rivers Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 last heavy band about to move in.I hope to pick up another inch from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Could somebody with more wx knowledge than I explain the dynamics behind the sizable dry slot that starts about 10mi south of Rt 2 but keeps filling in before it gets here. (Whatever the cause I'm quite grateful) Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 A few towns down there will come in with 12-16 I definitely will bust too low in SW CT...had 3-6'' there with isolated amounts up to 10''...too bad those isolated higher totals aren't isolated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Snow is still 120 minutes away. a snowy weekend for all is coming.. Will SE areas mix with rain tomorrow nite? fixed....patience you will get yours but it looks like mekster called it perfect scraped around 7 then in the good stuff around 8-9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Scott (Mess), I thought the 18z RGEM looks ok at this point. It does. It's probably the NAM minus the multi meso's. Take a look at 500mb on the RGEM/NAM vs the others. Notice on the RGEM/NAM the nose of that lobe of energy is pointing to NYC from NJ. On the GFS and others it is pointing OTS. Is that feedback related? The GFS and some others are jumping the 500mb right towards what's about to be some impressive UVV's. http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/18_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_024.jpg http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_500_024l.gif http://www.aos.wisc.edu/weatherdata/avn_tempest/12UTC/avn_c700_h30.gif It could go either way but my guess is if we see the 0z runs roll in with the energy pointing towards NYC/LI we'll see vastly different/better solutions tonight. If it is feedback it usually vanishes inside of about 24 hours. So that'd be tonight. I'm optimistic but into this with an expectation about 50% lower than KTAN right at the moment Models can't seem to figure out where to place the low, way out by the convection forming, or back maybe where it better fit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Could somebody with more wx knowledge than I explain the dynamics behind the sizable dry slot that starts about 10mi south of Rt 2 but keeps filling in before it gets here. (Whatever the cause I'm quite grateful) Thanks! chris whatever it is/ was radar really has the look of something trying to fill in ....esp ova w. ma enjoy your snow tonite ! and if it starts really coming down take some pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Upton AFD 5:06 INTERESTING SCENARIO STILL ONGOING AS STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCEBETWEEN APPROACHING FRONT/MID LEVEL VORT AND OFFSHORE LOW...PLUS CONVECTIVE FEEDER BAND FROM THE SE AND UPSLOPE FLOW...HAVE ALL CONVERGED ON SW CT AND BROUGHT OVER 6 INCHES OF SNOW TO PARTS OF FAIRFIELD COUNTY. EXPECT MUCH THE SAME OVER MUCH OF NEW HAVEN COUNTY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE EAST AS BANDING WEAKENS. MEANWHILE...JUST TO THE SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL LONG ISLAND...ISOLATED LOW TOPPED TSTMS...SOME WITH LOW LEVEL ROTATION...DEVELOPED ALONG THE CONVERGENCE LINE JUST S OF THE OFFICE...QUITE RARE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND MORE TYPICAL OF MID SUMMER! Awesome. And as said earlier, didn't hear anything but that huge gust of wind early this afternoon had to be a thunderstorm. The air has been perfectly still otherwise. The band pulled north fast but that sure was fun. Upton deserves recognition once again for a job well done. We needed those watches yesterday, and they mentioned moderate to high confidence of advisory snows a couple days ago. Beating that was very unpredictable and required a lot to work out perfectly right, so no warnings is fine. I sincerely hope those to the north/east get at least some of these bands holding up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Sweet Jesus....lol.......carnage underway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 chris whatever it is/ was radar really has the look of something trying to fill in ....esp ova w. ma enjoy your snow tonite ! and if it starts really coming down take some pics. Thanks. Will do a few night photos if we start to rip otherwise some nice sunrise shots. Although I believe it was a different set up I saw the same thing happen Feb 27/28 of last year when this narrow corridor over the Western RT 2 corridor just kept filling in all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 shelton to trumball esp. with some elevation must be getting close to 4 inches an hour. i mean if not with this band then when? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 shelton to trumball esp. with some elevation must be getting close to 4 inches an hour. i mean if not with this band then when? I topped out around there for a brief period. They may be even more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 shelton to trumball esp. with some elevation must be getting close to 4 inches an hour. i mean if not with this band then when? At least 3"/hr, some of the heaviest snow I have ever seen, 8" and quickly rising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Damn is it taking forever for the precip to move east and the dynamics are slowly being lost. Still some good snows in the mix but taking on a more patchy appearance already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 precip looks to be breaking out ESE from greenfield, ma over to about pike/495....hoping it can sit and spin and blossom a few miles further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monroe Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 At least 3"/hr, some of the heaviest snow I have ever seen, 8" and quickly rising Coming down like sand - can't see more then a few feet out with floodlights. Good call NWS and schools. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 shelton to trumball esp. with some elevation must be getting close to 4 inches an hour. i mean if not with this band then when? In the belly of the beast...taken minutes ago: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 precip looks to be breaking out ESE from greenfield, ma over to about pike/495....hoping it can sit and spin and blossom a few miles further east. Yeah I'm guessing Dave must be seeing snow in the Hubb/Gardner area. Really nice dime sized flakes here currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 It's here. Go time folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 In the belly of the beast...taken minutes ago: We like the NORLUN...... Congrats Ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 precip looks to be breaking out ESE from greenfield, ma over to about pike/495....hoping it can sit and spin and blossom a few miles further east. Ive had some flurries for the past 15 minutes or so. Too far south to get into the goods of that band like Chris in Geenfield. edit 6:50: solid -sn now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 It's here. Go time folks Congrats! Here's hoping that all lifts up this way tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Snow has started here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Congrats! Here's hoping that all lifts up this way tonight. Hopeful for 3-5 tonight..Radar looks nice south and west as it pivots up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 It's here. Go time folks good luck kev, home you get creamed. 3.5 total here, amazing variety of totals around ct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 good luck kev, home you get creamed. 3.5 total here, amazing variety of totals around ct. There will def be some 16 inch amounts down there. Congrats SW CT..The new snow mecca for SNE..again and again and again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 It will be interesting to see how that band holds together as it propagates NE....it definitely over performed so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 is the inv. trough starting to pivot now ...? say near POU , Ny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 It will be interesting to see how that band holds together as it propagates NE....it definitely over performed so far. Only a few flakes so far here. Despite what radar has been showing for the past hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 In the belly of the beast...taken minutes ago: Awesome photo, how did you take it? Just auto settings? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Finally wrapping up here now. Measurement to be taken shortly. Good luck Rev, Will, and all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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