njblizzard Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I really hate the steelers Pulling for packers since steelers beat my jets....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 6-8 Inches still on the ground here. Melting continues today. Sad to see this happening already in early February. We are in our best period for snow in NYC metro and the chances the next couple of weeks are slim at best to land some more snow. Our only hope is the last couple of weeks of February overperforms as does March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I still haven't seen my grass since December 26th...this snowpack has been awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I still haven't seen my grass since December 26th...this snowpack has been awesome No question about it. Tough to see our best time frame for snow go by the wayside but what an epic 5-6 weeks or so. Memorable and most definitely historic. Hey any potential for Eastern CT next weekend? I'll be in Mystic Saturday-Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chazman Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Nephew was in Bridgehampton over the weekend. He reported multiple grass sightings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I still haven't seen my grass since December 26th...this snowpack has been awesome I see grass in my backyard for the first time in a long long time....something tells me that in abt 7 days ONLY the big piles will be left....and some of those HUGE piles, like the ones in parking lots might be there for a while.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I see grass in my backyard for the first time in a long long time....something tells me that in abt 7 days ONLY the big piles will be left....and some of those HUGE piles, like the ones in parking lots might be there for a while.... Here in Monmouth, NJ there are no signs of grass and we still have at least 5 to 7 inches of snow on the lawns, decks etc. Big piles will be there until April I believe. Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I am at the point where i want the dirty snowpack erased, in order to make room for PDIII. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I'm starting to think were going to torch mid-month, and might quickly loose alot of the snowpack. Perhaps some minor flooding will occur although since it sholuld be relativly dry precip wise we should avoid a major flood. After that, I'm feeling pretty optimistic about an event around the 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benfica356 Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I'm starting to think were going to torch mid-month, and might quickly loose alot of the snowpack. Perhaps some minor flooding will occur although since it sholuld be relativly dry precip wise we should avoid a major flood. After that, I'm feeling pretty optimistic about an event around the 20th. I'm feeling a '93 event for the 25-26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Just a general question: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ECMWF_12z/hgtcomp.html looks like a NAO block near Greenland but how do i tell if its west or east based? The dreaded GOA low is back as well it looks like. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 6-8 Inches still on the ground here. Melting continues today. Sad to see this happening already in early February. We are in our best period for snow in NYC metro and the chances the next couple of weeks are slim at best to land some more snow. Our only hope is the last couple of weeks of February overperforms as does March. Yes, it's amazing how fast the snow is whittling away: we still have around a foot here in Southern Westchester, but a few days ago there was nearly 2' on the ground. The rain Saturday and mild temperatures with occasional sunshine yesterday and today have really done a number on the snowpack. It's unusual to see a meltdown in early February as we're usually revving up for our best period of the year in terms of snowstorms, but the pattern has really shifted towards milder in the past few days. We will get two shots of arctic cold before the real thaw potentially begins, but the snowpack will definitely be hurting at that point if we don't get anything tonight. Walking around Tarrytown today, it felt more like late March than early February; there was definitely a springtime mildness to the air It's a shame we may miss the snow during the heart of the season, because a decent February would have guaranteed us historic amounts. However, people shouldn't rule the entire month out; it's possible we squeeze out a Miller B on Valentine's Day between the two periods of warmth, and then pick up some snow after 2/20 as the blocking starts to rebuild. Our main obstacle is going to be the Pacific state which looks pretty putrid, but we'll see what the -AO has to say about things in a week or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Yes, it's amazing how fast the snow is whittling away: we still have around a foot here in Southern Westchester, but a few days ago there was nearly 2' on the ground. The rain Saturday and mild temperatures with occasional sunshine yesterday and today have really done a number on the snowpack. It's unusual to see a meltdown in early February as we're usually revving up for our best period of the year in terms of snowstorms, but the pattern has really shifted towards milder in the past few days. We will get two shots of arctic cold before the real thaw potentially begins, but the snowpack will definitely be hurting at that point if we don't get anything tonight. Walking around Tarrytown today, it felt more like late March than early February; there was definitely a springtime mildness to the air It's a shame we may miss the snow during the heart of the season, because a decent February would have guaranteed us historic amounts. However, people shouldn't rule the entire month out; it's possible we squeeze out a Miller B on Valentine's Day between the two periods of warmth, and then pick up some snow after 2/20 as the blocking starts to rebuild. Our main obstacle is going to be the Pacific state which looks pretty putrid, but we'll see what the -AO has to say about things in a week or so. I agree 100%. Like I said in another thread I'd like to break 95-96 totals in my area in four shots. 