40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I know most in here are looking at the D5 threat, but if anyone in here is interested in NE....there has been a developing trend on the models tonight to potentially hit the area hard on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I know most in here are looking at the D5 threat, but if anyone in here is interested in NE....there has been a developing trend on the models tonight to potentially hit the area hard on Saturday. looks like the euro headed pretty close (just se?) of the benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 qpf up a good bit for SENE.. .5" line creeping to cape at 60 hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I know most in here are looking at the D5 threat, but if anyone in here is interested in NE....there has been a developing trend on the models tonight to potentially hit the area hard on Saturday. some of the models are even hinting as some type of norlun type trough down here early Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 For those not in the regional threads, the 00Z Euro has come west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmizer Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 New 00Z NOGAPS giving us a nice slam Tues-Wed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 00z Euro kisses Richmond then heads out to sea. A nice shift west from 12z, although the NGPS looks like a carbon copy of 12/20/09 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 The ensemble guidance is... weird this morning. The GEFS members are almost all MORE amplified than the operational, tracking the surface low closer to the coast. On the other hand, the GEM ensemble (which I like far less than the either the GEFS or the ECENS) shows a lot of right skew. I can't post the Euro ensemble stuff I have, but there are still some Miller Bs popping up amongst the members. There could even be 1 or 2 JamieO specials in there. The distribution of solutions looks to be normally distributed about the ensemble mean, but the variance remains very large at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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