Snowlover11 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Im liking 8-12" IMBY with locally higher amounts obv jackpot area for now looks to be central LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 18z GFS looks fine to us inland people. We get about 3-5" and don't have to worry about NYC getting 10+" again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 18z GFS looks fine to us inland people. We get about 3-5" and don't have to worry about NYC getting 10+" again. There's always a dry run close to the storm it seems. I hope by 0z there's some kind of consensus. We do look locked in for .25-.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 18z GFS looks fine to us inland people. We get about 3-5" and don't have to worry about NYC getting 10+" again. Your believing an off run of the GFS only 24 hours out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Your believing an off run of the GFS only 24 hours out? Who said I believed it...I'm just stating what it says and that I would be happy with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Who said I believed it...I'm just stating what it says and that I would be happy with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Who said I believed it...I'm just stating what it says and that I would be happy with it. Every run has been an off-run until it can be confirmed to be true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ababa Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Nyc is getting 10 inches plus....book it. Lga bufkit showing 22 inches at lga....ill gladly take that total and cut it in half. 10-14 for the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Another snow event coming by next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RkTec Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Edit: never mind. Must have been an error on the map that is fixed now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 We were told to get ready for a 1-3 inch snowfall out here, pretty much the same as the weekend maybe a bit more, good luck everyone enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Next event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 even 6-12 is a huge range. most of us will be closer to 6 if not right at 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Central North East Suffolk been such a prime spot since 21st century began. Oh yeah, we didn't get top amounts on Dec 26 storm, but time after time past decade WE just don't get the degree of changeover/mixing issues that the 80s and 90s gave almost all the time. Weird with Montauk being around 100 miles north of Gulf Stream. Upton's yearly totals have been amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 204 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 These meso models with the exception of the RGM have a lot more QPF than the Globals for this. If they underperform, including the NAM, they are going to be suspect forever. IF they score, no one will care what the GFS or Euro spit out inside of 72 hrs. I am betting on the globals still, and I don't see too many NOAA offices jumoing on with the meso model QPF numbers either. 10 inches max for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I live on dead end road opened westwards to sod farm and I'm always last road plowed so it looks like I'm using up more of my personal/vacation time with county Wednesday. This past weekend's several inches created 1 to 1.5' drifts on my road...just insanity when that wind turns northwest--just unobstructed blowing snow from Sid farm just piles up around me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The time in between the 18z and 0z models is so long... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The time in between the 18z and 0z models is so long... This! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 East shift was a hiccup. Models will move west, mixing and rain on the coast. I am a psychic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 East shift was a hiccup. Models will move west, mixing and rain on the coast. I am a psychic. Congrats Chicago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The time in between the 18z and 0z models is so long... Ahh so true, especially when my days before a storm are so primarily focused on weather and the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riverrat Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I like where I'm sitting now, 20 miles or so inland. A little NW hook brings some more QPF closer to my location. If I was on LI or at the NJ shore I'd be concerned about some mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 http://weblogs.marylandweather.com/ What a differance a year makes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 These meso models with the exception of the RGM have a lot more QPF than the Globals for this. If they underperform, including the NAM, they are going to be suspect forever. IF they score, no one will care what the GFS or Euro spit out inside of 72 hrs. I am betting on the globals still, and I don't see too many NOAA offices jumoing on with the meso model QPF numbers either. 10 inches max for NYC The Euro was still showing as a max a little over an inch of precip the DAY OF the boxer day blizzard. Most of us around here wound up with between 15 and 25 inches. I think I heard somewhere afterward that the Euro is known for a being a little dry as we approach game time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 East shift was a hiccup. Models will move west, mixing and rain on the coast. I am a psychic. Banned! lol unfortunately the highest QPF of snow this year is just right over NYC... well idk about unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Banned! lol unfortunately the highest QPF of snow this year is just right over NYC... well idk about unfortunately. You can still get the highest QPF, it just doesn't always have to be as white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I wonder if this storm will keep improving right up through the event. It seems like most recent storms, accumulations have trended down in the final hours before start time or even during the storm, at least IMBY. (I'm sure N&W can agree though) oh well, back to reality *knocks on wood* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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