csnavywx Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 The H5 trough is still positively tilted on the gem, I would bet the low heads ENE/NE for 24 hours from there to NW KY and then into S. Indiana. Thumb rule: For short term motion, you can use the thickness lines as a rough guide to SLP movement. I wouldn't do this over a longer period of time though, since these lines are deformed by advection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Gem looks good for stl for possible light snows, but LAF looks like it gets rolled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Moneyman.. Is mnweather your twin bro? lol j/k Hot chocolate and a shot of dr's FTW to keep me up for the Euro.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 hey y'all. unfortunately, i haven't followed MW storms much this year (i miss it), but i'll be in southern IN from wed-sun (flying into chicago wed evening), and i finally got around to noticing this one.... haven't looked much yet at the runs. sadly, only looks like flurries on turkey day for the bloomington, in, area right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 My brother wouldn't be a Vikings or Twins fan (assuming he is) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 I agree Aleking, but if this thing is going to be as deep as that maps progs it at there will be some precip getting thrown back into the cold side...and I just lost my train of thought as to what else I was going to say. Oh, these SW systems being notoriously slower than modeled... that should be something to keep in mind as well... could lead to some further digging before it actually ejects out or could allow the cold to shoot down out of Canada and then shoot a low out of the SW on a more flatter W-E track. Still quite a while to watch this one, we're at a time when I think the trends bear more watching until Sun/Mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Thumb rule: For short term motion, you can use the thickness lines as a rough guide to SLP movement. I wouldn't do this over a longer period of time though, since these lines are deformed by advection. Thanks....I wish I could lock this run in and call it a day..but it would be a quick hitter, not even sure if it develops a lot of precip in the cold sector by me though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Moneyman.. Is mnweather your twin bro? lol j/k Hot chocolate and a shot of dr's FTW to keep me up for the Euro.. How much for Philly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Do you think there is any chance this will go west again or am I doomed out this way? Sure there's a chance, but with the baroclinic zone shifting SE with each wave moving to the NE, and that arctic air locking in, you *may* be a little too far N&W to get into the core of the system's best snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Moneyman.. Is mnweather your twin bro? lol j/k Hot chocolate and a shot of dr's FTW to keep me up for the Euro.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Moneyman.. Is mnweather your twin bro? lol j/k Hot chocolate and a shot of dr's FTW to keep me up for the Euro.. I have been waiting for someone to say this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 here's 0Z low resolution GGEM 156 & 168 qpf output Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 nice track to bring us our first light snows/Flurries on Thanksgiving here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 here's 0Z low resolution GGEM 156 & 168 qpf output Thanks! Probably a kitchen sink storm here if that track would pan out...but definitely some much needed precip regardless of form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 nice track to bring us our first light snows/Flurries on Thanksgiving here... the cold is likely under done..you would get more then that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 I say nudge it a hair or 2 east and I'll be a happy man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 the cold is likely under done..you would get more then that. better to play it safe for now Friv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 So.. everyone is waiting for the Euro... It's running now I believe. Will it be more like the GFS, or more like the GGEM? Stay tuned for another exciting episode of........ as the models run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 So.. everyone is waiting for the Euro... It's running now I believe. Will it be more like the GFS, or more like the GGEM? Stay tuned for another exciting episode of........ as the models run... I'll bet somewhere in between, or something ridiculous like a 970 low over chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 I'll bet somewhere in between, or something ridiculous like a 970 low over chicago. Now that would be nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 here's 0Z low resolution GGEM 156 & 168 qpf output Wow, hammer time for Bow on there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 I'm guessing the Euro will come in with something similar to the 12z Euro, but with a few minor differences. I doubt it will have a glorified cold front like the GFS. Even if it does downplay things, I'm still pretty confident we'll have a big snowstorm next week. Somebody on this board will be digging out from this beast this time next week. The million dollar question is who will it be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 I'll bet somewhere in between, or something ridiculous like a 970 low over detroit. Wouldn't bother me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Now that would be nice! Might want to back off the IMBYisms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Wow, hammer time for Bow on there. Showed cromartie that map.. Poor guy is already sounding bridge bound. He used to be fun to weenie out with in winter.. Now he wants nothing to do with the stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 even the 0Z NOGAPS has the strong system going to the lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Somebody on this board will be digging out from this beast this time next week. The million dollar question is who will it be? it wont be me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 0Z ukie at day 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omahawx Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 NOGAPS trying to catch on; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 0z ECMWF D5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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