Powerball Posted November 19, 2010 Author Share Posted November 19, 2010 I guess you didn't see how significant the changes were at 500mb from run to run on the GFS yesterday. On the other hand the EURO has been having significant changes in its track run for run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 144 GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 144 GGEM wrong map thats yesterdays run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 I found all my friends again!!!! Hello all!!!! Kinda interesting for next week to be certain can't wait to see this evolve, should be a storm somewhere looking at the cold breaking off and coming down as well as some energy there. Just a matter of one big chunk moving out or a strung out series of lows providing a lot of light snows over a wide area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 The H5 trough is still positively tilted on the gem, I would bet the low heads ENE/NE for 24 hours from there to NW KY and then into S. Indiana. Wouldn't hold my breath Friv. That's a mountain of heights out ahead of the trough. I'd guess it's as far, if not further west than its 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 here's new run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 wrong map thats yesterdays run Nah it's todays, reload. For some reason the GGEM maps like to stay in the cache. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 I found all my friends again!!!! Hello all!!!! Kinda interesting for next week to be certain can't wait to see this evolve, should be a storm somewhere looking at the cold breaking off and coming down as well as some energy there. Just a matter of one big chunk moving out or a strung out series of lows providing a lot of light snows over a wide area. Aleking massive met loss prediction fail. Welcome to the new house! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Nah it's todays, reload. oh yup just needed a reload Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 here's new run Actually, that's yesterday's. JoMo had it right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 I found all my friends again!!!! Hello all!!!! Kinda interesting for next week to be certain can't wait to see this evolve, should be a storm somewhere looking at the cold breaking off and coming down as well as some energy there. Just a matter of one big chunk moving out or a strung out series of lows providing a lot of light snows over a wide area. Welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 I found all my friends again!!!! Hello all!!!! Kinda interesting for next week to be certain can't wait to see this evolve, should be a storm somewhere looking at the cold breaking off and coming down as well as some energy there. Just a matter of one big chunk moving out or a strung out series of lows providing a lot of light snows over a wide area. Yay you are here . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 I found all my friends again!!!! Hello all!!!! Kinda interesting for next week to be certain can't wait to see this evolve, should be a storm somewhere looking at the cold breaking off and coming down as well as some energy there. Just a matter of one big chunk moving out or a strung out series of lows providing a lot of light snows over a wide area. Welcome back. You're just in time to help track what may be the first widespread major snowstorm. Or, if you believe the latest op GFS, the first major cold front lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Wouldn't hold my breath Friv. That's a mountain of heights out ahead of the trough. I'd guess it's as far, if not further west than its 12z run. Well the low on the 132 hr was on the KS/OK border about 100 miles west of MO/AR border. at 144 the low is in West Central Arkandas at 103 mb..give the amount of energy still rounding the back of the trough..possible some more ESE movement would happen before the trough tilts and it bombs and moves NE, NNE. That last chunk back in Arizona is still digging/deepen the base of the trough... I am willing to bet on this run the low misses Mizzouri and then goes north in SE IL/W IN or maybe even later then that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 That trough is huge and deep. and will phase at some point..someone is going to get Crushed if the GEM is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Well the low on the 132 hr was on the KS/OK border about 100 miles west of MO/AR border. at 144 the low is in West Central Arkandas at 103 mb..give the amount of energy still rounding the back of the trough..possible some more ESE movement would happen before the trough tilts and it bombs and moves NE, NNE. That last chunk back in Arizona is still digging/deepen the base of the trough... I am willing to bet on this run the low misses Mizzouri and then goes north in SE IL/W IN or maybe even later then that. That isn't good for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 here is 168h image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 156, 162, 168hrs: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Damn I am good. JK, I suck...most of this I have no clue and made a good guess. Can anyone who actually is in the know tell us if a CCB precip would be going with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 here is 168h image What is the top map and what is the bottom one mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 About 30 miles more to the west would be perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Well the low on the 132 hr was on the KS/OK border about 100 miles west of MO/AR border. at 144 the low is in West Central Arkandas at 103 mb..give the amount of energy still rounding the back of the trough..possible some more ESE movement would happen before the trough tilts and it bombs and moves NE, NNE. That last chunk back in Arizona is still digging/deepen the base of the trough... I am willing to bet on this run the low misses Mizzouri and then goes north in SE IL/W IN or maybe even later then that. Hell of a lot faster. Has the low over London, ON at 168. 12z GGEM at 180 had the low over EVV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 This dual low thing is a bit interesting because the Euro was trying to do the same thing at 168 hr, but I'm not convinced that feature is going to be anything more than an inverted trough in the end. And there's the inverted trough. Good to see the GEM coming around to that solution now, instead of that ridiculous looking double low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 19, 2010 Author Share Posted November 19, 2010 It does appear as if the pacific ridge was slower to amplify (the most significant difference from the 12z run). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Can't ask for a better track for here via tonight's Canadian. Still, I'm not sure as to the extent of the cold sector QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 What is the top map and what is the bottom one mean? Top map is the 500 MB map Bottom is the 'surface' map. Grayish line is the 'freezing line'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 What is the top map and what is the bottom one mean? Top is H5, Bottom is slp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Damn I'm slow tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 Top is H5, Bottom is slp. Do you think there is any chance this will go west again or am I doomed out this way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 19, 2010 Share Posted November 19, 2010 156, 162, 168hrs: 12z Euro for the same time had the 998 basically where the 992 is on that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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