stormtracker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Nam out to 36...nothing notable so far as changes go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 actually, it does look a bit wetter for the MD/DC area vs 6z at 42 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Nam out to 36...nothing notable so far as changes go With the exception of DC now probably seeing more snow tomorrow than it will next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 48hr real wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Not as amplified downstream as 6z due to our PV from hell being a little bit stronger. S/w strength looks about the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Not as amplified downstream as 6z due to our PV from hell being a little bit stronger. S/w strength looks about the same That PV needs to scoot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Major ice/snow in NW LA at 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Well so far, less amp'd than 6z, more so than 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 NAM is less amplified at 66h. Not what I was hoping to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 One thing we gotta see is that on those 500mb maps, that it digs much further south.. Need a closed low to form further south say over Kentucky.. Then have the storm move slowly up the coast and then many folks get in on a big storm. Wonder if the models will show that today or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 AL/GA smoked at 72... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 AL/GA smoked at 72... Which is a good reason not to believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 AL/GA smoked at 72... IF ATL could stay all snow.. could be looking at close to a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
twodogs Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On the 500mb 78 panel, what is the significance of the "speed bumps" above the TX panhandle in NM, if any? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 IF ATL could stay all snow.. could be looking at close to a foot when was the last time that happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 when was the last time that happened? 10 inches in Atlanta......see below...... http://newsroom.blog...9s-record-snow/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 well, we are in a highly anamolous pattern, so anything could happen. I would not be surprised to see this thing get more suppressed. Just a hunch. when was the last time that happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 According to the NAM, it is mostly snow... which also agrees with the Euro temperature pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Which is a good reason not to believe it. Reasoning... The NAM and GFS have been fairly consistent in showing a big hit for that area... The EURO has been showing it for a while too. I know it is rare to get a storm down there, but not impossible...can't just discount it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 In regards to the snow potential in the SE... be careful with the warm tongue between 700-850mb... could turn a lot of that "snow" into sleet or freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 In regards to the snow potential in the SE... be careful with the warm tongue between 700-850mb... could turn a lot of that "snow" into sleet or freezing rain. Yeah, that's definitely a more likely scenario than the NAM verbatim. But there is a lot more potential than usual to just dismiss it out of hand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 In regards to the snow potential in the SE... be careful with the warm tongue between 700-850mb... could turn a lot of that "snow" into sleet or freezing rain. In any case, it is really starting to look like this will be a major event, possibly historic event for the deep south, whether it is Sleet, freezing rain, or snow.....heck, 6 inches in the part of MS/AL that is bullseyed right now is historic...18 inches, as the NAM shows (doubt that happens) would be cataclysmic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 In regards to the snow potential in the SE... be careful with the warm tongue between 700-850mb... could turn a lot of that "snow" into sleet or freezing rain. It is...the soundings are ugly....major sleet zr event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 It is...the soundings are ugly....major sleet zr event. isn't that area prone to sleet and frzn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 NAM actually gives some of us, specifically around Baltimore a few inches tomorrow from another inverted trough type thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 NAM actually gives some of us, specifically around Baltimore a few inches tomorrow from another inverted trough type thing. The gfs also gives us snow, I've never seen so many inverted troughs on the models. I guess that's what you get when you increase resolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 The gfs also gives us snow, I've never seen so many inverted troughs on the models. I guess that's what you get when you increase resolution. Yeah, the GFS isnt quite as aggressive with it though, I guess a good call would be another coating to an inch tomorrow afternoon/night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 The gfs also gives us snow, I've never seen so many inverted troughs on the models. I guess that's what you get when you increase resolution. Looks like a nice 1 to 2 inch event? .10 to .25? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Looks like a nice 1 to 2 inch event? .10 to .25? I think .10 is more like it unless you're closer to the coast to our northeast or east. The heights over us are a little lower than on the last GFS, I hope that does not gum up our next storm and my CWG discussion which is waiting on the model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 QPF placement field is more north on the 12z GFS than it was on the 12z NAM at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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