Moneyman Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Wisconsin is just owning Michigan. And now Wisconsin just recoveres the fumble Euro should be interesting soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omahawx Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Also we are going to have a very wet ground if we get decent rains ahead of this potential system as well... warm and wet ground usually doesn't allow snow to accumulate very fast. I just don't see the reasoning to jump in one just one particular model and one particular run its not the best or most professional thing to do. You have to look at everything and the trends and none of those factors favor a big system, nothing I'm seeing anyways. Now as we get more upper air data in the coming days and the other models start coming around to a similar conclusion and show a better phasing or potential of likely phasing then I'll bite but not until then. I've seen this to many times to know better, I'd like to see one big chunk of energy come on out, phase, and have the cold air in place or have the arctic front the storm rides up along in a favorable position- none of that is there yet when taking ALL the models at face value. I still think you watch for trends and see how the models handle the set up- we'll be past that stage and ready to start making some concrete calls probably by Sunday evening. Here in Omaha, we had a wet and warm ground last Friday with 1" of rain before it snowed. It ended up snowing 4 inches with all of it sticking to the gras and about an inch on the cement so yes it can happen if it snows hard enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Euro 999 over N Wisconsin at 12z Thurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 This upcoming week will be all about building up that snow pack across the Northern Plains/Upper Midwest into the northern Great Lakes. That isn't such a bad thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Wisconsin is just owning Michigan. And now Wisconsin just recoveres the fumble Euro should be interesting soon. Ugly cold rain to dryslut for you. I think the Poops on the wall for most of us who know who we're. Stay hungry, Badgers. Nothing better than puttin' a whuppin' on Michigan! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Meh, I'm still holding out hope that the GFS is right. Would give a solid 2-4 inches of snow here. Who knows. I won't buy into anything until at least Monday or Tuesday. Wait until these next two systems gets through etc. What does the EURO show for Monday btw? I heard somewhere about a potential severe weather risk for S. WI on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Meh, I'm still holding out hope that the GFS is right. Would give a solid 2-4 inches of snow here. Who knows. I won't buy into anything until at least Monday or Tuesday. Wait until these next two systems gets through etc. What does the EURO show for Monday btw? I heard somewhere about a potential severe weather risk for S. WI on Monday. You're only going to be left holding your junk if you hold out for GFS love. It's over dude. Not out to monday yet. O you mean this monday.. Not sure maybe some rain.. MKE mentioned thunder.. who cares. F severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Euro at 850s warms dramatically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Never know. Maybe the forigen models suck, or maybe the GFS sucks, but meh, it's still early yet. Purdue is up 21-13 over MSU, that would be huge if Purude hangs on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Never know. Maybe the forigen models suck, or maybe the GFS sucks, but meh, it's still early yet. Purdue is up 21-13 over MSU, that would be huge if Purude hangs on. Trend is not our friend.. Just like I said a while back the least exciting and fastest way to get the cold air out will win.. Looks like we're torching by the weekend already now.. Looks to get cold tho again soon if the models have a clue. MSU loss would be huge.. They have the tiebreaker with us if OSU loses and there is not a 3 way tie for the conference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 I still feel like we are going to get screwed by the BCS system somehow. Just gotta win out, finish this game, and take care of NW in Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Euro at 850s warms dramatically. Looks like a westerly downslope flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Wow the Euro really backed off on the cold extent this far east....H5 map looks really weird though....Maybe holding too much energy back SW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 I still feel like we are going to get screwed by the BCS system somehow. Just gotta win out, finish this game, and take care of NW in Wisconsin. Badgers need to be careful with this one.. No 1999 or 2009 Would love to see a Boise/UW matchup. NW always seems to give us fits. I think their QB is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Yeah, the NW QB threw a game winning TD against Iowa, and then he tore his ACL I think on that same play. I know he got really injured and is done for the season. I think it was some sort of knee injury or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Am without internet this weekend. Looks like I won't be missing much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Just wondering. Whens the last time a major winter storm affected eastern Iowa during thanksgiving? I have a feeling this winter is going to be really snowy for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Ugly cold rain to dryslut for you I would like her to be wet. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 18z GFS headed north... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 18z GFS headed north... Yeah it looks a little more like the 12z GEM/Euro. The storm track and associated temps seem more like a late October/early November system than late November. A lot of locations around here have yet to even see their first flurries. Looks like they may be waiting till December lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 18z NAM is considerably more south and west with the energy at 84 hours then the 18z GFS. really not expecting much here out of this system given the warm ground temps and warm weather were going to be getting the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Soooo, looks like Powerball is going to be 0 for 1 in starting storm threads. Noted for future considerations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Soooo, looks like Powerball is going to be 0 for 1 in starting storm threads. Noted for future considerations. I was one of the good luck winter thread starters I think in 08' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 This dumping of energy in the SW needs to be watched...would be so awesome if more gets left back and a 2nd storm spins up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/UKHEMI_12z/ukloop.html#picture the umket clearly is leaving some back there...at 144 has a 1004 mb low in Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 I was one of the good luck winter thread starters I think in 08' Yeah you were hot that winter. You're on my short list of multiple successful storm thread starters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 21, 2010 Author Share Posted November 21, 2010 Soooo, looks like Powerball is going to be 0 for 1 in starting storm threads. Noted for future considerations. Too early to decide either way. That said, I can always adjust the details in the title if necessary. It's somewhat funy how all the models are insisting on a double barrel low and insist on randomly popping a low directly under the PV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Too early to decide either way. That said, I can always adjust the details in the title if necessary. I'm just joking around...bored if you will. I'm not sure there is a consistent successful thread starter among us anyway...other than Thundersnow's good run a couple of winters ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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