Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I think you and Ginx look good. 3 or 4" for you definitely would not surprise me. I could see Ginx getting 5 or 6. Agreed. I'll be back in an hour or 2 after a few Guinness. Later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I was actually really surprised to hear Burbank. He was pretty aggressive in saying this is a nothing event/overblown in terms of advisories/warnings. It's make or break now, we'll see it expand or we'll watch OES banded snows provide quite a bit of snow and the inverted trough deux in CT. 1-3/2-4 and maybe some higher amounts in bands from the ocean or along the trough. It's possible some of the lowest totals are actually in the warning area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I was actually really surprised to hear Burbank. He was pretty aggressive in saying this is a nothing event/overblown in terms of advisories/warnings. It's make or break now, we'll see it expand or we'll watch OES banded snows provide quite a bit of snow and the inverted trough deux in CT. 1-3/2-4 and maybe some higher amounts in bands from the ocean or along the trough. It's possible some of the lowest totals are actually in the warning area. Yeah I think E CT looks best right now to be honest. Definitely see that inverted trough setting up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 He's right but it's not really so much that it's a quick mover...it's just too far east. When the rotation point is south of us already and the precip isn't falling... yes but how much precip from the inv trough freature/ (qpf) wise. oes has clipped me with a weenie flakes now to and has now almost reached NW ri. they will collide with inv. trough soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Yeah I think E CT looks best right now to be honest. Definitely see that inverted trough setting up there. SRI looks good right now, any reports? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Radar lookin pretty nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Roads a legitimate skating rink in malden on maine roads. Heading to border cafe on rt 1 Went there for lunch lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Yeah I think E CT looks best right now to be honest. Definitely see that inverted trough setting up there. Burbank very aggressive in essentially saying he thinks the warnings and advisories bust: http://weather.boston.cbslocal.com/US/MA/Boston.html I think he's probably downplaying a bit the snow potential in CT and parts of RI. He's saying 3 maybe 4" down here...2 or so Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 OT, but i have to post the 18z DGEX for Tue night/Weds (supports all snow): Already in other thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Radar lookin pretty nice. Strong push to the southeast right now. I mean there is a strong push coming from the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Here's Burbank....keep in mind he's really stressing the lower totals and only expects 3" on the Cape and maybe a 4" here and there. I think it's a little bold to change that much yet, but we'll know by 9 one way or the other. It's doing it's thing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 He's right but it's not really so much that it's a quick mover...it's just too far east. When the rotation point is south of us already and the precip isn't falling... could this inv. trough turn into a damn firehose? i think i see what you mean as far as pivot point goes (latitude wise) but this thing is just exloding out there on the WV Loop.....perhaps bombogenesis? could this thing stair step it's way to the NE and curl right up 41/ 69.5 A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Went there for lunch lol. Lol too long of a line going to fuddruckers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 ch.7 got down a lot on accum. too. Nothing west of 495 really. But the map sucks in general. 0" for Tolland? lol Widespread 1-3" east of 495 with basically nothing in Ct..and a 3-5 circle of near the cape. http://www1.whdh.com/weather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 weenie flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Here's Burbank....keep in mind he's really stressing the lower totals and only expects 3" on the Cape and maybe a 4" here and there. I think it's a little bold to change that much yet, but we'll know by 9 one way or the other. It's doing it's thing now. Hopefully your area can get in on some of the good snows...and they dont all end up just to your east and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 could this inv. trough turn into a damn firehose? i think i see what you mean as far as pivot point goes (latitude wise) but this thing is just exloding out there on the WV Loop.....perhaps bombogenesis? could this thing stair step it's way to the NE and curl right up 41/ 69.5 A It's a reasonably impressive low. KTAN or one of the others explained specifically why this wasn't able to generate an impressive precip shield yesterday with regards to how the mid-level centers were interacting. This is one of the very, very few times you'll see a water vapor loop erupt with deep moisture with very litle to show out underneath. We have the