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Inverted Trough/ Redeveloper Disco Jan 7-9 - Part II


Baroclinic Zone

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22/19, back to snow after an extended period of pixie dust. Congrats to Box so far as the timing/amounts have been on the money here. Additional 4-6" looks like a good call based on current radar trends. Spoke to my Mom in the Hudson Valley and she reports about 7" and sn+. Also congrats to all SW Conn weenies. I love how happy snow makes people young and old. Big Winter incoming, big big Winter. Any doubters left?

Not a doubter just chomping at the bit. Had to get out today and off the computer. Went out and did errands, long workout at the gym, tasted wedding cakes, had a portrait taken......all the while looking at partly cloudy skies with no snow. Catching up now and wanting to get in on the action. No doubt you had a great day. You are good are getting out and enjoying it. So am I, but it has to fall.

Maybe I shouldn't be but kinda optimisitc for some snow on Wednesday. The models all seem to bringing it more and more north and ensembles are west. DT is apparently saying it should track more south but I think he is in SE VA panic mode.

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At least 3"/hr, some of the heaviest snow I have ever seen, 8" and quickly rising

I'm just reading through the posts now, but I gotta say I am thoroughly enjoying reading about the shellacking that parts of SW CT has been seeing. Great stuff, everyone. I love reading the play by play and double digits is impressive...

Also need to say great job to the mets and amateurs on here who highlighted the fact that there would be a band of very heavy snow somewhere within a more general light snowfall. These events must be impossible to forecast for those that do it for a living... widespread 2-5" with 12"+ in areas, lol.

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Yeah, like Will, Im just on the southern edge of the band, and we have a coating on all surfaces. Looks like the band has weakened rather then stregthened in the last few frames too.

We may see pulses of snow coming in from the E and trying to get enhanced a bit by the upslope....as long as the main stuff is still SW of us, it will probably be tough to get a steadier snow for long, but it could come in pulses.

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Everything covered in like 3 minutes lol...radar looks like I could bang it

there a little map with link....shows you are on northern edge of where heavy heavies are drawn.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0009.html

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NWRN...CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL CT AND

ERN LONG ISLAND

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 080020Z - 080315Z

MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL WITH RATES UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR ARE

POSSIBLE UNTIL 03-04Z ACROSS PARTS OF NWRN/CENTRAL THROUGH SOUTH

CENTRAL CT AND ERN LONG ISLAND. TRENDS IN SURFACE OBSERVATIONS

SUGGEST THE HIGHER SNOWFALL RATES/LOWER VISIBILITIES HAVE BEEN

ACROSS CT. IN ADDITION...THESE AREAS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO

SPREAD INTO SERN CT AND SHOULD DIMINISH BY 06Z IN THAT AREA.

AT 2355Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED TWO PRIMARY AREAS OF

PRECIPITATION /MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW/ EXTENDING FROM S OF LONG

ISLAND NNWWD THROUGH CT AND THEN NWWD TO SERN NY...TO THE N OF KPOU.

THE LEADING BAND...NOW MOVING INTO SERN CT...IS ASSOCIATED WITH LOW

LEVEL WAA REGIME LOCATED N OF A BAROCLINIC ZONE WHICH EXTENDS FROM

CENTRAL/SERN NY THROUGH CT TO AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WELL OFF THE

MID ATLANTIC COAST /205 S KACK/. MEANWHILE...THE SECOND BAND OF

SNOW WAS LOCATED ALONG A GENERALLY N-S FRONT MOVING EWD WITH THE

BACK EDGE OF THIS PRECIPITATION EXTENDING FROM NWRN-SOUTH CENTRAL

CT...ERN LONG ISLAND AND OFFSHORE TO 90 SSE KISP.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A MIDLEVEL IMPULSE TRACKING NEWD ACROSS

CT/LONG ISLAND AT THIS TIME...WITH THIS FEATURE EXPECTED TO MOVE N

OF CT INTO VT/NH BY 06Z. ASCENT WITH THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH

ASCENT ALONG THE EWD MOVING FRONT AND LOW LEVEL WAA WILL SUPPORT

CONTINUED SNOW...SOME HIGHER RATES THROUGH MID-LATE EVENING. ONCE

THE BACK EDGE OF PRECIPITATION MOVES THROUGH A GIVEN LOCATION...

