mitchnick Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 They almost have me in 2 inches. If we can get some dendrites, the ratios should be pretty good. Be very wary of the Government Wes, very wary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... -- Changed Discussion --DP CLOSED LOPRES RMNS OVER GRTLKS RGN EARLY THIS EVE. SERIES OF SHRTWV TROFS WILL MOVE AROUND SRN PERIPHERY OF THIS CLOSED LOW THRU THE WKEND. ONE SUCH LOW-AMPLITUDE WAVE CURRENTLY IS GENERATING LGT SNOW ACRS CNTRL AND SRN VA AND IS FUELING LGT SNOW ALONG WRN SLOPES OF ALLEGHENY FRONT. A SECOND...MORE SUBSTANTIVE WAVE IS LOCATED OVER IL AND IS MOVG QUICKLY SEWD IN ASSOCIATION WITH A DIGGING 90-100 KT JET. LGT SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL DVLP LATE THIS EVE IN ADVANCE OF THIS APRCHG WAVE. THE WAVE IS XPCD TO ACQUIRE A NEGATIVE TILT LATE TNGT AND EARLY SAT MRNG. AS IT DOES SO...CDFNT WILL SURGE EWD AND COLD AIR ADVCTN IN MID-LVLS WILL YIELD MODEST ELEVATED INSTBY. PCPN MODE LKLY TO TRANSITION FROM STRATIFORM TO CNVCTV...WITH SNOW SHWRS XPCD BY MRNG ACRS NERN ONE-THIRD OF FCST AREA AND ON WRN SLOPES. CNVGNC ALONG EWD-MOVG CDFNT WILL HELP ORGANIZE SNOW SHWRS SAT MRNG. SNOW AMTS MEETING ADZY CRITERION XPCD OVER N-CNTRL AND NERN MD AND PORTIONS OF THE WASHINGTON DC AND BALTIMORE SUBURBS. WINTER WX ADZY WAS ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS BGNG LATE TNGT AND CONTG THRU SAT MRNG. ADZY RUNS LONGER VCTY BALTIMORE...BUT ACCUMULATING SNOW LKLY WILL END EARLIER THAN ADZY EXPIRATION TIME. PCPN WILL WANE QUICKLY E OF MTNS SAT MRNG AS SHRTWV TROF BGNS TO LIFT OUT. CDFNT WILL TRAVERSE FCST AREA SAT MRNG AND WILL GENERATE GUSTY WNWLY WINDS BY SAT AFTN. MAXIMA IN UPR 20S-LWR 30S XPCD. WINTER WX ADZY ALSO WAS ISSUED FOR A LONG-DURATION EVENT FOR THE WRN SLOPES. LGT SNOW EARLY THIS EVE WILL INCR IN CVRG AND BCM MORE CNVCTV ON SAT IN WAKE OF CDFNT AS NWLY FLOW BCMS GREATER. LATEST FCST WAS CHGD TO REFLECT 5-7 IN TOTALS DURG 24 HR PD. SNOW LKLY TO CONT BEYOND SAT EVE.-- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 had a few snow squalls earlier. right now light snow and fine small flakes temp 34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 recently issued from LWX http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winterstorm/ fringed but okay with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 new SREF first 24 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 New RUC 01z run shows a nice band developing from just on the western shore of the bay, down the eastern shore and up into Pa. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/ruc/hr4/index_p01_s_loop.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 getting hit hard here lake effect lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Wasn't that band of snow supposed to be in NC tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 ^any accumulation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 1/2" this heavy band is 6 miles wide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 went from 20% to 60% lol VAZ070-081015-CHESTERFIELD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLONIAL HEIGHTS 925 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011 .OVERNIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY LATE THIS EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. BREEZY WITH HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 When I'm up and about tomorrow, I wouldn't be surprised to see flakes, but that's about all I'll expect. North and east looks to win on this relatively surprise snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I love how the band down in VA isn't even initialised with the NAM, or the even the RUC. Mesoscale is the name of this game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 After seeing the NAM drop .22 a little south of me, I think I might just be able to squeeze out the 2-4 inches discussed in the WWA statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 RGEM has DCA and BWI in first shade for first 2-12 hour periods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 1.5" so far everything is covered crazy band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 1.5" so far everything is covered crazy band JI sends his congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I'm at Deep Creek for the weekend. Snowing pretty good past Frostburg on the drive. Been snowing steadily since we got here around 8pm. Looks like they got 5 inches last night and during the day today. They are calling for another 3-7 by tomorrow night. Finally got my weenie fix this year! Looking forward to tracking the threat for Tuesday after I enjoy the snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 After seeing the NAM drop .22 a little south of me, I think I might just be able to squeeze out the 2-4 inches discussed in the WWA statement. that band of heavier precip models had in central NC verified about 50 miles south of there. Perhaps an indication the entire thing is shifting south some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 1.5" so far everything is covered crazy band You've had a really good year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 GFS has precip over us at 6,12 and 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 You've had a really good year. can't complain here, had some half dollar flakes on and off tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I'm at Deep Creek for the weekend. Snowing pretty good past Frostburg on the drive. Been snowing steadily since we got here around 8pm. Looks like they got 5 inches last night and during the day today. They are calling for another 3-7 by tomorrow night. Finally got my weenie fix this year! Looking forward to tracking the threat for Tuesday after I enjoy the snow here. I just got back from there tonight. It was really nice to experience the snowy mountain weather, especially after not getting anything here yet this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 can't complain here, had some half dollar flakes on and off tonight Nice pic Midlo! Send some up our way!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I'm at Deep Creek for the weekend. Snowing pretty good past Frostburg on the drive. Been snowing steadily since we got here around 8pm. Looks like they got 5 inches last night and during the day today. They are calling for another 3-7 by tomorrow night. Finally got my weenie fix this year! Looking forward to tracking the threat for Tuesday after I enjoy the snow here. I just got back from there tonight. It was really nice to experience the snowy mountain weather, especially after not getting anything here yet this winter. Tourists! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Wow - the band that just moved over us was incredible. I was coming home from dinner and could barely see three or four feet in front of the car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 *sigh* zip here, but over an inch just 5 miles south of me. You can't make this stuff up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 mm, more snow to my south.. what a superb winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 -SN at KIAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 <br />mm, more snow to my south.. what a superb winter<br /> how many feet did you dig last winter? I got a lot for the RIC area and you still doubled me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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