Blizzardo Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:28 PM, LVblizzard said: Coastal hugger at 63 with a developing CCB over the region. I see decent qpf numbers coming down the pike ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 nice explosion of the ccb at hr 66 from northern del northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 CCB hammers everybody except far N&W areas at 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Heck of a nice jump at 66...moderate (at least) snows east of 81 in PA. 850 line on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 NYC-PHL blizzard at 69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 wow at hr 69, ccb crushes nyc, good trend so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:33 PM, LVblizzard said: NYC-PHL blizzard at 69 thats a huge difference for the philly area from earlier.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:33 PM, tombo82685 said: wow at hr 69, ccb crushes nyc, good trend so far. the 850 is completely offshore, not even at LI. Great jump. On 1/9/2011 at 2:33 PM, LVblizzard said: NYC-PHL blizzard at 69 Might not be a true "blizzard" but it's an impressive snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 H5 is tight and in classic position on the NAM. Picture perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:31 PM, phlwx said: Heck of a nice jump at 66...moderate (at least) snows east of 81 in PA. 850 line on the coast. Without seeing 72 yet, looks like new NAM has an all snow event for almost all the region and should show AT LEAST 0.5"+ for the entire region. Possibly widesrpead 0.75"+...great run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 That is a bonkers CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Awesome trend!( or shifting). Seems like upton's afd was onto something with that gulf tap. Reminiscent of the 12/26 event in that the southern stream was just a bit stronger than proged once it hit the gulf and made a helluva difference overall. Nice convection down in the gulf attm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I never, ever want to be in the NAM's bullseye outside of 60 hours. Might be right but given where it was after the 0z I need to see a real trend establish on the NAM instead of a huge shift (it can clearly shift more). With that said, a great run and yes, this is what will happen when the southern energy dominates and the OV energy gets sucked in quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:37 PM, Zelocita Weather said: Without seeing 72 yet, looks like new NAM has an all snow event for almost all the region and should show AT LEAST 0.5"+ for the entire region. Possibly widesrpead 0.75"+...great run! Well over 1" for Monmouth, Ocean, NE NJ, NYC, etc... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Key is stronger southern stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 even though things trended great, remember the nam past 60 hrs, and its the furthest west model out of them all, with most of them a good bit further east. Lets see what the rest of the 12z package shows, hopefully it trends towards a faster transfer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 BIG TIME! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 At H5 the vort was much stronger this run and everything was slowed down a bit, thus the higher QPF values. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:40 PM, Alpha5 said: At H5 the vort was much stronger this run and everything was slowed down a bit, thus the higher QPF values. Well in one run NAM went from 3-6" moderate snow to a 12-15" slam. That 6-12 hour period would be insane! Total QPF 1"+ from E 1/2 NJ NYC/LI! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 NAM drops over an inch of liquid in 6 hours over much of CT and LI from 66-72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Definitely need to see the rest of 12z but Nam is a good way to start the day ! Next at bat.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 NYC is 1.25"+ on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 A few notes: 1) LakeEffect King mentioned that an H5 low that was closed and tight would likely slow down the surface reflection. The NAM does this. 2) Everything is fully sampled now and thus could explain the weaker primary and stronger transfer. Good trends for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I have it as a 987mb south of Long Island at 72 hrs. and as a 986mb near the eastern end of Long Island at 75 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Fwiw, eta is a big hit for the metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Snow depth at 78 per nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Totals through 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 its basically 1 inch qpf from phl north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:46 PM, rygar said: Snow depth at 78 per nam So not only did the NAM vs. 0/6z increase QPF A LOT, it also cooled the coastal areas so everyone can enjoy. Very nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The question remains, can we trust the NAM at this range? It is hard to believe it is so different than all the other guidance and we have all seen the NAM do this before at this range. Caution is necessary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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