tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 through 48, the pv is a little stronger pushing hgts down along the ec alittle...the northern stream looks a little less amplified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 through hr 66 the northern stream isnt as amplified, and the hgt along the ec are a little less....there is a sub 1016 low about 50 miles of the southeastern sc coast...alittle east of 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmizer Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 through hr 66 the northern stream isnt as amplified, and the hgt along the ec are a little less....there is a sub 1016 low about 50 miles of the southeastern sc coast...alittle east of 0z hiccup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 hr 72 has a weak sub 1016 low about 50 miles sse of cape fear, again alittle east of 0z....01-.1 qpf coming into dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 12Z UKMET looks nice. West enough for a decent hit along the coast, but East enough for no mixing issues... like the Euro. UK is east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 hr 78 has a sub 1012 low about 50 miles ssw of hse....01-.1 to m/d line and up to south jerz.... .1-.25 central va south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 hr 84 sub 1012 low about 75 miles east of orf. .01-.1 qpf nyc to bgm south .1-.25 qpf toms river to willow grove to mdt .25-.5 acy to vineland to along the ches bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 hr 84 dc and va getting a decent hit...mod snow up to phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 maybe the models didn't like the data they ingested. They can't all be hiccups. Seems like a trend east, however little or much. Can that change? yeah. But when a Met says the 12z Saturday is an important data run and they move east, that is concerning. We'll get some snow, but this may not be a big one. Moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 hr 90 heavy snow from phl-nyc...nj getting hit good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 maybe the models didn't like the data they ingested. They can't all be hiccups. Seems like a trend east, however little or much. Can that change? yeah. But when a Met says the 12z Saturday is an important data run and they move east, that is concerning. We'll get some snow, but this may not be a big one. Moderate. Euro looks about the same so far from the PBP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 hr 90 sub 996 about 100-150 miles east of toms river nj .1-.25 se ct to bout 40 miles south of alb to bgm then along pa/ny border .25-.5 lewes to balt to mdt to stroudsburg to hpn then western li Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 nice run.. tucked in just inside the benchmark. Hope the storm will crank up in time like it's depicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 hr 96 heavy snow for nyc-sne....mode snow for phl....low tad inside the benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 hr 96 sub 980 just north of the bm .1-.25 cape may to west chester to wellsboro to 40 miles north of alb .25-.5 toms river to sussex co to alb to wilmington mass .5-.75 central and e li Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 its pretty much .50+ for all of us and .75+ along the coast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 gfs vs euro at 96 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 This has the feel of a typical snowstorm for the area. Not huge not small just average. A 4-8" across the entire area type deal. Obivously still 3+ days out so a further east or more potent solution is still very viable. Just the feel it has imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 hr 102 sub 976 low about 100-150 miles east of bos .1-.25 nyc to alb east .25-.5 e li to hfd to western mass on east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 hr 108 .01-.1 ct east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmizer Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 All in all...seems very encouraging. The euro appears to be avoiding the hiccup better than the others...good deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 qpf totals nyc .75-.85 phl .65-.75 dc .5 balt .5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 All in all...seems very encouraging. The euro appears to be avoiding the hiccup better than the others...good deal. Euro, GGEM, GFS ensembles and SREF appear to be in line with a moderate to significant hit for the area. Id expect the gfs to catch on, as it appeared to be trending at 06z, later tonight and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The trends at H5 were much better. It gets captured a bit earlier, which is causing the more significant pressure drop than 00z.. This can also cause it to slow down if it gets captured even sooner. We are not done with this yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmizer Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 qpf totals nyc .75-.85 phl .7-.75 dc .5 balt .5 Really nice storm overall if the euro holds true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 pretty cold storm to, looks like mid -upper 20s for the cities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmizer Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Euro, GGEM, GFS ensembles and SREF appear to be in line with a moderate to significant hit for the area. Id expect the gfs to catch on, as it appeared to be trending at 06z, later tonight and tomorrow. I definitely agree with you. I'd be very surprised if the GFS doesn't fall in line by tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 BLM? .75+ its .50+ west of the gsp and .75+ east.....pretty much the line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 pretty cold storm to, looks like mid -upper 20s for the cities Nice ratios then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 lol let me do this take a line from dc to balt to lancaster to abe to stroudsburg to just south of alb is the .5 line .75 runs from lewes to dover to salem co nj to just east of trenton to nyc to then to just west of springfield mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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