MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I have been on the computer since 8:30 this morning tracking this storm. Time for bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 bed what's that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 bed what's that? word. with , bed no exist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I have been on the computer since 8:30 this morning tracking this storm. Time for bed. Enjoy your big snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Did anyone see the ARW clown maps? I mean talk about mouth-watering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Did anyone see the ARW clown maps? I mean talk about mouth-watering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I have been on the computer since 8:30 this morning tracking this storm. Time for bed. Remember way back in November when I told you to keep that snowman in your sig for good luck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Snow snow snow. I'm letting out all my inner emotions right here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Most of the on-air meteorologists for the NYC metro area are still forecasting only 6-12" for the city despite the more bullish and recent runs of the NAM, ARW, NMM, GGEM, RGEM, SREFs, JMA, Euro, Euro Ensembles, RUC, ETA and MM5. I think that it would be significantly more prudent to forecast 12-18" from NYC to LI based on the recent best consistency and consensus of the more bullish models; thus, I sense that there is a good chance most of those on-air meteorologists will bust on the low side unless they upgrade their forecast amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Most of the on-air meteorologists for the NYC metro area are still forecasting only 6-12" for the city despite the more bullish and recent runs of the NAM, ARW, NMM, GGEM, RGEM, SREFs, JMA, Euro, Euro Ensembles, RUC, ETA and MM5. I think that it would be significantly more prudent to forecast 12-18" from NYC to LI based on the recent best consistency and consensus of the more bullish models; thus, I sense that there is a good chance most of those on-air meteorologists will bust on the low side unless they upgrade their forecast amounts. I dont know-- 12 - 18 inches might be a bit much if you take into account the GFS. I saw CBS and FOX doing something more prudent last night (CBS - 9-13 inches / FOX - 8-14 inches) and both had up to 18 inches over Central Long Island with less over the eastern part (mixing), Jersey shore (mixing) and western areas (fringing), but another snowfall max over the Lower Hudson Valley and CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Susie Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Most of the on-air meteorologists for the NYC metro area are still forecasting only 6-12" for the city despite the more bullish and recent runs of the NAM, ARW, NMM, GGEM, RGEM, SREFs, JMA, Euro, Euro Ensembles, RUC, ETA and MM5. I think that it would be significantly more prudent to forecast 12-18" from NYC to LI based on the recent best consistency and consensus of the more bullish models; thus, I sense that there is a good chance most of those on-air meteorologists will bust on the low side unless they upgrade their forecast amounts. Metro traffic and Weather is saying 8-15" :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Remember way back in November when I told you to keep that snowman in your sig for good luck? I remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I remember Good, keep it up-- I have a good feeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Good, keep it up-- I have a good feeling Close to 40 inches by next weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Most of the on-air meteorologists for the NYC metro area are still forecasting only 6-12" for the city despite the more bullish and recent runs of the NAM, ARW, NMM, GGEM, RGEM, SREFs, JMA, Euro, Euro Ensembles, RUC, ETA and MM5. I think that it would be significantly more prudent to forecast 12-18" from NYC to LI based on the recent best consistency and consensus of the more bullish models; thus, I sense that there is a good chance most of those on-air meteorologists will bust on the low side unless they upgrade their forecast amounts. To be fair, JMA is closer to GFS. .75"-1" for the city Also, Euro ensemble mean has the same as GFS also, .75"-1", according to a friend with access. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Even the Mets on the weather forums are saying the GFS sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pellice Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Geez, so glad this board is available to replace painful viewing of television news and weather. I can't believe how bad broadcast news is - just tuned to channel 11 in NYC and saw one of those interviews with a charlatan shilling his "wealth can be willed" set of for-pay how-to instructions to become "super-rich." (Later on his branded debit card ad cut the weather report off, lol). I'm just not turning on the set again for weather, ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 To be fair, JMA is closer to GFS. .75"-1" for the city Also, Euro ensemble mean has the same as GFS also, .75"-1", according to a friend with access. agreed, i see nothing wrong with a 6-12 inch forecast at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 agreed, i see nothing wrong with a 6-12 inch forecast at this point Agreed with what? I never said anything about 6"-12". LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Cras Agreed with what? I never said anything about 6"-12". LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 agreed, i see nothing wrong with a 6-12 inch forecast at this point To be fair, I think the chances of us getting 10" are at or above 50% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bilas Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Wow looking at the amount of action on the Phila thread (none) this is not looking good for us here in the SJ Phila area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Wow looking at the amount of action on the Phila thread (none) this is not looking good for us here in the SJ Phila area! People are worried about the nam's usual tricks. Time to stop looking at models and watch the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 To be fair, I think the chances of us getting 10" are at or above 50% 6-10 for Manhattan and 8-14 may be ok for us but you never know where these bands will setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 6-10 for Manhattan and 8-14 may be ok for us but you never know where these bands will setup. GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 GFS? no my thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 6-10 for Manhattan and 8-14 may be ok for us but you never know where these bands will setup. Yeah, we missed out on the huge totals with the last storm even though the bands were progged to be over us. You had 16 inches right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 no my thinking, please move bashing to the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yeah, we missed out on the huge totals with the last storm even though the bands were progged to be over us. You had 16 inches right? the blizzard? I measured 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 yea im loosing my mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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