same old problem of not much inflow with diffuse low-mid level centers for right now. That'll change but not until it's already E. OES and trough or bust. I think BB may be over downplaying the trough snows in SE CT/SW RI. Those could become very intense. OES could be pretty darn good too. I don't think the 18z was a fluke, I think the models probably busted but we shall see. King Euro actually up ticked a little and had .5 pretty well established so I still have hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Wow ......burbank has some cajones look at this beast. the thing i was kinda suprised about on the burbank map is SE CT but alot of mets don't pay as close attention to the areas in there map that is not their viewing area.....at least this is my impression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 SN in medfield...i suspect ocean effect and the strengthening system to our south with result in a congealed band of precip across E/C SNE w/ in the next 30 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Low is probably sub 987mb right now, buoy SE of ACK reporting a 987mb pressure and pressure falling rapidly. On the order of -4mb/3hr, greater than 1mb/hr falls. Low looks to be trying to curl more towards the NE rather than ENE. I think the Cape and Islands will get into the CCB later on this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 two observations 1. heavy snow OES moving thru N bristol 2. look by ORH how that OES band switches direction and is congealing w/ inverted trough precip http://www.intellicast.com/National/Nexrad/BaseReflectivity.aspx?location=USMA0310&animate=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 ch.7 got down a lot on accum. too. Nothing west of 495 really. But the map sucks in general. 0" for Tolland? lol Widespread 1-3" east of 495 with basically nothing in Ct..and a 3-5 circle of near the cape. http://www1.whdh.com/weather/ I'm not sure why they are all downplaying the trough so much. That said, it looks like crap and has all day. It's impressive looking but you can see the main storm dynamics rocketing easterly as the second center develops way out in the ocean. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=box&loop=yes That said aside of the lollis for OES and the trough, the WHDH/WBZ maps are very similar to what I've been saying most of the day which is 1-3" was the widespread snow, 2-4/3-6 right on the coast. I thought when I first signed on today there was more potential, especially with the Euro being a good hit, but ugh. Phil I think it's OES or bust for me. 1-3/2-4 is in serious jeopardy here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Low is probably sub 987mb right now, buoy SE of ACK reporting a 987mb pressure and pressure falling rapidly. On the order of -4mb/3hr, greater than 1mb/hr falls. Low looks to be trying to curl more towards the NE rather than ENE. I think the Cape and Islands will get into the CCB later on this evening. Very impressive sat sig at this stage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Very impressive sat sig at this stage No kidding it looks great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Had some -SN with OES, but nothing really. Still only a coating for the event. Not expecting much of anything here. Trough too far SW (again). SE CT/ S RI look to do best. Wouldn't be surprised to see a toned down version of yesterday's snows in these areas. Here...another D-1". I'll await WED's fun. Early call is 6-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Low is probably sub 987mb right now, buoy SE of ACK reporting a 987mb pressure and pressure falling rapidly. On the order of -4mb/3hr, greater than 1mb/hr falls. Low looks to be trying to curl more towards the NE rather than ENE. I think the Cape and Islands will get into the CCB later on this evening. Thing is the mid level centers are adjusting east. We may have a major league save at the last minute, but the radars are both drying rapidly. I hope it's temporary. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=okx&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Snow flurries here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Perfect winter day, fresh snow followed by gray skies with persistent micro flakes in the air. Now we once again have some very light snow and I love how on the radar the tip of that plume of moisture is pointing right up through Htfd towards this area. Hopefully we can get it set up so it streams right up towards the Monads for the evening. Might have to coin a new acronym for the board - As Kevin Thought ( AKT ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Very impressive sat sig at this stage The most impressive part of the pattern is to our south right now at the surface. Extremely deep cold cloud tops. I would not be surprised to see some of those deep cloud tops to the east of the low swing northwestward into the region, those would probably produce a lot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 SRI looks good right now, any reports? So far not even a flake in Newport but radar returns suggest accumulating snow falling just west of Narragansett. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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