Stormlover74 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Upgraded to warnings in parts of CT though 6 to 9" URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 433 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011 ...SNOW EXPECTED INTO TONIGHT... NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067-069-071>075-176>179-072245- /O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110107T2200Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN- EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-ROCKLAND-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS- SOUTHERN NASSAU- 433 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... SNOW HAS ENDED...THEREFORE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 temp here dropped 1.8 degrees in 10 minutes under this band. still snowing heavily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 gfs at hr 24 has light snow up to ewr.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Some light snow just now redeveloping here... Starting in wading river around the same time, and also stopped 15 minutes later. what a huge difference between here and Hauppauge this afternoon. I left Haupp at 3:15, it was 37 degrees and partly sunny with just wet surfaces everywhere. Once i got to exit 68 and turned north temp had dropped to 32 with about 2" on ground and fairly slick roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 18z pretty dry for the 2nd event..... .01+ pretty much....and .10+ for phl south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Oh to be around Wallingford or Meriden right now: http://radar.weather...100011&loop=yes They are going to pile up in a hurry. think parts of the south fork may also score over the next couple hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 18Z RGEM is very close to bringing 5mm to L.I. for the second event which is between one to two inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 gfs at hr 24 has light snow up to ewr.... Seems to be a battle between US and foreign models with tomorrow's event. GFS/Nam aren't enthused at all and don't get snow north of Belmar pretty much. Other models are more impressed and place NYC in moderate snow. This might be another nowcast event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 The UKMET is quite impressive but doesn't have much precip. on the northwestern side of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 The UKMET is quite impressive but doesn't have much precip. on the northwestern side of the low. I have seen several storms in the past that despite their central pressures had very little in the way of precipitation/moisture because they were preceded by another event that robbed it. I wonder if this could be one of those scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 The UKMET is quite impressive but doesn't have much precip. on the northwestern side of the low. Is this 18z or 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 think parts of the south fork may also score over the next couple hours That is a lot more transitory than what is going on in eastern New Haven County, especially the northern part. There are going to be some jackpot totals up there. It is also possible, although I haven't looked at any obs, that there is some rain or mix or at least very wet snow over the south fork. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Seems to be a battle between US and foreign models with tomorrow's event. GFS/Nam aren't enthused at all and don't get snow north of Belmar pretty much. Other models are more impressed and place NYC in moderate snow. This might be another nowcast event. The GFS has been dropping the ball this winter so far in the short range while it has been rather good beyond that...the NAM has been the winner inside 24 hours on most of the events so I'd be heavily leaning towards whatever it shows in the next 24 hours and not the GFS...I stil don't think anyone sees a big snow right now outside of the Twin Forks and SE CT but there is potential if the 500 vort max can kick more north into LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Drove 3 miles home from garden city to southern roslyn, so central central nassau to north central nassau and there was about twice as much snow...not saying much but maybe 1.5 tops...i guess the 3 miles north and extra 100 feet in elevation made the difference with the southerly wind...really interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 snowing very hard here for the last 20 min. Went from nothing to about 1" very quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Measured 7.2" here in Ridgefield, Ct. Had a friend down the road measure 9", and he is usually conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 that last band that just came thru finally coated the ground. huge flakes - but it has ended..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Is this 18z or 12z? 18Z. Which was nearly the same as the 12Z run. I just got done shoveling. Not that far from two inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Measured 7.2" here in Ridgefield, Ct. Had a friend down the road measure 9", and he is usually conservative. havent measured yet still at work.. but nearby southbury only 4 miles nw measured 7" an hour ago.. and the heaviest snow is jsut moving in now and should last for an hour or so... someone will get a foot on the new haven/fairfield county northern border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Look at the Pittsburgh radar, the developing precipitation in that area is moving almost due north. The GFS has been dropping the ball this winter so far in the short range while it has been rather good beyond that...the NAM has been the winner inside 24 hours on most of the events so I'd be heavily leaning towards whatever it shows in the next 24 hours and not the GFS...I stil don't think anyone sees a big snow right now outside of the Twin Forks and SE CT but there is potential if the 500 vort max can kick more north into LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I had 2.75 inches of snow with .18 liquid for a ratio of 15:1 down here. 2.4" of snow in Sparta, NW NJ 0.1" in the heated rain gauge so looks like ~20:1 Ratios. Saturday definitely looking interesting all the sudden especially for souther & coastal NJ thru LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Measured 7.2" here in Ridgefield, Ct. Had a friend down the road measure 9", and he is usually conservative. I heard people were abandoning their cars in Danbury right on the highway! