weathafella Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This entire show may be south of the Pike. We had a nice burst of OES around 6:15 or so...but that has moved south and I question whether we get much more. At this point gun to my head I'd say under an inch in Boston. Good luck south of here guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 snowing is building NE, up to almost Nashua, Littleton, Concord, Waltahm.. hope it makes it to Burlington.. Yeah and here...we've really been left out for both parts so far. EDIT: But we'll exact our revenge on those west of us when we're 1/4 mile vis S+ on Wednesday, while they fall in 4 mile vis subsidence S- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 an ever so slight shift SE of the .5 and .25. Not much, just slight. Poor performance from the SREF's this time. New NAM doesn't get the CCB any closer. I can't believe my low end cautious totals will bust high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeVries Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This entire show may be south of the Pike. We had a nice burst of OES around 6:15 or so...but that has moved south and I question whether we get much more. At this point gun to my head I'd say under an inch in Boston. Good luck south of here guys. This is a disaster...no measurable snow in Boston the entire weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This entire show may be south of the Pike. We had a nice burst of OES around 6:15 or so...but that has moved south and I question whether we get much more. At this point gun to my head I'd say under an inch in Boston. Good luck south of here guys. It's over for anything down here close to warning criteria save miracle micro/meso banding from OEs type stuff. What a choke job on ALL models it would appear. WTF is going on this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 an ever so slight shift SE of the .5 and .25. Not much, just slight. Poor performance from the SREF's this time. New NAM doesn't get the CCB any closer. I can't believe my low end cautious totals will bust high. NAM definitely not that impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 hopefully we have 4-5 hours of this going to town Box disco said MLC may jump from NYC to east of bench mark killing lift for "northern sections" by 6z don't know if that's jerry elephant but something is moving thru downeast/ Gulf of maine at about 40 mph on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 9, 2011 Author Share Posted January 9, 2011 KTAN 090136Z AUTO 31005KT 1/2SM SN FZFG BKN004 OVC007 M01/M02 A2932 RMK AO2 UPE0057SNB0057 Unedited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 an ever so slight shift SE of the .5 and .25. Not much, just slight. Poor performance from the SREF's this time. New NAM doesn't get the CCB any closer. I can't believe my low end cautious totals will bust high. 90% of our totals will be from oes.. although the arm of the cape always seems to disrupt that flow and **ck it up for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Coming down nicely. Moderate, moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This is a disaster...no measurable snow in Boston the entire weekend. I think I got about 0.5 inch today. Some decent bursts. Can't complain after being in the jackpot. Wed looks tasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 very light snow has begun here in branford on the western front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 1/4SM +SN is impressive enough... S++ as I call it is truly rare You have no sense of humor, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 NAM definitely not that impressive. I just cannot believe every model busted (presuming current radar/water vapor and the new NAM) are correct. Didn't the Euro have .5" over a decent section? RGEM, GGEM, etc...UKMET I think will turn out to have won this one. How can it be even 6 hour forecasts from NCEP models stink? It's staggering. 90% of our totals will be from oes.. Yep. This has looked like a turd all day and it's a turd aside of OES and impressive trough snows. Total disaster yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 You have no sense of humor, After seeing a report of "heavy heavy snow" last night from someone under literally NO radar echoes was tough to digest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I just cannot believe every model busted (presuming current radar/water vapor and the new NAM) are correct. Didn't the Euro have .5" over a decent section? RGEM, GGEM, etc...UKMET I think will turn out to have won this one. How can it be even 6 hour forecasts from NCEP models stink? It's staggering. Models suck with redevelopers in these types of patterns. Notice how the Miller A next week has been modeled pretty well in advance 5-7 days out? Probably not a coincidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Geez, how's this for a Walmart chopper? Let's hope banding saves us/trough but disaster. Been like a slow motion train wreck all day long. Whatever excuses people want to make for the models and I understand it may be they weren't able to handle this pattern we're not talking 24-72 hours, they cannot even get 6 hour forecasts correct right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Its start to really rip here now. Better flakes. I expect that this stuff will probably begin to fall apart as we head near midnight and shift mostly toward SE CT over to CC, but we'll see how long it holds on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Geez, how's this for a Walmart chopper? Let's hope banding saves us/trough but disaster. Been like a slow motion train wreck all day long. Whatever excuses people want to make for the models and I understand it may be they weren't able to handle this pattern we're not talking 24-72 hours, they cannot even get 6 hour forecasts correct right now. FWIW I'm in the .05 area and I probably already have that amount... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I just cannot believe every model busted (presuming current radar/water vapor and the new NAM) are correct. Didn't the Euro have .5" over a decent section? RGEM, GGEM, etc...UKMET I think will turn out to have won this one. How can it be even 6 hour forecasts from NCEP models stink? It's staggering. Yep. This has looked like a turd all day and it's a turd aside of OES and impressive trough snows. Total disaster yet again. The problem is the last 2 storms we were getting snow from complex and subtle mesoscale features. The models, IMO, did a nice job showing where that potential would be but when it comes to nailing down subtle mesoscale features the models just aren't good. It's almost like trying to pin down where convection will get going 24 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 It looks like it's going to make a run at HVN, possibly even BDR. Let's go. I'd like a coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 After seeing a report of "heavy heavy snow" last night from someone under literally NO radar echoes was tough to digest. Exactly why I did it, moderate here visibility 3/4-1/2 better flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 9, 2011 Author Share Posted January 9, 2011 Just went out to measure. 0.7" in the past hour since it started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This thread is running the gamut of emotions right now. Almost as fascinating as watching the storm itself. When you're forecast to get nothing it makes getting nothing a lot easier to swallow. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scituate44 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This is a disaster...no measurable snow in Boston the entire weekend. Temp. back up to 35.9 at Scituate as of 8:55 p.m.. The models are really struggling lately to get it right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The problem is the last 2 storms we were getting snow from complex and subtle mesoscale features. The models, IMO, did a nice job showing where that potential would be but when it comes to nailing down subtle mesoscale features the models just aren't good. It's almost like trying to pin down where convection will get going 24 hours out. The models today did a good job of hitting this area from E CT/RI up through C MA that is currently blossoming on radar....most of them had it. Obviously in these inverted trough type setups, the amounts can have surprises, but the axis of potential was definitely outlined reasonably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 My point and click was up to an inch, now 1-2. That would be awesome. Looks like it's at HVN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 man, that snow does not look to make it north of Waltham.. Watertown.. just 5 more miles please... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 9, 2011 Author Share Posted January 9, 2011 Nice band coming across Plymouth County towards me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 What's with those 35-40 dbz echos between PYM and TAN? If thats snow its pretty heavy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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