atownwxwatcher Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 From pro met AM19PSU The QPF fields are actually remarkably similar to the GFS, except across SNE, where the Euro dumps 1"+ of liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Not bad. Tombo's description sounds like Queens and east gets .75"+. Correct. This is a good hit for Long Island and the precip amounts quickly ramp to well over an inch up as you head east into Suffolk Co.. Temps look close for LI but I think overall, it would be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmizer Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Can you see if there are any mixing issues at 850 anywhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I love how much the 95-96 winter is in here... http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/stats.php?reg=EAST&model=GFS212&fhr=060&flg=new Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 total qpf .25-.5 all of pa into nw nj and western jerz by phl .5-.75 millville to ttn to monticello to about alb .75-1 toms river to nyc then up ct state line 1-1.25 central li to central ct 1.25 -1.5 the rest of li into ct How much QPF does HPN (White Plains) get? Are we within the .75-1" contour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 How much QPF does HPN (White Plains) get? Are we within the .75-1" contour? your close but ur not within it...sne gets crushed this run..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 How much QPF does HPN (White Plains) get? Are we within the .75-1" contour? Just in on the .75 contour. Maybe a shade west of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Tombo, what's the QPF for the Jersey Coast? same as Toms River? that has been answered read above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Tombo, what's the QPF for the Jersey Coast? same as Toms River? the beaches kiss the .75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 total qpf .25-.5 all of pa into nw nj and western jerz by phl .5-.75 millville to ttn to monticello to about alb .75-1 toms river to nyc then up ct state line 1-1.25 central li to central ct 1.25 -1.5 the rest of li into ct i dont see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 total qpf .25-.5 all of pa into nw nj and western jerz by phl .5-.75 millville to ttn to monticello to about alb .75-1 toms river to nyc then up ct state line 1-1.25 central li to central ct 1.25 -1.5 the rest of li into ct Just curious when you mention Millville is that NJ or the PA Millville? I am going to assume Jersey? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 your close but ur not within it...sne gets crushed this run..... I'm south of HPN so I probably get a hair more...this sounds like a great storm, .75" QPF with good ratios and lighter winds. Definitely going to be a fun event if the models are correct, and an addition to an already decent snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Just curious when you mention Millville is that NJ or the PA Millville? I am going to assume Jersey? yes nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 the beaches kiss the .75 looks like a solid 4-6" in E PA this run...BTW are you sure Ukie is east bcuz at 72 it looks a lot like the GFS at h5/surface but I don't know what happens at 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 total qpf .25-.5 all of pa into nw nj and western jerz by phl .5-.75 millville to ttn to monticello to about alb .75-1 toms river to nyc then up ct state line 1-1.25 central li to central ct 1.25 -1.5 the rest of li into ct That makes no sense.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 JMA at 72 hours http://grib2.com/jma/CONUS_JMA_1000-500_SLPTHKPRP_72HR.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmizer Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 im not close to toms river Sounds like you're in the .5 to .75 contour...maybe around .65 or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 im not close to toms river I'm thinking he meant the shore south of Toms River. im thinking he ment the shade tree by my dog house....stop guys.....common sense .75 kisses the shore......you both get .50+ and are very close to .70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 A moderate event for the coast, as the Euro has been depicting this for a while now. Which is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 That makes no sense.. THe .25 to .5 is more the western fringes of NJ NW NJ is in the .5 contour and so is all of Orange Co, NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goombatommy Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 What about ABE? I cannot see images on this garbage phone. =( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 THe .25 to .5 is more the western fringes of NJ NW NJ is in the .5 contour and so is all of Orange Co, NY Cool... Thanks for clearing it up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 looks like a solid 4-6" in E PA this run...BTW are you sure Ukie is east bcuz at 72 it looks a lot like the GFS at h5/surface but I don't know what happens at 84 it looks like the euro track, so im not sure where that is compared to the gfs, the ukie maps are hard cause its 24 hr incr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 What about ABE? I cannot see images on this garbage phone. =( There are no images to really see...you get.25+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmizer Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Tombo, Do you have any 850 data you can interpolate? Coastal NJ anf LI have been dealing with the mixing dilemma all night. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This would be an 18 hour storm starting Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 UKMET @ 84 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goombatommy Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 There are no images to really see...you get.25+ Ok, thank you! Figures we get teh shaft again . Gnite! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The GGEM was better than furst though it looks like a 0.25 (+) i-95 west, and 0.50 (+) east of there with LI/NE more. Sounds like the euro onto the maps that looks like 12z, unless thats what your trying to show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 That makes no sense.. It is a little odd unless it means more western NJ the then NW. ie western Sussex County, Warren County & western Hunterdon County. But that is spliting hairs on a 3 day qpf forecast. Also lines are not nessecarily straight and my bend hear and there around on area and not another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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