ENYsnow Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 wow the 03z RUC hammers ENY and poinst northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 wow the 03z RUC hammers ENY and poinst northeast RUC looks better than SREF at this point...we'll see about slp placement but the So. Fork of LI is already above freezing - could be coastal front but could also see slp riding that and actually crossing over BID to TAN in Mass...which would greatly affect forecasts for my old stomping grounds. SREF mean keeps R/S line offshore - which is already bogus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Final thought before I go to bed. The water temps are warmer than the cold air going over them; so as the Jet pulls this thing North and Northeast Instability will cause it intensify very quickly over the next 20-30 hours. The coastal is a little more west than the models said it would be, but not enough to make a huge difference...I think 3-6 for the Mohawk Valley and 8-12 north of Albany, with 12-14+ south of Albany and 16-18 with maybe a few Easter Egg 20 inch amounts closer to the coast is a good bet ....I hope I get 2 inches. So far this Winter the northern Tug can't catch a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgottmann Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Final thought before I go to bed. The water temps are warmer than the cold air going over them; so as the Jet pulls this thing North and Northeast Instability will cause it intensify very quickly over the next 20-30 hours. The coastal is a little more west than the models said it would be, but not enough to make a huge difference...I think 3-6 for the Mohawk Valley and 8-12 north of Albany, with 12-14+ south of Albany and 16-18 with maybe a few Easter Egg 20 inch amounts closer to the coast is a good bet ....I hope I get 2 inches. So far this Winter the northern Tug can't catch a break. Sounds good to me. Appreciate your efforts. You will get yours soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Nice summary.....matches my thinking. I'll be rooting for you to get yours soon. All snow lovers deserve to be dumped on. Final thought before I go to bed. The water temps are warmer than the cold air going over them; so as the Jet pulls this thing North and Northeast Instability will cause it intensify very quickly over the next 20-30 hours. The coastal is a little more west than the models said it would be, but not enough to make a huge difference...I think 3-6 for the Mohawk Valley and 8-12 north of Albany, with 12-14+ south of Albany and 16-18 with maybe a few Easter Egg 20 inch amounts closer to the coast is a good bet ....I hope I get 2 inches. So far this Winter the northern Tug can't catch a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Final thought before I go to bed. The water temps are warmer than the cold air going over them; so as the Jet pulls this thing North and Northeast Instability will cause it intensify very quickly over the next 20-30 hours. The coastal is a little more west than the models said it would be, but not enough to make a huge difference...I think 3-6 for the Mohawk Valley and 8-12 north of Albany, with 12-14+ south of Albany and 16-18 with maybe a few Easter Egg 20 inch amounts closer to the coast is a good bet ....I hope I get 2 inches. So far this Winter the northern Tug can't catch a break. I definitely know the cant catch a break feeling with below average winters for the last 5 years here.. this year will hopefully end that. I'm sure you will get a nice storm be it lake effect or synoptic sooner than later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 wow the 03z RUC hammers ENY and poinst northeast lol I have to laugh at how Ottawa just misses out. The story of this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 About 3.5" here as of 3:40 AM. We are clearly near he edge of the betters snows here...alternates between light and moderate. Nothing compared to the true intense banding down toward CT and MA and the far east edge of NY. Nice snowy ride home from near Canandiagua. It was pretty heavy from 10:00 to 12:30 between SYR and here, but a that stuff moved north and weakened. lol I have to laugh at how Ottawa just misses out. The story of this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 You look great Andy..I didn't see any sweat ......good forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 5" this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I Just measured 7 inches outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 3.4" / .21" liquid here @ 7am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 6 Possibly a bit more here. Snow picking up alot again here in Eggertsville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andyace Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 4 inches here, not bad! Time to go snowmobiling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Snow is trying to hang on here, not heavy but it's still snowing. I wonder how Justin is making out in Mass. Should be pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avid6eek Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 6.5" at 7am and snowing moderately. Just arrived at work in Latham and there is noticeably more, but I don't have an exact measurement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 4" in L'pool....snowing nicely. Great discussions by all! TH, your thoughts on how this all transpired have been very good! Time for mother nature to reward you and your fellow Tuggsters with something BIG! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Couchsachraga Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 as of 8:20 this morning here in Queensbury. NWS has significantly changed their forecasts, especially for the Adirondacks adjoining the Upper Hudson Valley (from 2-5 to 7-11 today). