Rib Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Discuss and post obs for tomorrow's(1/7) event here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 **WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I think Mt. Holly's text to go with the WWAs are very well-written. No one should be surprised by this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 **WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY** Looks like they are thinking 2-3 inches for my part of Montco and for Bucks County. Details for MBY... Tonight Cloudy...snow...mainly after midnight. Snow accumulation up to 1 inch. Lows in the upper 20s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 90 percent. Friday Snow. Snow accumulation around an inch. Highs in the lower 30s. South winds 5 to 10 mph...becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of snow near 100 percent. ~2 inches of snow for Spring Mount and 3 for Quakertown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 ~2 inches of snow for Spring Mount and 3 for Quakertown. move north John! i'll be at spring tonight... lesson #3 for my son Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pohopoco Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 3 to 6 for Carbon/Monroe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Mt Holly snow map Down a bit from yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 But it's up about an inch for my location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 tomorrow's event is going to come down to how fast that squall line forms and where it forms. Most of the models have it developing over or just west of phl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 tomorrow's event is going to come down to how fast that squall line forms and where it forms. Most of the models have it developing over or just west of phl. I think we get 0.5"-1". Some from the trough and a few flakes from the ULL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I'm thinking 1.5" in my backyard. 18z NAM a little less generous than the 12z. Should still be able to squeeze out an inch, maybe 2. I'd be shocked to see 3. Either way, it has looked this way for days, so no surprises here with the light accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 tomorrow's event is going to come down to how fast that squall line forms and where it forms. Most of the models have it developing over or just west of phl. and where it lingers...if it just books through the entire region, low end will verify for everyone...if it slows down thats where you start to see a dramatic jackpot zone for a small area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 something else to watch out for on saturday as a vorticity rotates around the pv could case another small area of enhanced precip that could rotate through the area. The nam has picked up on this as well as the 12z euro, the 18z gfs has it to, but alil further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 18z GFS quicker (and less effective) with the period of snow tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pellice Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Sigh. Even the NY-PHL metro forum gets split yet again, and most of NJ's population has to make up its mind and pick one or the other. Are we supposed to follow the NWS division between Upton and Mt. Holly? Divide according to the I-95 corridor (as so many storms do)? Choose on the basis of the baseball/football teams? Make our own forecast and throw our lot in with one or the other? Or has a convention evolved already? I'm in Somerset County, but not far from New Brunswick, closer to NYC than Philly, but maybe the inland location should direct me to the Philly thread. Any hints on how others are choosing their thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 2-4 is the official forecast in my neck o' the woods. My "unofficial" forecast is for 1-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 BGM must be seeing something the models don't. They're going with 3-6" here. Tonight: Snow, mainly after 2am. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 22. Calm wind becoming south between 4 and 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Friday: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 32. South wind 5 to 8 mph becoming west. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-072015- /O.NEW.KBGM.WW.Y.0001.110107T0400Z-110108T0400Z/ BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE- PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTROSE...TUNKHANNOCK...SCRANTON... WILKES-BARRE...HAZLETON...MILFORD...HONESDALE 314 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY. * LOCATIONS: NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARDS: SNOW * ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES. * TIMING: LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS: LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. (And I've got just 4 posts left today, so I'm not sure what else to say) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Sigh. Even the NY-PHL metro forum gets split yet again, and most of NJ's population has to make up its mind and pick one or the other. Are we supposed to follow the NWS division between Upton and Mt. Holly? Divide according to the I-95 corridor (as so many storms do)? Choose on the basis of the baseball/football teams? Make our own forecast and throw our lot in with one or the other? Or has a convention evolved already? I'm in Somerset County, but not far from New Brunswick, closer to NYC than Philly, but maybe the inland location should direct me to the Philly thread. Any hints on how others are choosing their thread? My recommendation would be to use the Mt Holly/Upton division, but we're obviously not going to enforce which thread you post in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 My recommendation would be to use the Mt Holly/Upton division, but we're obviously not going to enforce which thread you post in. If there are going to be rules about topics being split up, might as well make more subforums. Maybe we should split it up by county while we're at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 If there are going to be rules about topics being split up, might as well make more subforums. Maybe we should split it up by county while we're at it. Really? I actually see this being beneficial and it's not like there is no precedent. The Mid-Atlantic has the DC area and the RIC area, New England has SNE and NNE. I think it ought to increase the signal to noise ratio for folks looking for information specific to them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 just going off the 22z ruc, looks like its bringing the precip into western zones by about 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 . Here's hoping the Appalachains don't shred that stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Really? I actually see this being beneficial and it's not like there is no precedent. The Mid-Atlantic has the DC area and the RIC area, New England has SNE and NNE. I think it ought to increase the signal to noise ratio for folks looking for information specific to them. I agree. Now how about a coal region thread??? j/k. I don't see a problem with the split for obs. Of course I'm really not in either region. I just post here since my region is pretty much dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Really? I actually see this being beneficial and it's not like there is no precedent. The Mid-Atlantic has the DC area and the RIC area, New England has SNE and NNE. I think it ought to increase the signal to noise ratio for folks looking for information specific to them. I agree and like the division that was created. Big differences with most snow events in the PHL area vs. NYC area. I can also see why central NJ and NE PA people are a little aggravated since they are sandwiched between both locales. To me, it seemed that the northern Jersey/NYC/Long Island/CT people were sort of a unit bouncing models/obs./pics./stories off each other. They should be seperated into their own area. I think it benefits them as well as us eastern PA, southern 1/2 of NJ and northern DE people. I like having the NE PA people in our area, heck its only an hour drive north til I hit those area myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Really? I actually see this being beneficial and it's not like there is no precedent. The Mid-Atlantic has the DC area and the RIC area, New England has SNE and NNE. I think it ought to increase the signal to noise ratio for folks looking for information specific to them. I'm more of a reader than a poster, but I couldn't agree more. Great idea to break up NYC & Philly, especially for tomorrow's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I agree and like the division that was created. Big differences with most snow events in the PHL area vs. NYC area. I can also see why central NJ and NE PA people are a little aggravated since they are sandwiched between both locales. To me, it seemed that the northern Jersey/NYC/Long Island/CT people were sort of a unit bouncing models/obs./pics./stories off each other. They should be seperated into their own area. I think it benefits them as well as us eastern PA, southern 1/2 of NJ and northern DE people. I like having the NE PA people in our area, heck its only an hour drive north til I hit those area myself. Dont forget us NW NJ people often left to fend for ourselves! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 23Z HRRR has a line of heavy snow moving through Philly 8-9am I don't know how accurate it is with winter events but I hear the HRRR is supposed to take over for the RUC one of these days. Its sim radar was pretty good with severe weather out in colorado last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I'm more of a reader than a poster, but I couldn't agree more. Great idea to break up NYC & Philly, especially for tomorrow's event. well now that its very isolated, you should post more. Not many in the philly area post that much. Since now we are soley focused on this area i hope it brings people out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Man Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 My recommendation would be to use the Mt Holly/Upton division, but we're obviously not going to enforce which thread you post in. I like splitting NY out of our forum and i think yours is a great suggestion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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