SNOWFALL POTENTIAL SHOULD DIMINISH GREATLY...AND ESPECIALLY AS THE

MIDLEVEL FORCING MOVES AWAY FROM THIS REGION.

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We may see pulses of snow coming in from the E and trying to get enhanced a bit by the upslope....as long as the main stuff is still SW of us, it will probably be tough to get a steadier snow for long, but it could come in pulses.

Thanks Will

Yeah thats what I figured. Looks like a while to we get into the main stuff..if we do??

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22/19, back to snow after an extended period of pixie dust. Congrats to Box so far as the timing/amounts have been on the money here. Additional 4-6" looks like a good call based on current radar trends. Spoke to my Mom in the Hudson Valley and she reports about 7" and sn+. Also congrats to all SW Conn weenies. I love how happy snow makes people young and old. Big Winter incoming, big big Winter. Any doubters left?

Congrat's to all the good people in Conn! No disrespect but "any doubters left?" Yeah, count me as one!!! We're into January and I have no snow on the ground

which is not normal at all. I am a serious doubter at this point. The carrot always seems to be 4 to 7 days out. Let's see some snow!!!!!

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I'm all set for another inch or two tomorrow night. We can overperform a bit again. I love it.

THE COMBINED MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY/LIFT OF THE UPPER LOW...INVERTED

TROUGH LIFTING NE FROM CENTRAL JERSEY...AND WRAP AROUND MOISTURE

FROM THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW SHOULD HAVE SCT TO NUMEROUS SNOW

SHOWER DEVELOPING ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION SAT AFTERNOON. IF THE

INVERTED TROUGH SLIDES FAR ENOUGH NORTH SAT AFTERNOON...COULD SEE A

PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NYC AND NE NJ. SAT EVENING THE EVENT

TRANSITIONS TO COASTAL LOW DEVELOPMENT WITH THE LONGEST DURATION AND

INTENSITY OF SNOW EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA

CLOSEST TO THE SURFACE LOW. ALSO INCREASING INDICATIONS THAT THE

EASTERN 1/3RD OF THE REGION MAY BE AFFECTED BY A PERIOD OF HEAVIER

DEFORMATION BANDING SAT NIGHT. CURRENTLY APPEARS THERE IS POTENTIAL

FOR ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN LI AND SE CONN

BY SUNDAY MORNING (2 TO 4 INCHES). FURTHER WEST ACROSS ACROSS NYC

AND POINTS NW...GENERALLY LOOKING AT AN INCH OR LESS AS THIS REGION

WILL LIKELY BE IN THE TRANSITION ZONE BETWEEN THE INVERTED TROUGH TO

THE SOUTH AND DEVELOPING LOW TO THE EAST.

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Just about 6 inches in North Branford, still snowing at a rather good clip. Hopefully we can pick up another 1-2 inches with this band coming through.

Wow...you guys really have done well just a couple towns to my west. Closing in on just 2" here...figured most of the shoreline east of HVN was in the same boat...guess not.

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Closing in on 10". looks like its about to abruptly end though. Over performed by about a half a foot as far as I thought

These kinds of setups can turn into W CT specials. The SE inflow can really work wonders rising off the Sound into the hills around the Naugy valley and Litchfield County.

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Not debating it's snowing, but "heavy, heavy snow"?

ENX, BOX, and OKX have virtually no echoes over you

When i posted that we had a heavy burst. Now it's lightened up somewhat as the big band gets ready to move in..

Why do you always question me when the radar looks like there's not echos? This is the 2nd or 3rd time you've done this to me.

Call your other wx weather watcher in Tolland and ask him if you don't believe me. Christ

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When i posted that we had a heavy burst. Now it's lightened up somewhat as the big band gets ready to move in..

Why do you always question me when the radar looks like there's not echos? This is the 2nd or 3rd time you've done this to me.

Call your other wx weather watcher in Tolland and ask him if you don't believe me. Christ

Look at a loop from BOX or OKX... with at the most 15 dbz over you there is NO WAY you had anywhere close to S+

I have S- to S right now with 20-25 dbz echoes overhead. Not all snow has to be S+

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