Edge Weather Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 0Z NAM Precip through 36 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Now that everything has finally tapered off I took a final measurement Storm: 6.5" Pack: 10.5" Did not do a liquid equivalent because, honestly, I'm not sure how to do it properly.....if anyone has a guide they can post I would greatly appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Especially since ratio's should be better with more precip falling in the nightime hours... The fact that it's falling at below freezing helps also. Just another small wiggle north and much of LI could be at close to warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The NAM is incredibly close to a 3-6 inch snowfall for everybody. Great dynamics aloft and they have been trending better for about 5 or 6 runs now. I'm pretty stoked..I would be even more stoked if I lived on the NJ Coast or Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 This precip map now looks very similar to the 12z run of both the EC and the WRF-ARW, except the precip shield of both of those models brought the precip even further north. This is a trend toward those solutions. This solution is probably still not far enough north. Look at the radar. There is already precip breaking out north of where the NAM puts it at this point. The precip is already moving north into south central PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Hey allsnow, i also am from Edison,New Jersey. The .25 line is right over the discroll bridge. Cool man...yeah the discroll was also the cut off today....north got the better amounts....while my parents in holmdel got close to a half inch.....seems like a type of event monmouth and ocean county will do very well also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The NAM is incredibly close to a 3-6 inch snowfall for everybody. Great dynamics aloft and they have been trending better for about 5 or 6 runs now. I'm pretty stoked..I would be even more stoked if I lived on the NJ Coast or Long Island. Definitely. The 700mb chart shows very strong lift and omegas just offshore and practically reaching the southern beaches. This could be a surprise for many if the trend keeps up. It definitely lurched north from 18z and got rid of that huge dead zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The NAM is incredibly close to a 3-6 inch snowfall for everybody. Great dynamics aloft and they have been trending better for about 5 or 6 runs now. I'm pretty stoked..I would be even more stoked if I lived on the NJ Coast or Long Island. you want to roll for a bit 2morrow night...thats what i called about...sorry for ot...just text me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The NAM is incredibly close to a 3-6 inch snowfall for everybody. Great dynamics aloft and they have been trending better for about 5 or 6 runs now. I'm pretty stoked..I would be even more stoked if I lived on the NJ Coast or Long Island. Do you think Southern Westchester can get into this, too, John? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The NAM is incredibly close to a 3-6 inch snowfall for everybody. Great dynamics aloft and they have been trending better for about 5 or 6 runs now. I'm pretty stoked..I would be even more stoked if I lived on the NJ Coast or Long Island. We can hope man. I think from TTN to Sandy Hook South you can count on a nice 2-4" + storm, for N/C NJ & NYC its going to be a nowcast tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteoutwx1796 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The NAM is incredibly close to a 3-6 inch snowfall for everybody. Great dynamics aloft and they have been trending better for about 5 or 6 runs now. I'm pretty stoked..I would be even more stoked if I lived on the NJ Coast or Long Island. Who's everybody? It's not that close for the 5 boros and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 li gets .25+ for the 2nd event...nyc gets close to .10 and central middelsex county, nj south get .25+ I guess maybe 1-2 for oh area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The NAM goes out of its way to screw NYC and eastern N-NJ...it KNOWS those areas have been over rewarded thus far! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Hey Tim, from your lips to God's ears... let me know pal what happens....i think as monmouth county and LI special on tap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rok Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The NAM is incredibly close to a 3-6 inch snowfall for everybody. Great dynamics aloft and they have been trending better for about 5 or 6 runs now. I'm pretty stoked..I would be even more stoked if I lived on the NJ Coast or Long Island. I am , the fact that I could be close to 30" by January 8th in a strong Nina is absurd, lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I guess maybe 1-2 for oh area? 2-4 for the county....2 to the north and 4+ by the driscol and south...verbatiam the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 2-4 for the county....2 to the north and 4+ by the driscol and south...verbatiam the nam Cool thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Hopefully we get some lovin' from the MM5 later tonight. I'm starting to like our odds here on the Island for a surprise tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Pretty nice unanimity in measurement among these four North Shore Suffolk towns. I'm in the middle of that lot and only measured 2.4". I must be doing something wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I'm not sure if we're supposed to suck it up because we live in New England, but even as of 9:30pm, many main roads including 7 and 84 are still relatively unplowed in certain lanes/sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Hey Tim, from your lips to God's ears... I came within a cats whisker ot typing that same quote word for word...good that I read on in the thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Let us see: This is the NAM that 84 hours in advance had the Dec. 26th blizzard in Nova Scotia. This is the NAM that yesterday had L.I. in the 0.5" isohyet from the norlun trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Let us see: This is the NAM that 84 hours in advance had the Dec. 26th blizzard in Nova Scotia. This is the NAM that yesterday had L.I. in the 0.5" isohyet from the norlun trough. This is the NAM that nailed the placement of the band that rocked CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Let us see: This is the NAM that 84 hours in advance had the Dec. 26th blizzard in Nova Scotia. This is the NAM that yesterday had L.I. in the 0.5" isohyet from the norlun trough. Well the NAM being too far south with the norlun trough could actually bode well for us tomorrow. It's been trending north in the past several runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Let us see: This is the NAM that 84 hours in advance had the Dec. 26th blizzard in Nova Scotia. This is the NAM that yesterday had L.I. in the 0.5" isohyet from the norlun trough. its got support from the 12z euro iirc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Nam looks good and close, but I bet you the upcoming gfs is going to be bone dry. Well maybe not bone dry but a lot drier than the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Before or after it had it nailing me in NW NJ with 1.1 inches of qpf? I actually got .18 This is the NAM that nailed the placement of the band that rocked CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The 12z Euro and the WRF-ARW looked exactly alike at 12z and this run of the NAM is very close, but still about 50 miles too far south. It definitely trended toward the 12z Euro and WRF-ARW though. The precip shield now looks almost exactly the same, just shifted 50 miles to the south on the NAM. its got support from the 12z euro iirc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Nam looks good and close, but I bet you the upcoming gfs is going to be bone dry. why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Before or after it had it nailing me in NW NJ with 1.1 inches of qpf? I actually got .18 Well if you go by the logic that the NAM past 24 hours was too far south with this past Norlun, and the fact that it's been trending north in the past few runs (towards the Euro!), that might be a good indicator that we've got something going for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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