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Midwest Thanksgiving Storm...


Powerball

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI1053 PM EST THU NOV 25 2010MIZ049-054-055-061>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-260600-HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE...CARO...SANDUSKY...FLINT...LAPEER...PORT HURON...HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN...ANN ARBOR...DETROIT...ADRIAN...MONROE1053 PM EST THU NOV 25 2010...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL RAPIDLY TONIGHT...WEST WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 35 MPH WILL BRING COLDER AIR QUICKLYINTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE UPPER20S SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THIS SUDDEN DROP IN TEMPERATURE...ALONG WITH A BRIEF SNOW SHOWER AS PRECIPITATION ENDS...COULDRESULT IN SLIPPERY CONDITIONS BEFORE THE WIND CAN DRY OFF ROADSURFACES.HOLIDAY MOTORISTS SHOULD DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION TONIGHT.$$BT
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Began as sleet here last night, quickly changed to rain though. A gray but mainly quiet Thanksgiving until the rain fired up again this evening. Wind is thrashing and temps are crashing...saw 0.80" rain imby, now it is snowing :)

I just had some too....updated OFFICAL ob.

KDTW 260413Z 30019G31KT 3SM -SNPL BR FEW016 BKN025 OVC032 01/M01 A2964 RMK AO2 PK WND 31031/0406 PLB13 P0000 $

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Same here....had 5 minutes of ice pellets too as the dry air advected in dropping the moisture down to or just below the -10 isotherm aloft.

Looks as if unless tomorrow can overachieve (outside the snow belts) we're on another snow hiatus for at least the next week or two.

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Flurries is a trace of snow. If you actually got a dusting of snow where the grass is coated white, its probably 0.1".

SE Macomb County did relatively well on November 5th, but it was in between the Selfridge & DET reporting stations. It was a lot like the Metro Airport snow shower.

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I dont know, I sure hope that this pattern changed, because if it does not, many of us in the G/L and O/V may be in trouble.

patterns always change. Its just too easy to get worried so early in the season. Most of us on here do EVERY year. As I posted in the winter talk thread...

Having seen no measurable snow through late November sucks, and seeing a rainstorm followed by plummeting temps as soon as the rain ends with no snow sucks even more. HOWEVER when you look at the big picture, this is all probably good, it just maybe started a few weeks later than we would have liked. We were in a pattern of boring boring weather, couldnt buy a storm, for months. Everyone was honking about Nina winters being wet in our area, but still....couldnt buy precip. Well, mid-November the switched turned on, and the stormy pattern arrived. Not surprising that the first few storms are rainstorms. Still think good stuff is very close...

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patterns always change. Its just too easy to get worried so early in the season. Most of us on here do EVERY year. As I posted in the winter talk thread...

Having seen no measurable snow through late November sucks, and seeing a rainstorm followed by plummeting temps as soon as the rain ends with no snow sucks even more. HOWEVER when you look at the big picture, this is all probably good, it just maybe started a few weeks later than we would have liked. We were in a pattern of boring boring weather, couldnt buy a storm, for months. Everyone was honking about Nina winters being wet in our area, but still....couldnt buy precip. Well, mid-November the switched turned on, and the stormy pattern arrived. Not surprising that the first few storms are rainstorms. Still think good stuff is very close...

Agree.

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patterns always change. Its just too easy to get worried so early in the season. Most of us on here do EVERY year. As I posted in the winter talk thread...

Having seen no measurable snow through late November sucks, and seeing a rainstorm followed by plummeting temps as soon as the rain ends with no snow sucks even more. HOWEVER when you look at the big picture, this is all probably good, it just maybe started a few weeks later than we would have liked. We were in a pattern of boring boring weather, couldnt buy a storm, for months. Everyone was honking about Nina winters being wet in our area, but still....couldnt buy precip. Well, mid-November the switched turned on, and the stormy pattern arrived. Not surprising that the first few storms are rainstorms. Still think good stuff is very close...

Yes.

In fact, we're in the midst of a pattern change. IOBY during a La Nina the real pattern doesn't set in until mid December (that's the best time to extrapolate what the mean storm track will be).

As others have said, Decmber 4th could potentially be a good period for our first decent panhandle hook/overunning event (all the models pick up on it to some extent) as the -NAO blocks starts to retrograde and setup in a more favorable position for supression.

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