2 more decent/respectable events before February is out and two in March which would basically mirror how 95-96 wrapped up anyway. The April snow southern areas saw in April 1996 would also be a nice treat if just further north this time but that would be just a big bonus. Per Ray's page, something like this distribution would be great with the February dates obviously coming in the last two weeks of the month and maybe the March dates a little more spread out (i.e. one real biggie early on and one around St. Patty's or something like that) this time around: Snow storm, February 2-3, 1996 Snow storm, February 16-17, 1996 Snow storm, March 2, 1996 Snow and ice storm, March 7-8, 1996 Snow storm, April 9-10, 1996 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParsippanyWX Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Pretty amazing turn of events. Just last week we were all looking forward to this week with two possible snow storms, one even mentioned as a HECS or even BECS was tossed around. Today, Monday, everything has fizzled away to basically nothing, at least in the NYC area. This is why you can't look at long range models, more often than not, it's a huge bust one way or the other, for better or worse. It's been a great winter to this point but just like January roared in like a lion, February seem to be going out like a lamb. At the same token, I think mother nature has a few surprises still left up her sleeve for us, winter is certainly not over. Only sad part is that we were all hoping for at least one good storm this week to preserve our snow pack which is withering away pretty quickly now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I still haven't seen my grass since December 26th...this snowpack has been awesome This stretch of weather has just been phenomenal. Even if we see no more snow for the rest of the season, seeing snowpack for so long with so many storms falling on already existing snowcover would do it for me. I have never seen so much snow on the ground here, I have also never witnessed the city be so paralyzed by a storm. The walk I took during the height of the Dec 26 storm will stay in my memory forever. Jan 27th overperformer was pretty crazy as well. We may not beat the 95/96 snowfall total, but we definitely beat it in terms of snowcover and that to me is more important. The lack of thaws during this stretch boosted it in my eyes as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Some of you folks are giving up too early about breaking 1995-1996 records, let's see what March can do for us, normally we get a powerful nor'easter in March, let's hope we are on the cold side (CCB) and we'll break it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Pretty amazing turn of events. Just last week we were all looking forward to this week with two possible snow storms, one even mentioned as a HECS or even BECS was tossed around. Today, Monday, everything has fizzled away to basically nothing, at least in the NYC area. This is why you can't look at long range models, more often than not, it's a huge bust one way or the other, for better or worse. It's been a great winter to this point but just like January roared in like a lion, February seem to be going out like a lamb. At the same token, I think mother nature has a few surprises still left up her sleeve for us, winter is certainly not over. Only sad part is that we were all hoping for at least one good storm this week to preserve our snow pack which is withering away pretty quickly now. Yeah, I think we'll have more threats to track but cashing in on one of the threats this week would have ensured the snowpack survived the torch. That's looking doubtful right now, as the once tall and icy pack has withered in the mild temperatures and high February sun. 35.9/34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 WTF.....it sounds like a preist reading the last rites of winter in here........Its Feb 7......there's still a good month to go(maybe longer if we get lucky), models look like crap now, ok. Models looked freakin awesome just a couple days ago, the point is things can change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 It probably won't be another 10 days until we can legitimately get an air mass into the NYC metro that will support snow (say Feb. 13 - 22 = no snow). So, we will have the last week or so of Feb. and two weeks into March to make a run. The pattern has collapsed unfortunately; I think it will be tough to get another 6-10 more inches in the NYC area, but I hope that I am dead wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 It probably won't be another 10 days until we can legitimately get an air mass into the NYC metro that will support snow (say Feb. 13 - 22). So, we will have the last week or so of Feb. and two weeks into March to make a run. The pattern has collapsed unfortunately; I think it will be tough to get another 6-10 more inches in the NYC area, but I hope that I am dead wrong. Just trying to be optimistic, here's to hoping for the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 The next ten to fourteen days are going to be ugly, after that we should be in good shape from 2/20-3/10 or so. Several hints of a negative NAO developing and possible blocking over Greenland. It's just a matter of how strong the SE ridge gets. I'm betting that the warmup lasts significantly less time than modeled and that winter will return with a vengeance. I can remember a February a few years ago where it hit the 70's for three straight days around here and then we had a SECS the following week. Might have been 07. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Islip Airport still stuck at 49.9" of snow on the winter...wouldn't it be funny if they never get to fifty? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Islip Airport still stuck at 49.9" of snow on the winter...wouldn't it be funny if they never get to fifty? That would be right up there with the '51 Dodgers... and the '78 Red Sox. Deep to Left...Yastrzemski... will not get it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 That would be right up there with the '51 Dodgers... and the '78 Red Sox. Or the 2004 Yankees.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Or the 2004 Yankees.... Playoffs don't count...young people will never know what a true pennant race is with this wild-card nonsense... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Islip Airport still stuck at 49.9" of snow on the winter...wouldn't it be funny if they never get to fifty? I think we will all pass 60" once this winter is done with... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I think we will all pass 60" once this winter is done with... I passed 60 about 20 years ago... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I passed 60 about 20 years ago... ...I don't recall if anyone sent me a card... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 ...I don't recall if anyone sent me a card... ...had to buy my own birthday cake and everything... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Playoffs don't count...young people will never know what a true pennant race is with this wild-card nonsense... you know, that is true, my father tells me how different it was back then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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