Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 The HRW-ARW on the NCEP site is absolute porn for coastal areas. 1.5" along the CT shoreline. Granted...this is the same model that had absolutely no snow in CT for today/tonight and has zero credibility...but who doesn't like model porn? Figured I'd throw it out there for the weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 dear god getting raped s++ Vis? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Stop by Dino's and grab me a Prosciutto with Mozzarella and Basil please. too late. I ate my home made cucumber/mustard/tomato/broccoli sprout with heavy mustard sandwich. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Vis? 1/10-2/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 dear god getting raped s++ good stuff! We've picked up a quick inch. Looks like another hour or so and then the best stuff rotates northeast...assuming nothing else develops... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 1/10-2/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 It's coming!! lol - Let me know how it all works out over in Tolland County. Nothing but bright, blue skies and sunny over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Light snow in southie Sunny with blue skies here in so worc county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Well given that we don't have a real good CCB, it could be accurate. It's not like it seems "funny" to me when I look at the qpf. It's one of those things where 20-30 miles north will make a big difference. Ok thanks Scott. Could the HIRES models be dealing with convective feedback, or is it just that the surface inflow is rather too weak to generate more widespread precip, main thing keeping this down for a bigger event is that the H5 center will be weakening somewhat instead of strengthening as it moves through, makes the more easterly solutions more viable to a degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Why doesn't anyone want to talk about the ARW, isn't it better than the NMM? I think because mainly we don't ever find them to be helpful but here's another test. One puts a QPF hole right over eastern CT up into a part of MA with maxes either side, both clobber EMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 vis have lifted now, but for about 3 or 4 minutes the flake size was absurd probably about a 1/4 + now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Looks like some OES east of BOS is making some headway towards us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 good stuff! We've picked up a quick inch. Looks like another hour or so and then the best stuff rotates northeast...assuming nothing else develops... That's what I'm thinking. Hopefully there is some redevelopment, but I'm not counting on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 That's what I'm thinking. Hopefully there is some redevelopment, but I'm not counting on it. I'm think 2 maybe 3 inches total-I'll take it!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Gil Simmons of WTNH just tweeted "NORLUN trough arriving!" Solid SN here. Maybe SN+ at times. Good growth, then bad growth, and now good again. That dust was awful. Let's not go there again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 dear god getting raped s++ There's an obs thread for this you know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 There's an obs thread for this you know. lol ... actually there's two of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 lol ... actually there's two of them. Ginxy's has been the main one, even though I did create mine before he did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Stop by Dino's and grab me a Prosciutto with Mozzarella and Basil please. too many empty cal's.....we want you lean and mean for the GTG. anyway Scott what do you make of the NMM or ARW are they garbage....i mean is there ANY use for them....they give me over .75 QPF lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Ginxy's has been the main one, even though I did create mine before he did. LOL these things always turn into banter and obs. This community is wonderful at many things but seems to enjoy using only one thread. Any doubts I had are gone. SN+, cranking. Exposed ground covered totally. We'll be working an inch plus by 2:30 at this rate. Just hope it keeps up. Keep the faith to the east and look forward to this and more tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I think because mainly we don't ever find them to be helpful but here's another test. They flop around a lot and seem to go a little overboard with the terrain influences sometimes. I'll peek at them from time to time, but really only in the 0-12hr range. They kinda gave a hint at the squalls we had in NH yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 They flop around a lot and seem to go a little overboard with the terrain influences sometimes. I'll peek at them from time to time, but really only in the 0-12hr range. They kinda gave a hint at the squalls we had in NH yesterday. makes me wonder why they were pimped by mets in other regions......seems like the QPF from the euro would probably verify much better (even inside 12-24 hours) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 They flop around a lot and seem to go a little overboard with the terrain influences sometimes. I'll peek at them from time to time, but really only in the 0-12hr range. They kinda gave a hint at the squalls we had in NH yesterday. I remember one storm where after the fact we looked at one of those two and it was dead on. But I think collectively looking at them today they paint the same picture as all the others. A very narrow band of heavy snow somewhere near SNE. EDIT Haven't followed it much to know how its done but damn is the RUC slow. 8 hours from now QPF still struggling to make it into even central CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 dear god getting raped s++ dude. find a better word. we've got women who read this board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I remember one storm where after the fact we looked at one of those two and it was dead on. But I think collectively looking at them today they paint the same picture as all the others. A very narrow band of heavy snow somewhere near SNE. no actually not. they (ARW. NMM) give much more QPF to alot of areas. you are probably looking at your area or there is a mistake on my part that i'm not seeing. they give me .75 - 1 inch QPF vs. .20 on the euro. and it's not just a little dot on the map i'm keying in on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Ec is a pretty nice run start to finish if you live in sne and like winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I remember one storm where after the fact we looked at one of those two and it was dead on. But I think collectively looking at them today they paint the same picture as all the others. A very narrow band of heavy snow somewhere near SNE. Yeah...they can definitely score their coups from time to time. One of them was really hitting the coastal front S of BOS on the Boxing Day storm, but I don't think the 3" QPF came close to verifying. I guess like all of the models, they're just another tool in the guidance toolbox. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Yeah...they can definitely score their coups from time to time. One of them was really hitting the coastal front S of BOS on the Boxing Day storm, but I don't think the 3" QPF came close to verifying. I guess like all of the models, they're just another tool in the guidance toolbox. there was 2-2.5 in a swath from Tan NE toward brockton per noaa radar cumulative storm total map...so pretty darn good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 too many empty cal's.....we want you lean and mean for the GTG. anyway Scott what do you make of the NMM or ARW are they garbage....i mean is there ANY use for them....they give me over .75 QPF lol Well, they look a little overdone imo. I have not looked too hard at them in depth, but at first glance..seem a little overdone. It might have the right ideas for the jackpot type areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Ec is a pretty nice run start to finish if you live in sne and like winter I like the -24C's hanging around in QB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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