Harbourton Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Talk about your pig ridges and cross polar set ups - if this verifies its gonna get really cold!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Talk about your pig ridges and cross polar set ups - if this verifies its gonna get really cold!! convection in the PAC really helping to prop up a PNA ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Almost there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Does anyone remember the 1/08 bust? It was a Sunday night. RN-->SN was forecast, I tjhink we were expecting 2-4" or 3-5". The R/S line never made it past Quakertown. How to we avoid a similar bust? These RN-->SN types always make me nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Does anyone remember the 1/08 bust? It was a Sunday night. RN-->SN was forecast, I tjhink we were expecting 2-4" or 3-5". The R/S line never made it past Quakertown. How to we avoid a similar bust? These RN-->SN types always make me nervous. I was under a Heavy Snow Warning for 6-12 inches. I didn't even get a flake. That storm bombed out further north than anticpated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Does anyone remember the 1/08 bust? It was a Sunday night. RN-->SN was forecast, I tjhink we were expecting 2-4" or 3-5". The R/S line never made it past Quakertown. How to we avoid a similar bust? These RN-->SN types always make me nervous. Oh we got snow here in southern queens and southern nassau while everyone around us had rain lol. But we got just 1" of snow. What happened was we got in on some of the heavier precip rates for awhile and that changed us over to snow. But an inch of snow isnt even a moral victory lol. Still, it was funny looking at a p-type radar and seeing a circle of white while everyone around us was in the green lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Oh we got snow here in southern queens and southern nassau while everyone around us had rain lol. But we got just 1" of snow. What happened was we got in on some of the heavier precip rates for awhile and that changed us over to snow. But an inch of snow isnt even a moral victory lol. Still, it was funny looking at a p-type radar and seeing a circle of white while everyone around us was in the green lol. Here is the storm. I remember all the models had this storm giving the area a SECS. This wasn't an ideal setup. All the snow that we were supposed to get would have been from the storm bombing and pulling down cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 is 12z on the GFS 12noon or 7am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 is 12z on the GFS 12noon or 7am? 7 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 If anyone can see this- it's an article in Newsday.. How inaccurate can this article be.... It's unbelievable.... It's always blame La Nina or El Nino... It's just a joke. http://www.newsday.com/long-island/frigid-winter-on-li-blame-it-on-la-ni-a-1.2633592 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 If anyone can see this- it's an article in Newsday.. How inaccurate can this article be.... It's unbelievable.... It's always blame La Nina or El Nino... It's just a joke. http://www.newsday.c...-ni-a-1.2633592 especially considering a strong nina usually torches us Its really the MJO and high latitude blocking thats helping us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stockmanjr Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 After seeing the 0z suite I had to check out accuweather for a good laugh and here's their forecast for KNYC on Wed night Cloudy with mixed snow and rain becoming snow or flurries, accumulating a coating to an inch Um that might be just a tad off if we verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Man, the Euro for NYC. Just simply beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 convection in the PAC really helping to prop up a PNA ridge Nice to see agreement in the long range on the evolution of the 500mb longwave pattern. The Euro is much more robust with the +PNA ridge than the GFS, still both solutions would keep the east in the icebox. Notice how there is blocking starting to develop in the atlantic on the GFS. Hopefully it retrogrades back to Greenland and sets up a dual blocking configuration. If that occurs, bank on a KU storm sometime in February. This is truly setting up to be a historic winter given the fact that La Nina's of this magnitude usually torch the East.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 So it seems model guidance has trended colder? Any chance those of us at the coast can get in on more than just flurries on the backend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I was wondering how many poeple feel the same way I do about the fact that it seems the last few winters most of the most intense snow always seems to fall at night. I know there is a higher probability of this happening because of more hours of darkness but this occurrence seems too happen more than day vs night hours can explain. I get a real joy out of seeing heavy snowfall and have even resorted to mounting a floodlight just so I can better see the intensity of the snow at night. To me if it doesn't snow during the day I would just as soon just see a light to moderate snow. A heavy snow at night gives you all the aggrevations the next day without the joy of experiencing the heavy snowfall. If someone knows how to post polls maybe one could be put in the main forum to see what peoples opinion is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I cant get out of my damn condo complex. Anyone with a plow and a salt spreader want to come do my roads? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM,Euro and GFS show a clipper this weekend. Big storm possible in the first week of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM,Euro and GFS show a clipper this weekend. Big storm possible in the first week of February. yea, euro has it as a cutter as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 yea, euro has it as a cutter as of now. I heard it's really cold in the long range on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 With this storm coming up, some areas are going to break 50 and 60 inches of snow. Time to beat 1995-1996 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I heard it's really cold in the long range on the euro yea brutally cold...it also dries up this weekends clipper in the mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 With this storm coming up, some areas are going to break 50 and 60 inches of snow. Time to beat 1995-1996 I never thought that record would be within reach.... until now. I was especially upset last year because we could have broken it if it wasnt for 2/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 this is all PNA driven cold, right? no blocking? yea brutally cold...it also dries up this weekends clipper in the mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I never thought that record would be within reach.... until now. I was especially upset last year because we could have broken it if it wasnt for 2/6 I thought we had a chance last winter. If the area got hit with the Feb 5th storm and if the storm on Feb 26 was colder, the area would have passed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The MM5 makes me want to hurt people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Couldn't post this in the other thread but there may be a one day warm up near 50 degrees in CNJ next Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 We're at 42" right now so I think 52"+ is possible by Thursday With this storm coming up, some areas are going to break 50 and 60 inches of snow. Time to beat 1995-1996 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Couldn't post this in the other thread but there may be a one day warm up near 50 degrees in CNJ next Tuesday. Nah, that lakes cutter will turn into a crippling blizzard for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 this is all PNA driven cold, right? no blocking? correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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