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Inverted Trough/ Redeveloper Disco Jan 7-9 - Part II


Baroclinic Zone

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no actually not. they (ARW. NMM) give much more QPF to alot of areas. you are probably looking at your area or there is a mistake on my part that i'm not seeing.

they give me .75 - 1 inch QPF vs. .20 on the euro. and it's not just a little dot on the map i'm keying in on.

No you're right, I'm speaking of my area. QPF aside it's the same basic theme here for part deux. The trough - that's your deal to the west for me it's passing snow showers with an inch or two.

Interesting that at 18z just looking at the WV/UA/RUC 18z init, NAM better with the southern s/w coming into TN, GFS better with what ends up spilling to the coast. It's that lobe of vorticity that the easterly models eject some while the NAM keeps it closer to the chest. The GFS seems to have better captured that it's almost two separate parcels in the same flow. What impact that has who knows. The differences from the get-go with the NAM keeping a more intact feature on the nose of that system no doubt help allow it to swing it more up the coast versus out. I suppose that's a good thing as once it gets loose from here on out there probably won't be a ton for the models to debate on that scale. Maybe the 18z will be clarity?

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That looks amazing.

We are getting CRUSHED right now. It may be heavier than my pic.

The band was fun while it lasted.

.75, maybe another quarter inch to go, should be right around an inch for event total.

That's it? Surprising considering you were ahead of me for a bit, too. We are around an inch now. SN++ is unbelievable.

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Yeah I lik 3-5 for most of us..with 7-10 west of WBY. We look like we might reap the wider part of the band as it traverses the state

Nah... I think 2-4 for most areas and 4-6 or 4-7 in Litchfield County.

DXR has like 3" and the heaviest is on its way out of there.

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