Thunder Road Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 quick! everybody like my NAM/DGEX fb fan page b4 the 0z starts. more likes = more snow http://www.facebook....EX/282418798146 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PAPPG Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 When 2 surface lows merge like predicted here, Is this a common thing? and...Do the model predictions take into the account the local cold ground temps? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Sigh, what happened to the days when a storm inside the benchmark would easily give good QPF west of the Delaware River? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 JFK sees 1.20 QPF http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_Kjfk.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Sigh, what happened to the days when a storm inside the benchmark would easily give good QPF west of the Delaware River? What makes you think it will not. Sometimes its best to go with what makes sense and past history dictates. I think some people will be surprised how far west this storm will come at the last minute. Watch the radar not a computer graphic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 What makes you think it will not. Sometimes its best to go with what makes sense and past history dictates. I think some people will be surprised how far west this storm will come at the last minute. Watch the radar not a computer graphic. I think the current model solutions make perfect sense though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 1.02" for the NYC Metro- right now 8-12" looks good! :snowman: No school? We did have two snow days last February (public schools). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Can't win... just can't win... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goombatommy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I'm feeling slightly more optimistic regarding this storm. I say watch the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Its comical. It really is. To see those SNOW drifts @ my old neighborhood in Wall. Knowing they are gonna get rocked and then cruisin around the valley everyday seeing deadness and dry brown earth. Its bad enough we been stuck in frigid temps since 11-21-10 around here....even worse to see that glorious sea of white..THICK white, and driving through 6 inches of snow saturday to Atlantic City...knowing my biggest storm of the year up here put out 1.5 inches!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I second that feeling, it seems like you need to be within 25 miles of the low these days to see the good QPF before it exponentially falls off. Between this year and last year I swear I do not remember so many storms where 50 miles can mean the difference betweeen 2" and 20" and rain is not an issue. Generally the models have been very good at picking these gradients up and I am expecting no different this time. I'll be happy if I see 6" from this storm though would not be shocked at all if I see less. Very interesting decision on whether PHL puts up a WWA or a WSW for Sussex County as they held off making a decision at 3PM. Sigh, what happened to the days when a storm inside the benchmark would easily give good QPF west of the Delaware River? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 What makes you think it will not. Sometimes its best to go with what makes sense and past history dictates. I think some people will be surprised how far west this storm will come at the last minute. Watch the radar not a computer graphic. Dude, this is wishful thinking at it's best (worst?). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Dude, this is wishful thinking at it's best (worst?). Watch and learn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 JFK sees 1.20 QPF http://68.226.77.253...km/NAM_Kjfk.txt gfs says .65 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 gfs says .65 lol Bet the Euro splits the difference and leans slightly toward the NAM/RGEM. That would be a good compromise among models. I'd expect the GGEM to cave now that the RGEM did, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Steve D says GFS doesn't make sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Bet the Euro splits the difference and leans slightly toward the NAM/RGEM. That would be a good compromise among models. I'd expect the GGEM to cave now that the RGEM did, too. yea it will, usually ggem follows the rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Lol, just f***ing comical. I was in Boston for the Boxing Day Blizzard and got robbed due to dry slotting while back here got 20+ inches. Now, I'm back home in NJ while Boston is easily getting 12+ out of this. Go figure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 What makes you think it will not. Sometimes its best to go with what makes sense and past history dictates. I think some people will be surprised how far west this storm will come at the last minute. Watch the radar not a computer graphic. Whatever you say, dude...nothing supports significant snow further west than PHL at BEST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I've defintely been lowering my expectations here in King of Prussia. At one point, I thought 8. Now, I will be happy just to make it to at least 5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Its comical. It really is. To see those SNOW drifts @ my old neighborhood in Wall. Knowing they are gonna get rocked and then cruisin around the valley everyday seeing deadness and dry brown earth. Its bad enough we been stuck in frigid temps since 11-21-10 around here....even worse to see that glorious sea of white..THICK white, and driving through 6 inches of snow saturday to Atlantic City...knowing my biggest storm of the year up here put out 1.5 inches!!! Remember the end of last January when we scored 8" in AC while the rest of region got a measly dusting? I second that feeling, it seems like you need to be within 25 miles of the low these days to see the good QPF before it exponentially falls off. Between this year and last year I swear I do not remember so many storms where 50 miles can mean the difference betweeen 2" and 20" and rain is not an issue. Generally the models have been very good at picking these gradients up and I am expecting no different this time. I'll be happy if I see 6" from this storm though would not be shocked at all if I see less. Very interesting decision on whether PHL puts up a WWA or a WSW for Sussex County as they held off making a decision at 3PM. During the Boxing Day storm Hurricane Schwartz explained the reasoning for this but, as usual, I forgot what he said... (It was pretty good though.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Whatever you say, dude...nothing supports significant snow further west than PHL at BEST. Apparently 6 -8 inches of snow is significant to you but to us snow holed LV, even 4 inches is now significant. Using words like significant, enormous or little are vaque and non-descriptive and are not appropriate for measurements when discussing snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 :snowman: :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 ARW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 GFS = Good for **** or Goofus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Looks like we'll be going through this again soon. Though that storm may be rain to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 HI RES models FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 What a run! Seems like teh boxing day storm all over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Once Again.... :snowman: :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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