CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 It is raining now on the Outer Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 It is raining now on the Outer Cape. Yeah one of the Bos TV guys noted moderate rain shower in Hyannis. I don't know, soon as the eastern system start firing the radar started to crap out to the west which is what the later models forecast. We have a progressive system where the majority of any significant precip is already south of ACK and the dynamics are shfiting east fast. http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellite/displaySat.php?region=ALB&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20110108&endTime=-1&duration=5 The bands that develop are going to be pretty wicked by the looks of it though! http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=box&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 A few flurries here now 28.6 edit: and quickly over to steady -sn, nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...IMPRESSIVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 7 PM ACROSS THE NORTHEAST WITH COOLING CLOUD TOPS OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND THE NEARBY COASTAL WATERS ALONG WITH NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES AROUND THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK. ALL INDICATIONS OF SIGNIFICANT CYCLOGENESIS OCCURRING. RADAR IMAGERY JUST AS IMPRESSIVE WITH SYNOPTIC SNOWS EXPANDING NORTH-NORTHWEST FROM OFFSHORE DEVELOPING CYCLONE INTO RI AND EASTERN CT. MEANWHILE OCEAN EFFECT SNOWS COMING ONSHORE INTO EASTERN MA. THIS AREA OF SNOW PROBABLY ALSO DRIVEN BY WEAK INVERTED TROF/CONVERGENCE AXIS ACROSS THIS REGION WITH WINDS N-NW ACROSS NORTHEAST MA WHILE WINDS NE JUST OFFSHORE. THIS AREA OF OCEAN EFFECT SNOW MAY BLOSSOM AS SYNOPTIC SNOW OVERLAPS THE SAME REGION /FEEDER-SEEDER MECHANISM/. THUS BY 9 OR 10 MPH MUCH OF EASTERN CT/RI AND EASTERN MA SHOULD HAVE FALLING SNOW. NEW MODEL DATA INCLUDING THE 12Z ECMWF/15Z SREF/18Z GFS AND NAM NOT MODELLING MUCH CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS RUNS...HOWEVER THERE ARE SUBTLE INDICATIONS THAT MID LEVEL LOW WILL JUMP FROM NYC AREA TO JUST EAST OF THE BENCHMARK BY 06Z. THIS WOULD FOCUS THE DEEP LAYER LIFT AND MSTR ALONG EASTERN CT/RI AND THE SOUTH COAST OF MA WITH NOT MUCH APPRECIABLE QPF TO THE NORTH OF THIS AREA. THUS THE ADVISORY AREA MAY SEE LESS SNOWFALL THAN EARLIER THOUGHT. HOWEVER WILL MONITOR SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS ALONG WITH NEW 00Z MODEL DATA BEFORE CHANGING ANY WARNING/ADVISORY CONFIGURATION. OTHERWISE CONTINUE TO EXPECT HEAVIEST SNOWFALL FROM ABOUT 10 PM TO 2 AM POSSIBLY LINGERING UNTIL ABOUT 4 AM ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. WINDS INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS LOW BOMBS EAST OF THE BENCHMARK WHICH WILL LIKELY YIELD CONSIDERABLY BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. MAY NEED TO EXPAND ADVISORY NORTHWARD INTO BOSTON GIVEN OCEAN EFFECT SNOWS THIS EVENING MAY YIELD 1-2 INCHES COMBINED WITH ANOTHER 1-2 INCHES OVERNIGHT FROM SYNOPTIC LIFT. EXPECT OCEAN EFFECT ENHANCEMENT TO SHIFT SOUTHWARD TO CAPE COD AND ISLANDS AS WINDS SHIFT TO N-NW WITH LOW BOMBING SE OF NEW ENGLAND. ANY LIGHT RAIN ON THE CAPE OR ISLANDS WILL QUICKLY CHANGE TO ALL SNOW LATER THIS EVENING AS PRECIP INTENSITY INCREASES AND COLUMN COOLS WITH 850 TEMPS AROUND -6C/-5C ACROSS THIS REGION. Impressive discussion by Taunton WFO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 It is raining now on the Outer Cape. Surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I don't think the mid level centers are jumping all that much, it appears the 850mb circulation is getting its act together now south of Falmouth, MA. This according to the SPC mesoanalysis. Also 850mb temps are around -6 to -8C, quite cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 About 1.5" estimated between boston and saugus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Surprising. Not really Dom. Kind of expect this at the onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Heavy snow pellets? Not sure how else to describe it, clinging off window like its ice but falling like snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Snow has started here...tiny flakes. Hopefully some of that better lift can continue to work north. I would be happy with 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Driveway and roads are white Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Snow has started here...tiny flakes. Hopefully