TheTrials Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 the canadian on ewall is a much better view of the system. The surface low track is actually very favorable it has just scaled back the qpf on the western flank. http://www.meteo.psu...2z/cmcloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 im surprised (not really) that no one has mentioned that most (all?) models have cut back on all that historic cold they showed a few days ago....seems to me like its just avg cold.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Can people stop posting the huge 2000x2000 GGEM maps? They load terribly on mobile devices. Is it just the ggem maps. I will just add link from now on. No worries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Is it just the ggem maps. I will just add link from now on. No worries You can post the lower-res versions of the black/white maps. They load just like an NCEP map would on the mobile browser. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Euro rolling out to 30hrs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 GGEM, a hit, but well east of 0Z, only thing that matters this far out is the signal is good. No Locks until inside 48h this winter. Edit, GGEM showing .25 - .45 most of NJ for tomorrow. I wouldnt say well east, but it is a tad east but still a nice hit, seems to match the GFS ensembles (12z). UKMET looks similar as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 through 78, northern stream looks more amp'd than 0z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 through 78, northern stream looks more amp'd than 0z.. nice..keep the pbp coming, tombo must be passed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 northern stream def more amp''d on 84hrs, 534 closed low out west .. Pv further east tham 0z position.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 through 96, h5 in general seems slower, better height rises along the coast.. not sure if it's due to the northern stream holding back.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 through 96, h5 in general seems slower, better height rises along the coast.. not sure if it's due to the northern stream holding back.. Definitely think it is because of the height rises. Low pressure developed over the OH River at 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmizer Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I think the verification scores have been a bit skewed since the 12/29 event ( face it, over 84hrs, the globals had a tough time). But like you said, let's not beat this dead horse . onto the Euro Are you sure that's a HORSE? Nice kangaroo tail on that hybrid. Get your point, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 is it safe to say some of the models (gFs/ggem) are scaling back the qpf in response to the first surface wave "stealing" some of the moisture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 102, h5 a bit sharper out west compared to 0z... low seems more consilidated/pulled back to the coast (again ,compared to 0z ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Inverted trough being shown at 108-120, weaker slp, and a bit s/w of the 0z... closed low at 114, gets stornger by 120, (hence the mositure fetch back into pa/lakes..) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 How much total qpf for e PA for 12z euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Euro has a closed off 534 contour, did not have this last night...Could be good for future runs to pull the low closer to the coast imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 where is tombo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Inverted trough being shown at 108-120, weaker slp, and a bit s/w of the 0z... closed low at 114, gets stornger by 120, (hence the mositure fetch back into pa/lakes..) What sort of moisture fetch are we talking about? Is the primary in the OV much stronger on this run, thus, more precip in Ohio and WPA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 minus the .25 " from tomorrow's event, about .5" -.75" (up to 1" bing shown from philly/ttn to just south of NYC.. ) better h5 set up though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Day 4 & 5: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 minus the .25 " from tomorrow's event, about .5" -.75" (up to 1" bing shown from philly/ttn to just south of NYC.. ) better h5 set up though. Wow that's a llot of precip. From the pbp thought it was just a little bit of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Kinda shocked at the QPF totals mentiooned above considering how far off the coast the SLP is at day 5. Anyone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 where is tombo yeah, my bad, not as good as him.. haha mositure fetch at 114 has precip from the coast back to precip. I think it has something to do with that 1st low(h5 low) pulling the trough back.. some type of double low system here( the western one very very weak at 114, no slp measurement) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmizer Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 minus the .25 " from tomorrow's event, about .5" -.75" (up to 1" bing shown from philly/ttn to just south of NYC.. ) better h5 set up though. Any numbers for coastal, central NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 No major changes. Closed low at 500 mb is a nice improvement. Hard to tell with e-wall maps but low looks a little NW compared to 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 just rough numbers, but def wetter, better set up than 0z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 No major changes. Closed low at 500 mb is a nice improvement. Hard to tell with e-wall maps but low looks a little NW compared to 00z maybe not MAJOR, but helluva lot better than 0z I got the 6hr maps, and h5 is def more amp'd out west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmizer Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 No major changes. Closed low at 500 mb is a nice improvement. Hard to tell with e-wall maps but low looks a little NW compared to 00z Definitely looks that way...although hard to tell how much, because the timeframes depicted from 00Z to 12Z are 12 hours apart, run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 How about numbers towards KLNS, a bit west of Phila, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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