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andyace Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Is that a hint? 4" in L'pool....snowing nicely. Great discussions by all! TH, your thoughts on how this all transpired have been very good! Time for mother nature to reward you and your fellow Tuggsters with something BIG! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 over 7" here now with SN- and most of the banding crashing east. this is the second time this year that the 1'+ snows are just east of us ahh ill take it though. looks like the NWS will bust way high with their call of 14" at ALB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 out here in Delanson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Me confused. We have like 6 or 7" here. The heavy banding is staying to the east. The low center seems to be losing longitude quickly and the Albany NWSFO keeps raising our totals. At 5am I was up to check on the kids school and they had raised us from 6-12" to 8-16". At 7a they went 10-20". Say what? Maybe we'll get Hudson Mohawk Convergence up the wazoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avid6eek Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Me confused. We have like 6 or 7" here. The heavy banding is staying to the east. The low center seems to be losing longitude quickly and the Albany NWSFO keeps raising our totals. At 5am I was up to check on the kids school and they had raised us from 6-12" to 8-16". At 7a they went 10-20". Say what? Maybe we'll get Hudson Mohawk Convergence up the wazoo. I'd just ignore it...NWS forecasts are natoriously bad. Stick with Andy on WTEN. The heaviest of the snow appears to be over for the CD, but light snow looks to continue for a good part of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Me confused. We have like 6 or 7" here. The heavy banding is staying to the east. The low center seems to be losing longitude quickly and the Albany NWSFO keeps raising our totals. At 5am I was up to check on the kids school and they had raised us from 6-12" to 8-16". At 7a they went 10-20". Say what? Maybe we'll get Hudson Mohawk Convergence up the wazoo. Say hasta la vista...............storm pulling ENE off CC and all the enhanced precip has retreated back into WNE. Our problem was this was too much of a quick hitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 :snowman: :snowman: and 1/2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Another glancing blow here... two Noreasters in a row where the Hill Towns end up on the short end, but better than nothing. Maybe it's payback for the 46 inches last February. Best estimate would be 6 inches as of 10:45 AM. There could be a tad more, but I haven't done my official measurement yet. -SN continues and 21F. over 7" here now with SN- and most of the banding crashing east. this is the second time this year that the 1'+ snows are just east of us ahh ill take it though. looks like the NWS will bust way high with their call of 14" at ALB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I never believed it, just thought it was ridonculous. I just want to know what they were thinking. They're usually not this far off. I upped my forecast from 5-10" to 6-12" yesterday and now I'm thinking that I should have stuck with 5-10". Radar is filling in a bit in Albany County and the models did hint at enhanced precip in the Cap District this afternoon. We'll see, but I'm guessing we don't break 10". Current surface map looks like it want to try to turn winds WNW down the Mohawk Valley. Hudson Valley has north winds. Maybe a bit of convergence starting. Nice little kink in Isobars. I'd just ignore it...NWS forecasts are natoriously bad. Stick with Andy on WTEN. The heaviest of the snow appears to be over for the CD, but light snow looks to continue for a good part of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 It's unfortunate that a low like that over the Cape couldm't do more for us in ENY, but it comes down to the overall upper structure of the system. Some lows on CC can pound us good. I never believed it, just thought it was ridonculous. I just want to know what they were thinking. They're usually not this far off. I upped my forecast from 5-10" to 6-12" yesterday and now I'm thinking that I should have stuck with 5-10". Radar is filling in a bit in Albany County and the models did hint at enhanced precip in the Cap District this afternoon. We'll see, but I'm guessing we don't break 10". Current surface map looks like it want to try to turn winds WNW down the Mohawk Valley. Hudson Valley has north winds. Maybe a bit of convergence starting. Nice little kink in Isobars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Usually a LI to CC track is near perfect for us. 3 moderate storms now...blizzard, last weeks, and this one. I've heard reports in my old neighborhood in W. CT of over 2 feet...bringing them to almost 50" on the season...unreal start to the winter for parts of SNE...and just out of our reach. It's unfortunate that a low like that over the Cape couldm't do more for us in ENY, but it comes down to the overall upper structure of the system. Some lows on CC can pound us good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 1" from 5:30 to 11:30, total of 6" for the storm. Should be around a foot on the ground. Light snow continues, but the sun is trying to poke through the clouds. This might be the wrong thread for this, but the finger lakes are doing quite nice right now. Looks like Binghamton is getting some nice snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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