some of that better lift can continue to work north. I would be happy with 1-2" Nice burst right now..everything quickly coated with this 15+ dbz stuff over the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Looks like main band of snow south of the South Coast is shriveling. Maybe banding setting up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I don't think the mid level centers are jumping all that much, it appears the 850mb circulation is getting its act together now south of Falmouth, MA. This according to the SPC mesoanalysis. Also 850mb temps are around -6 to -8C, quite cold. Very weak and diffuse at 700... Most impressive run I've ever seen in the Seahawks game...wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Nice burst right now..everything quickly coated with this 15+ dbz stuff over the area Will, do you think anyone along the South Coast will reach warning level totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 radar blossoming over ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Snowing lightly in Middletown, CT. Steady enough to turn the driveway white already. Would love two or three from this on top of the six from yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 CT Valley FTW?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Very weak and diffuse at 700... Most impressive run I've ever seen in the Seahawks game...wow! Just to elaborate....when this went south/bad in the models we lost the complete jump east. We have the low level center, maybe up through about 850 out near it. But the 700ish hasn't jumped and what we have is the Typhoon Tip trademarked shredded monster. It's coming together now, I've got my fingers crossed but I hate that it's trying to start with the main precip south of ACK already. Look at this map from yesterdays 12z when we were getting smashed http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=NAM&grid=221&model_yyyy=2011&model_mm=01&model_dd=07&model_init_hh=12&fhour=42¶meter=TMPC&level=700&unit=MB&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Notice even by Kev the impressive bands just started to move a little west too. http://radar.weather...id=BOX&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 radar blossoming over ORH Vis has dropped considerably the last 10 min....but still tiny flakes. Hoping to get some puffier production like we saw at times last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeatMizer Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Light snow here in Cumberland RI...Temp 29.5 wind NW @ 6MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I hear the fog horn going off in Newport. And whenever it goes off the viz is low enough that snow is steady enough to accumulate. The viz. is down to about a mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Vis has dropped considerably the last 10 min....but still tiny flakes. Hoping to get some puffier production like we saw at times last night. How much did you get last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 visibility at BID down to 1 SM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 KWST 090053Z AUTO 33006KT 1 1/4SM -SN OVC015 M01/M04 A2940 RMK AO2 SNB13 SLP955 P0000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Cars,driveway, and roads are covered here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 errr pizza guy brings me buffalo wings instead of buffalo chick pizza and radar is all W and SW of 495 basically down to taunton will you think this stuff will build back E of 495 a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I think it's time to change up the warnings/advisories. We've got two problems down here. Without the comma head precip/edge of it to even get close here we've got marine layer issues. It's wet not white in a lot of the eastern warning area now. That'll change over time but we're not talking about an 18 hour storm. 2, areas without an advisory/warning are going to get the most precip. (ie some areas with no advisory will get snows that meet/close, areas with an advisory may get warning level snows in CT/parts of RI)...will have to wait and see on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 KWST 090053Z AUTO 33006KT 1 1/4SM -SN OVC015 M01/M04 A2940 RMK AO2 SNB13 SLP955 P0000 Sn- here but finally snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phishn Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Snowing in Attleboro 8:01 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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