CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I doubt the NAM is right with that track. H5 low quickly heads eastward as energy within the trough becomes phased offshore. Something is fishy with this, I don't know if it is right, but if the NAM is I will be happy if I get a coating of snow with that 00z run. NAM has been so inconsistent with this setup that I am actually wondering if I should even pay attention to this model now that the storm is within 24 hours of occurring. I mean 1.5" of QPF to my south and nothing really up here. Hmm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OXC Weather Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 11" on the dot here in Middlebury, CT. Unlike the post-Christmas "blizzard," this measurement was cake! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Looks good. In fact you underforecast amts. Who could ask for more? Overperforming all over the place...what's to stop us from replicating some of this tomorrow? Not to the same degree but more than expected, let's go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 What do you think around here Scooter...5-6? What's the latest, Kev? I'm glad you're getting to experience the tasty treat that we had earlier today in SW Ct....pretty amazing that it took so long to reach you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Band looks to be weakening a tad .....still moderate to heavy snow (w/ratios) in tolland county ...esp. southern part but heaviest stuff is staying over SE connecticut the 30-35 dbz stuff. i'm crossing my fingers for ginx so that he can get pummelled within the hour......ginx are you in southern part of town? No Pickles, NE section right at the RI border, SterlingCt is about 100 feet from me, right next to Foster RI about five miles away, East Killingly CT is about a mile from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Band is holding together pretty well as it makes decent progress N and E...its lost a little bit of its max punch but not a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Even the RUC dries up the trough before it can get here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Hallelujah my brother..hallelujah Pure love.....let's check it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Pure man love.....please come over and check me out Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 30/22 sn- .5" starting to get into a good band. maybe i'll go to sn+ for a while?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Weird. Man stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 No Pickles, NE section right at the RI border, SterlingCt is about 100 feet from me, right next to Foster RI about five miles away, East Killingly CT is about a mile from me. gotcha love how nam keeps having precip amounts N and NE of CT/RI/MA border . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukon Cornelius Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Nothing more than a sugar coating here, but good to hear that folks are/have gotten some nice rippage down in CT. Nice to have an event deliver more than expected for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 This band was pretty well depicted the past few days on radar for SW CT into Westchester CTY. Here....very light OES from time to time....coating to maybe 0.2 on the ground. Looks like maybe some OES firing as the band moves NE. Not sure if I'll ever see it but great show guys in CT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamrivers Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 .75" in Chicopee, MA, light snow. No big deal. Never is here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Wonder if we see some funky interaction in the orh hills when this main band starts to intercept that easterly flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Even the RUC dries up the trough before it can get here.... I watched the RUC all day it was great on timing but not on intensity or placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 This band was pretty well depicted the past few days on radar for SW CT into Westchester CTY. Here....very light OES from time to time....coating to maybe 0.2 on the ground. Looks like maybe some OES firing as the band moves NE. Not sure if I'll ever see it but great show guys in CT! Oh Jerry, I have missed you! How are ya, man? I had to text Midlo to find out about the new forum - I kind of snooze through the summer/fall and have been very busy with work but it's awesome to be reunited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Phil, are you worried by the no show of the 00z NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Oh Jerry, I have missed you! How are ya, man? I had to text Midlo to find out about the new forum - I kind of snooze through the summer/fall and have been very busy with work but it's awesome to be reunited! How's it going Dan! Wish you were still in Boston. Where are your working these days? There's something sweet about tiny little pixie flakes in a chilly night in Brookline. But you got it REAL good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 11" on the dot here in Middlebury, CT. Unlike the post-Christmas "blizzard," this measurement was cake! Congrats awesome, man love the reports, wish the Dude from Colchester made it over from Eastern, they got ripped for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 New London county getting smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Tremendous lightning being detected off the Outer Banks of NC with some intense thunderstorms. A lot of lightning within the last 30 minutes, perhaps a sign of what's to come. Nowcasting will become a huge deal with the system tomorrow night into Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 New London county getting smoked. SE corner of CT appears to be in a 2/hour band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 wow at the dbz now from alb SW....heaviest all day out there in a nice large pocket 30-35 dbz with prob. amazing ratio's.....take a peek...Will or scott or anyone what do you think ratio's are out there Ginx looks like he's gonna go to town in the next hour...... that little finger of convergence is sloooowwwwlly sliding East at the same time the band is pivoting NW with decreasing latitude as time goes by. I think westerly rhode island will be able to get into the heavy heavy stuff by midnite. will be watching those SW RI traffic cams cause that band is still going to town along RI/CT S Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Wonder if Steve will sandbag Westerly to protect them from the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 What do you think around here Scooter...5-6? Oops, just saw this....how much ya got??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 New London county getting smoked. Looking for reports from there, called my daughter working in Engineering at Foxwoods bout an hour ago she said covering but heavy but people said just west was brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 You guys recall Eksters posts a few days ago how this event reminded him of how he got 13 inches from a norlun when he lived on Long Island. he was basing that soley\on how it was being modelled. Great call I'm pretty sure this is the way the radar looked on 2/25/90...except the band that day was probably oriented more e-w than this one. Based on the obs ive seen from ppl today, it sounds like an instant replay based on my memories of snowflake size, rates, etc. Every event is different...never exactly the same...but this is pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 00z GFS is now through 18 hours. Seems like the QPF shield is too light with a 992mb low near the coast. Tremendous lightning in the last 30 minutes, shown by vaisala lightning explorer off the NC coastline, seems to detect quite the potent shortwave moving through the TN valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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