Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 No kidding I don't know where they got all this stuff from. Maybe everyone was too busy watching the clown singing and dancing in the morning and not providing accurate forecasts. LOL..hilarious. .Aren't you guys boys? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 What are you talking about? All the forecsasts I've seen have been spot on Took the words right out of my mouth. Given the circumstances, I think the forecasts from two days ago have been pretty good. No one went crazy with snow totals, and the placement of the heaviest snow really hasn't changed in the last couple of days. What more could you ask for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 a few flurries temp now above freezing at 33.4 winds east 11 Zoinks. 22.1/14 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 What are you talking about? All the forecsasts I've seen have been spot on last night, many (not all) of the calls were for it to start in the early AM and the calls were 4-8 inches....here we sit at noon with flurries and wet roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Zoinks. 22.1/14 here. thats what an east wind does down here, especially with no snow falling, it will drop if it snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Look at that band of heavy snow over LI..Impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Looks like we saw a lapse in the W trend for the saturday system with the exception of the nam. Do you think so? I want a subtle drift of 150 miles. Drift the wrong way. Subtle timing but it's hard to believe even with the problems modeling they're trending the wrong way. RGEM/UK/GFS are all pretty close to better things but for how long? There's still so many variables just time to watch and I suspect we won't see the ultimate solution good or terrible until 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 If you loop the OKX radar..you can see things beginning to take shape now..banding filling in and everything slowly rotating NE, while filling in at the same time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Oh yea the ratio was 8 . 5, I thought the GFS looked nice and more west? GFS was better at 00z last night. I thought most models were except the NAM. Looks like the 2nd system will just be a tease....but maybe we can yank it west at the last second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 GFS was better at 00z last night. I thought most models were except the NAM. Looks like the 2nd system will just be a tease....but maybe we can yank it west at the last second. But remember it's an inverted trough and not the actual low..That's what we'll need. The low will never come back enough for synoptic snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 But remember it's an inverted trough and not the actual low..That's what we'll need. The low will never come back enough for synoptic snows ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 SNOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 They all do it. 12/13/07 wasn't in issue bc all the schools were closed or closed early the issue was commuters leaving work. For the past 5 or 6 years they'll close for any accumulation over an inch or two during the day. Worried about lawsuits. Yeap. And I graduated HS in 2004. Such is life. We really did have to drive to and from school in some horrible conditions...though we did get some great free days like this. Just not as often. Flurries, occasional light snow here, mostly melting on contact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 But remember it's an inverted trough and not the actual low..That's what we'll need. The low will never come back enough for synoptic snows UKMET shows a 985mb low right over or just east of the BM position. RGEM went a tad to the east, NAM is the farthest west now, and the GGEM went a tad to the east now. Still waiting until the 00z suite before jumping ship or jumping onto the bandwagon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 12z GEFS means look really good now, although still a tad too far to the southeast for my liking but 1-1.25" of QPF is enough for me, looks more like an inverted trough/CCB type deal then anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 The ensembles have a nice low just east of the BM. Verbatim, it would probably clip ern areas with the comma head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Look at that band of heavy snow over LI..Impressive Coming right for me! And I do not think it can be overstated how disconnected superintendents are from forecasters. They watch the TV and do not understand what is said on it. Politics also plays a major role - do we have to sand the streets so fast if the kids are home? Nope. Do we have to clear the school sidewalks? Nope. Do we have to run the heat for half a day? Nope. And so forth. When the town budgets are strained like they are it makes more sense to give everyone the day (in their minds). It's so much easier for them logistically, and any criticism can be deflected by saying, "We erred on the side of caution, we care about the children!". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 UKMET shows a 985mb low right over or just east of the BM position. RGEM went a tad to the east, NAM is the farthest west now, and the GGEM went a tad to the east now. Still waiting until the 00z suite before jumping ship or jumping onto the bandwagon. He's not trying to make a point. The NCEP consensus seems to be a track just SE of the BM. WITH THE APPEARANCE OF THE 12Z GFS...THERE IS DEFINITE MODEL CONVERGENCE TOWARDS A SOLUTION ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE SPREAD...SO WILL PREFER A 12Z GFS/00Z ECMWF/00Z CANADIAN COMPROMISE...WHICH MOVES THE LOW JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE 40N 70W BENCHMARK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 The ensembles have a nice low just east of the BM. Verbatim, it would probably clip ern areas with the comma head. Shhhhhhhh KeV said no, inverted troughs do not have comma heads shhhhh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 The ensembles have a nice low just east of the BM. Verbatim, it would probably clip ern areas with the comma head. Scott thanks for a voice of reason. It's a hybrid, a little of both. NCEP favors the GEFS type solution and I like it for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 If you loop the OKX radar..you can see things beginning to take shape now..banding filling in and everything slowly rotating NE, while filling in at the same time Yup. Returns are slowly approaching--about 5 miles away now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 GFS ENS....that's a lot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 What are you talking about? All the forecsasts I've seen have been spot on I agree Ryan. Spot on for up here. Snow picking up now just as forecast. Everything looks on track to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I just don't understand why he can't grasp the fact it's a Norlun.It's got nothing to do with the low. seems like a trough.....its snowing on a nice SSE-NNW narrow line from the US shore all the way to southern canada.....that line should rotate around the region with a pivot point in eastern ontario. varying snow intensities most of the weekend, for the majority. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Scott thanks for a voice of reason. It's a hybrid, a little of both. NCEP favors the GEFS type solution and I like it for now. What was my voice of reason??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 mm5 looks okay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Shhhhhhhh KeV said no, inverted troughs do not have comma heads shhhhh Sorry you're wrong. It's not from the low lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 seems like a trough.....its snowing on a nice SSE-NNW narrow line from the US shore all the way to southern canada.....that line should rotate around the region with a pivot point in eastern ontario. varying snow intensities most of the weekend, for the majority. Thanks for the voice of reason. We appreciate it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Most of us knew the snow wouldn't real;ly come into CT until later afternoon...maybe the superintendants should be given a link to American working in CT after growing up in Canada was a real eye-opener in terms of school closures in CT. it used to make me really angry actually, lol. having said that, they defintely dont keep the roads as clear or have enough equimpent to deal with all the heavy population. they neeed to hire Will or Scott or Debbie for sure, or someone with credentials AND knowledge that i've missed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Apparently it's an inverted trough in the shape of a comma head, and exists in the location where normally a comma head would exist. Interesting stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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