Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 just a reminder about the general forum model threads as things run tonight for anyone interested: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 since we are split up with just phl area, is that alright for you guys for a euro snowfall map with coverage? Looks good Tom. Thanks for including Eastern York county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecaster Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 i was noticing that lately on the nam, it has a second batch of moisture coming through the region. any other models agreeing with this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Talk about confidence for a day 5 event- Tuesday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 33. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Tuesday Night: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Wednesday: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. Chance of precipitation is 40%. I have never seen such high POP's for an event so far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 i was noticing that lately on the nam, it has a second batch of moisture coming through the region. any other models agreeing with this? I am wondering the same thing. That PV at 42 slides just south of the M/D line and I'm wondering if we may see some more precip Sat afternoon along southern Pa with it? Thoughts. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 i was noticing that lately on the nam, it has a second batch of moisture coming through the region. any other models agreeing with this? yea i have been talking about it in the norlun event...the euro and gfs have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 ok here is the updated map from the suggestions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 yea i have been talking about it in the norlun event...the euro and gfs have it. Do you think it enhances precip in southern pa Sat. Pm Tombo/Hurricane....what are your thoughts. It has been consistanty showing up in the last few runs. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Do you think it enhances precip in southern pa Sat. Pm Tombo/Hurricane....what are your thoughts. It has been consistanty showing up in the last few runs. Nut definitely a possiblity, but the vorticity and pv positioning have to be modelled exactly correct. its another shaky situation, just keep watching it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 ok here is the updated map from the suggestions Just call it Mt Holly forecast area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Are the threads going to stay separated? I think we should keep it all in one NY/NJ/PA thread until 24 hours out, then split it, since the mesoscale features that differentiate NY from PHL don't show up until that close in anyway. I just wish the NY crowd would stop saying "5 inches across the area" when they really only mean NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Are the threads going to stay separated? I think we should keep it all in one NY/NJ/PA thread until 24 hours out, then split it, since the mesoscale features that differentiate NY from PHL don't show up until that close in anyway. I just wish the NY crowd would stop saying "5 inches across the area" when they really only mean NYC I agree on this point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Man Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Are the threads going to stay separated? I think we should keep it all in one NY/NJ/PA thread until 24 hours out, then split it, since the mesoscale features that differentiate NY from PHL don't show up until that close in anyway. I just wish the NY crowd would stop saying "5 inches across the area" when they really only mean NYC Keep them separated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 If the SREFs are any indication we will probably see some crazy solutions tonight..check out the vort being caught from the southern stream in the deep south even after the initial vort was suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Keep them separated. I totally agree. Might as well make seperate sub-forums for each region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlorenceNJWX Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Keep them separated. Yes, all in favor of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Are the threads going to stay separated? I think we should keep it all in one NY/NJ/PA thread until 24 hours out, then split it, since the mesoscale features that differentiate NY from PHL don't show up until that close in anyway. I just wish the NY crowd would stop saying "5 inches across the area" when they really only mean NYC I like this idea. Usually, if it's going to snow in NYC from 3-5 days out, it's going to snow in Philly too. Like you said, we don't really have those differences until we get closer in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I like this idea. Usually, if it's going to snow in NYC from 3-5 days out, it's going to snow in Philly too. Like you said, we don't really have those differences until we get closer in. fwiw......i agree too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 fwiw......i agree too totally agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I like this idea. Usually, if it's going to snow in NYC from 3-5 days out, it's going to snow in Philly too. Like you said, we don't really have those differences until we get closer in. Amen. These split threads are maddening. I'm not even sure we need to do splits for storm events except in unique circumstances, like the norlun event that got this ball rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Amen. These split threads are maddening. I'm not even sure we need to do splits for storm events except in unique circumstances, like the norlun event that got this ball rolling. To use cliches, the norlun event was the straw that broke the camel's back, not what got the ball rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bilas Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Fwiw I think they should be kept seperate or at least something like Analog96 is saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 To use cliches, the norlun event was the straw that broke the camel's back, not what got the ball rolling. i think what did it was the dec 26-27 event when nyc was getting hammered and most everyone else wasn't really, thats just my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I think keeping threads separate inside 24 is good too, however - Tom, I believe you should extend your snowfall maps (much appreciated by the way) to include RIC out to State College and up to BOS as folks outside the Mt holly will continue to ask you to extend for there area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I prefer separate if we are taking a vote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I think keeping threads separate inside 24 is good too, however - Tom, I believe you should extend your snowfall maps (much appreciated by the way) to include RIC out to State College and up to BOS as folks outside the Mt holly will continue to ask you to extend for there area. Thats what i dont get, everyone in each of those threads have ppl who have access to the euro. Those people should do there communities a favor and do it for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 I wanted to do this last Winter but it never happened. Having just one thread everyone is posting moves too fast and is really hard to follow. This at least will help somewhat. This is just an experiment and the end may have some sort of compromise, but for now lets just try this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 i think what did it was the dec 26-27 event when nyc was getting hammered and most everyone else wasn't really, thats just my opinion. I agree- The Norlun is just plain aggravating to our Mt. Holly region and the our Philly posters and the frickin thing has not even occurred yet. In the future, the board should consider a Norlun a nowcasting event and should be discussed in a separate thread and be titled as such. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 i think what did it was the dec 26-27 event when nyc was getting hammered and most everyone else wasn't really, thats just my opinion. Some parts of NJ got hammered too. To me the preposterous nature of the split is shown by the proposed euro map. It's the whole sub forum ex NE NJ, Manhattan and LI. Are they some micro climate? Last year PHL got creamed and I got screwed routinely. I see no utility in the split as a general rule. If others do, please explain, why the views of the NY crew about the possible coastal next week would be any different from those of the rest of the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I like this idea. Usually, if it's going to snow in NYC from 3-5 days out, it's going to snow in Philly too. Like you said, we don't really have those differences until we get closer in. hey you! get back in your own thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.