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Value of the RUC--


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Many of us have admitted watching the RUC at 12 hours for craps and laughs, knowing its not any good with something in us HOPING its correct. While I can cite 2x I've noted it catch on a trend at 12 hours that the next model suite and actual event saw correctly, I've can also site the Christmas storm as an event where it did poorly in my region

Is there a consensus of when it out runs is usefulness? (Also knowing its a better tool for severe wx)

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None of the near-term meso models have much skill in placing qpf (especially convective qpf) spatially or temporally. But for overall synoptic/meso patterns and thermal/moist advections etc., they can provide good guidance.

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