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NYC/PHL Potential Jan 11-14 Event Discussion Part Two


NickD2011

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there's a bit more precip back in the OV and a closed isobar ov low on this run...there wasn't one at 0z. surface reflection on the Euro is a touch east compared to 0z. (thru 54)

thru 60, precip breaking out now east of 95 in Delmarva, some mod qpf just off of VA/MD.

there's a bit more moisture on this run compared to 0z.

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hr 60, 1012ish mb low off hse...mod precip delmarva back to cinci..h5 closed off... over oh..

66...mod preicp philly and points s.e in jersey..1008 mb low inside b,m east of ac by 75miles?? roughly/.

72,,nyc /li hammered .5" precip rate,... light to mod precip s/w back to philly

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qpf through 72:

.75 for areas east of the GSP

.50 for Route 202 and east.

.25 everyone else.

Through 78:

1"+ NYC and LI, SWCT

.75+ Newark to Hammonton to Cape May on east.

.50+ Stroudsburg to Wilmington to Salisbury on east

Everyone else .25+

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bombing just off the cape.. ct./mass hit good..low was sub 1000 in previous frame, just wanted to clear the air.. inside the B/M...

Philly .5"+ Tight gradient to it's west... and about a 15mile swath straight north into pa.. NJ from cape to jersey city .75-1", nyc 1"-1.25... eatsern LI 1.5"+ through 78... most of snow is near boston

GOTTA GO .. EAGLES GAME! NICE RUN

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bombing just off the cape.. ct./mass hit good..low was sub 1000 in previous frame, just wanted to clear the air.. inside the B/M...

Philly .5"+ Tight gradient to it's west... and about a 15mile swath straight north into pa.. NJ from cape to jersey city .75-1", nyc 1"-1.25... eatsern LI 1.5"+ through 78... most of snow is near boston

GOTTA GO .. EAGLES GAME! NICE RUN

The gradient isn't going to be fun, yet again... sharp cutoff between the haves and have nots....

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