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 dad just got home works in newtown said about a foot there.. rt 34 was pretty much shut down had to go south to shelton to get home to seymour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 At least 5 probably 6 here in Trumbull and I can't see across the street!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Jackpot SW CT ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT CONNECTICUT ...FAIRFIELD COUNTY... DANBURY 8.3 515 PM 1/07 PUBLIC STAMFORD 7.5 440 PM 1/07 PUBLIC WILTON 7.5 530 PM 1/07 PUBLIC NEWTOWN 7.1 515 PM 1/07 PUBLIC FAIRFIELD 5.7 515 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER GREENWICH 5.0 200 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER NEW CANAAN 5.0 215 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER NORWALK 5.0 520 PM 1/07 PUBLIC WESTPORT 2.4 340 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER DARIEN 2.0 200 PM 1/07 CT DOT BRIDGEPORT 2.0 430 PM 1/07 NWS COOP ...NEW HAVEN COUNTY... SOUTHBURY 7.0 500 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER BRANFORD 4.0 510 PM 1/07 PUBLIC NEW JERSEY ...BERGEN COUNTY... MAHWAH 6.0 230 PM 1/07 PUBLIC BERGENFIELD 5.1 400 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER FAIR LAWN 5.0 325 PM 1/07 PUBLIC RIDGEWOOD 5.0 100 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER RIVER EDGE 5.0 100 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER DUMONT 4.8 345 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER WYCKOFF 4.5 100 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER RAMSEY 4.5 400 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER RIVERVALE 4.3 315 PM 1/07 PUBLIC ORADELL 4.2 100 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER GARFIELD 4.1 130 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER SADDLE BROOK 4.0 400 PM 1/07 COCORAHS HARRINGTON PARK 3.8 400 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER ...ESSEX COUNTY... CEDAR GROVE 3.7 130 PM 1/07 PUBLIC MONTCLAIR 3.3 300 PM 1/07 PUBLIC WEST ORANGE 3.2 330 PM 1/07 PUBLIC NEWARK AIRPORT 1.9 100 PM 1/07 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER ...HUDSON COUNTY... KEARNY 3.5 230 PM 1/07 PUBLIC JERSEY CITY 2.7 230 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER HARRISON 2.5 200 PM 1/07 NWS COOP ...PASSAIC COUNTY... RINGWOOD 5.0 400 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER WAYNE 4.3 400 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER WEST MILFORD 4.3 1205 PM 1/07 PUBLIC HASKELL 4.0 100 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER WEST PATERSON 3.0 1100 AM 1/07 PUBLIC ...UNION COUNTY... ROSELLE 3.9 1203 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER UNION 2.0 1042 AM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER NEW YORK ...BRONX COUNTY... PARKCHESTER 2.0 430 PM 1/07 NWS COOP RIVERDALE 1.0 1100 AM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER ...KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY... BROOKLYN HEIGHTS 1.8 345 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER ...NASSAU COUNTY... NORTH MASSAPEQUA 2.0 500 PM 1/07 PUBLIC HICKSVILLE 1.6 415 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER JERICHO 1.4 415 PM 1/07 PUBLIC ...NEW YORK COUNTY... CENTRAL PARK 1.7 400 PM 1/07 CENTRAL PARK ZOO ...ORANGE COUNTY... CORNWALL ON HUDSON 5.2 400 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER NEWBURGH 5.0 300 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER TUXEDO PARK 5.0 240 PM 1/07 PUBLIC NEW WINDSOR 5.0 430 PM 1/07 PUBLIC HARRIMAN 4.5 430 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER MIDDLETOWN 4.4 400 PM 1/07 PUBLIC GOSHEN 4.2 415 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER WARWICK 4.0 245 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER MONROE 3.2 1235 PM 1/07 PUBLIC GREENWOOD LAKE 3.0 1145 AM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER ...PUTNAM COUNTY... MAHOPAC 6.0 430 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER ...QUEENS COUNTY... FLUSHING 2.0 245 PM 1/07 PUBLIC WOODSIDE 1.3 300 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER NYC/LA GUARDIA 1.0 100 PM 1/07 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER ...RICHMOND COUNTY... RICHMOND 1.5 115 PM 1/07 PUBLIC SOUTH BEACH 1.0 500 PM 1/07 NWS EMPLOYEE ...ROCKLAND COUNTY... TALLMAN 5.0 330 PM 1/07 PUBLIC NEW CITY 4.4 300 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER NEW HEMPSTEAD 4.0 1215 PM 1/07 PUBLIC NYACK 2.5 240 PM 1/07 PUBLIC ...SUFFOLK COUNTY... EAST NORTHPORT 2.5 500 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER ROCKY POINT 2.3 500 PM 1/07 SKYWARN SPOTTER NORTH BABYLON 1.7 500 PM 1/07 PUBLIC UPTON 1.3 400 PM 1/07 NWS OFFICE PATCHOGUE 1.1 315 PM 1/07 NWS EMPLOYEE EAST SETAUKET 1.0 345 PM 1/07 PUBLIC ...WESTCHESTER COUNTY... MOUNT KISCO 6.5 425 PM 1/07 TRAINED SPOTTER ARMONK 6.2 320 PM 1/07 PUBLIC CHAPPAQUA 6.0 400 PM 1/07 PUBLIC PORT CHESTER 5.1 415 PM 1/07 PUBLIC MOUNT VERNON 5.0 400 PM 1/07 PUBLIC YONKERS 5.0 340 PM 1/07 PUBLIC EASTCHESTER 5.0 355 PM 1/07 PUBLIC NORTH WHITE PLAINS 2.9 325 PM 1/07 COCORAHS$SCALORA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 storm total 2.2 here in Elizabeth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 How much did you get Alpha5? Do you believe five inches for Greenwich? I've got about two or three here on the Sound and that was the same in Port Chester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 How much did you get Alpha5? Do you believe five inches for Greenwich?I've got about 2 or 3 here on the Sound. Some of the totals around fairfield cty are amazing. pics coming in from the sne thread are unbelievable, an inverted trough that wont soon be forgotten. almost 4 inches here but places like upper greenwich new canaan norwalk wilton ridgefield and shelton just got pasted! Amazing day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Only a coating here in Long Beach. At least today, the SW Nassau snow hole lived on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I have to give it to NYNJPAWeather.. While he was a bit bullish w/ the snow overall- he had the right idea.. I think he knew the isolated nature of the large totals, but didn't depict it in his snow chart as well as he verbally outlined it in his video.. There was a bullet area of up to 12" of snow - just further north of where he depicted it to be... This storm was a 2-4" event region wide, w/ isolated amounts of 8"+ Unfortunately areas, right on the coast were in the total screw zone.. that was it... Long Island kinda got screwed over.. But it appears that points west, north and Northeast of NYC did fairly well... Interesting event to say the least, but most of all, as everyone said, very difficult to predict.. jeff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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