV coming right up 85 and consistently redeveloping through 18 hours and we're below 0 the whole time. I'm fairly confident on a 6" snow through here, probably more in western SC with nearly a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 RUC looks good to me. The previous run was a monster with waves of UVV coming right up 85 and consistently redeveloping through 18 hours and we're below 0 the whole time. I'm fairly confident on a 6" snow through here, probably more in western SC with nearly a foot. has the RUC been accurate so far for this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 RUC looks good to me. The previous run was a monster with waves of UVV coming right up 85 and consistently redeveloping through 18 hours and we're below 0 the whole time. I'm fairly confident on a 6" snow through here, probably more in western SC with nearly a foot. Hopefully we will squeeze at least 4 inches here. Last year we were down in your area salting. If we don't get alot here we may be down there plowing. Got to stay here to make sure its under control before heading your way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Boy, brad panovich is jacked up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 RUC looks good to me. The previous run was a monster with waves of UVV coming right up 85 and consistently redeveloping through 18 hours and we're below 0 the whole time. I'm fairly confident on a 6" snow through here, probably more in western SC with nearly a foot. FYI: Got a couple of reliable posters in N GA over in the obs thread reporting 2 inch per hour rates. One had 4 inches in 2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miller Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Im in Greenville,SC, and was wondering if the snow will just be coming from the south of us or more will come from the west near arkansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTwx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Boy, brad panovich is jacked up. son-of-a....missed it...what did a Jacked up Brad say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWeSU Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 18z nam had .428 total for RDU, most recent 00z NAM has .409...biggest difference 00z NAM snow = .037", 18z NAM snow = .255" per the NCEP PTYPE graphs....I wonder if this run is an example of "the NCEP precip type scheme often misdiagnoses marginally sub-freezing snow- supporting temperature profiles as sleet or rain" Edit: Actually I took a better look and RDU is flirting with the 0c line by the time precip arrives this run so this graphic may be right. The problem is that right after the precip arrives there isn't enough moisture in the dendritic growth zone in the upper atmosphere. So all of the precip falling is in the form of super cooled water droplets forming just below this preferred growth layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Lol, on WSBTV they just said 2-3" MORE for ATL, 4" more for my area, and 8-10" more for the far north! Looks like they're banking on us staying mainly snow for the heaviest of the coming precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I don't see how all this precip is just going to dissipate before reaching the Triangle. I can't stand Greg Fishel, and think he is completely underestimating this storm. I honestly feel like over half of this forum could do his job better than he does. Rant over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 There's some insane omega on the RUC that comes through the western piedmont around 18z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 son-of-a....missed it...what did a Jacked up Brad say. he said if you doubt it's coming, just look at the radar. Sticking with 3-6" in the metro with higher amounts starting in Cleveland County and York County(6-8") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 FYI: Got a couple of reliable posters in N GA over in the obs thread reporting 2 inch per hour rates. One had 4 inches in 2 hours. I'm about 35 miles NE of Atlanta...it's been snowing for exactly an hour give or take a few minutes and we've got about 2 & 1/2 inches already....for about 20 minutes when the heaviest band came through you could barely see across the street. It was pretty amazing. If we do get further redevelopment all night, this could be a monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 latest rtm map has the surface low just south of new orleans. time sensitive link... http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/rtma/hr4/images/rtma_wnd_loul.gif most mod's have it quite a bit south of there. not really shocked it's further north. the rtm map matches up with the upper low much better than a SLP down in the north central gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 RUC looks good to me. The previous run was a monster with waves of UVV coming right up 85 and consistently redeveloping through 18 hours and we're below 0 the whole time. I'm fairly confident on a 6" snow through here, probably more in western SC with nearly a foot. We hold those strong omegas for a while tomorrow on the latest RUC. Excellent! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWeSU Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I don't see how all this precip is just going to dissipate before reaching the Triangle. I can't stand Greg Fishel, and think he is completely underestimating this storm. I honestly feel like over half of this forum could do his job better than he does. Rant over. We've got a high pressure sitting right on top of us and along with that a bunch of dry air to overcome. It's going to be difficult for a weakening upper level feature to overcome this dry air. Fishel is one of the best tv mets in the business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Fox5 (Ken Cook) now suggesting 6-8" for the north side metro Atlanta now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stinky Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Boy, brad panovich is jacked up. Steve Udelson and wsoc are saying 4" max in CLT with a quick changeover to a mix. What's Brads snowmeter now?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I think (scratch, I know) I've been model hugging the RGEM, but it's now shown 7 straight runs of all snow from GSP to CLT. 00z RGEM loop is showing snow beginning in CLT around 3AM (which looks about right), with good snow still flying til 8PM tomorrow night. RGEM Loop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canela Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 We've got a high pressure sitting right on top of us and along with that a bunch of dry air to overcome. It's going to be difficult for a weakening upper level feature to overcome this dry air. Fishel is one of the best tv mets in the business. I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tazaroo Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 RUC does look encouraging for most of us and so does radar. Question is how much will the dry air eat into the precip when it get further upstream? Hopefully not as much as was advertised since the storms seems to over performing already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 There's some insane omega on the RUC that comes through the western piedmont around 18z tomorrow. Just saw it too. It sits there for several hours as all snow. I hope that one holds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 You may not like what he says, but Fish is the best. He can be wrong though. His specialty is inside 8 hours. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The snow if being eaten way in North Carolina Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 You may not like what he says, but Fish is the best. He can be wrong though. His specialty is inside 8 hours. TW 8 hours? I would hope so. If you talk to Van Denton and Austin Caviness they both are real good however both will tell you they can't say much on the air in case it don't happen. I have met both and email Van all the time and he always expects more but won't say nothing on TV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ro9beam2002 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I agree Going to bed:O( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.