crisb Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 How is the South shore of Long Island going to do? Specifically, Massapequa area. Thanks a bunch to whoever can answer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Nah, that lakes cutter will turn into a crippling blizzard for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The MM5 makes me want to hurt people. :yikes: We're at 42" right now so I think 52"+ is possible by Thursday I'm sitting at 40 Nah, that lakes cutter will turn into a crippling blizzard for NYC. Wouldn't be shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Looks like we might get a little snow down this way after all......I'm just wondering how much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beamer Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 How much snow do you think Downingtown, PA will receive? KPTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The MM5 makes me want to hurt people. If the hr 48 precip gradient verified you won't be alone. But take heart, it's hr 48. If tomorrow's 12Z shows the same, you might want to clear the room of sharp objects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtRosen Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 how much snow for smithtown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 If this all pans out as currently depicted by the now majority of modeling, then there will be serious kudos due the Euro and JB. Just sayin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 enough buddy....look at this objectively for ONCE.PLEASE...if the model is going in the wrong direction i will say so. IS THIS CLEAR? What a tough guy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm expecting about 6 near Reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 How much snow do you think Downingtown, PA will receive? KPTW 6-10 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowtrain Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Absolutely. Thundersnow is definitely on the table with the level of dynamics we're talking about. That's some of what's depicted as falling in the upper right image. If you look on the NCEP site at the H7 (700mb) level: look at the tightly packed red lines under the closed contour of the H7 low (over NE MD, NJ, SE PA)--that is omega, which is defined as "A term used to describe vertical motion in the atmosphere. The "omega equation" used in numerical weather models is composed of two terms, the "differential vorticity advection" term and the "thickness advection" term. Put more simply, omega is determined by the amount of spin (or large scale rotation) and warm (or cold) advection present in the atmosphere. On a weather forecast chart, high values of omega (or a strong omega field) relate to upward vertical motion (UVV) in the atmosphere. If this upward vertical motion is strong enough and in a sufficiently moist airmass, precipitation results." This means that the air in these "high omega" areas is rapidly rising, and that convective potential is there. With a bombing low and being in the CCB, I would definitely think that convection and thunder is definitely possible under this deformation band, whereever it sets up. Wow That deformation zone is right over top of wher I live in Swedesboro NJ (glouc county) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beamer Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 6-10 inches Thank you, thats a pretty good amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Thank you, thats a pretty good amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jude Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Anyone can to hazard a guess for interior Cape May County? Always a crap shot..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 lol gratz you bastards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Anyone got a link to follow the GFS and NAM runs through their entirety? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Anyone can to hazard a guess for interior Cape May County? Always a crap shot..... rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Since this is the banter thread, I predict 15" of snow for King of Prussia & Villanova. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Since this is the banter thread, I predict 15" of snow for King of Prussia & Villanova. Season total? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This is am impressive storm, wow is all I can say. Widespread 10+ amounts I believe will be common. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 no offense to dt, but his snow maps don't coincide with each other. In the mid atl one he has phl clearly in 6-12 I am on phone, what does dt have for philly on other map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I am on phone, what does dt have for philly on other map? 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I am on phone, what does dt have for philly on other map? I'm doing with "D" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 You are looking at 2 different "issue times" for DT's maps...Philly gets less on "Final call" That doesn't seem to jive w/ recent guidance. Shouldn't that be flipped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcostell Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 That doesn't seem to jive w/ recent guidance. Shouldn't that be flipped? His "Final call" at 3.30 shows most of Philly at 3-6, which is down from earlier 12.00 Last call adjustment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jude Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 knowing this will be blasphemy here, I hope you are right! Had enough of the frozen stuff. but...the line is LITERALLY drawn through my backyard. rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wxsim forecast program off of the 18z runs of the GFS/NAM Ligth snow by 130 pm temp 33.3 Mod snow by 3pm temp 32.0 (Snow by rush hour 1-2") Heavy Snow by 530pm temp at 30.3 Heavy Snow thru around midnight Total Snowfall 10" to 12" Total snow on the ground Thursday AM - 15 to 17" Current forecast has 2" more of snow early Saturday PM The winter that keeps giving....won't stop! I will actually miss this one as I am on a flight tomorrow AM to Ft. Lauderdale for business...I will of course be tracking etc. But I have a trained protege for snow measurements (My wife) Sounds like a real nice storm. Brings back memories of Jan 1987, received 12" in that one and witnessed lightning and several hours of heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thedude11 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 His "Final call" at 3.30 shows most of Philly at 3-6, which is down from earlier 12.00 Last call adjustment. Yeah, but why? If anything, it should have remained the same.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 lol gratz you bastards NYC is the new Buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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