psv88 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 looks like western suffolk getting hit hard...any reports? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 about 2 inches here...nice little event....salt mainly in edison and had to plow a lot in union getting ready for the next one...bring the little events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 looks like western suffolk getting hit hard...any reports? Yep...moderate to heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=OKX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes is there a circulation off the CT coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 if someone told me i would have 25 inches of snow by january 7 in novemeber i would have called him crazy....great winter boys so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 2.4" of snow in Sparta, NW NJ 0.1" in the heated rain gauge so looks like ~20:1 Ratios. Saturday definitely looking interesting all the sudden especially for souther & coastal NJ thru LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Heavy snow band over western Suffolk hasn't reached here yet, but looking at the radar, the band over eastern New Haven COunty is the real Norlun deal. If that stays around for any length of time, someone will get 10" there by this evening. Northern Fairfield could yet tack on an inch or two so probably some spots there may apoproach 10". Norlun, like lake effect = Haves and Have nots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I should add that along the Southern State Parkway in Suffolk has been getting lambasted by this latest band/snow shower. Check the cams (you'll need to click for the southern state...I think this link is to northern): http://www.trafficla...8937/index.html FInd SSP and Welwood Ave or Straight Path Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 That band was fun--at least helped to salvage this event somewhat. Probably somewhere between .5 and .75" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Upton updated for tomorrow: Saturday: A chance of snow showers, mainly after 11am. Cloudy, with a high near 33. North wind between 5 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday Night: A chance of snow showers, mainly before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 24. Northwest wind between 11 and 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 the 12z euro was .25+ for the area 2morrow and .50+ from william east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Some variance in models in regards to tomorrow's feature affecting NNJ and NYC, with either 0 on the Nam to .25" on the Euro. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Some light snow just now redeveloping here... Just starting here. Did you get my PM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/... -- Changed Discussion --MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH STRONG CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES SAT MORNING...TRACKING TO JUST EAST OF THE CWA BY SAT EVENING. THEN THINGS GET INTERESTING AS A 140 KT UPPER JET AND VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE ROUND THE BASE OF THE UPPER LOW INDUCING SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS THE UPPER LOW TO THE S AND E OF THE AREA. THIS SAME ENERGY WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF LOW PRESSURE WELL EAST OFF THE DELMARVA COAST AT THIS TIME. THE QUESTION HOW FAR NORTH AN INVERTED TROUGH SLIDING UP THROUGH SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NJ GETS...AND HOW QUICKLY IT DISSIPATES...AND HOW CLOSE TO THE COAST THE OFFSHORE LOW INTENSIFICATION TAKES PLACE. MODEL CONSENSUS APPEARS TO BE THE LOW TRACKING JUST SE OF THE 40/70 BENCHMARK SAT EVENING...AND THEN QUICKLY TRACKING NE SAT NIGHT...TO THE EAST OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY SUNDAY. THE COMBINED MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY/LIFT OF THE UPPER LOW...INVERTED TROUGH LIFTING NE FROM CENTRAL JERSEY...AND WRAP AROUND MOISTURE FROM THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW SHOULD HAVE SCT TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWER DEVELOPING ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION SAT AFTERNOON. IF THE INVERTED TROUGH SLIDES FAR ENOUGH NORTH SAT AFTERNOON...COULD SEE A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NYC AND NE NJ. SAT EVENING THE EVENT TRANSITIONS TO COASTAL LOW DEVELOPMENT WITH THE LONGEST DURATION AND INTENSITY OF SNOW EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA CLOSEST TO THE SURFACE LOW. ALSO INCREASING INDICATIONS THAT THE EASTERN 1/3RD OF THE REGION MAY BE AFFECTED BY A PERIOD OF HEAVIER DEFORMATION BANDING SAT NIGHT. CURRENTLY APPEARS THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN LI AND SE CONN BY SUNDAY MORNING (2 TO 4 INCHES). FURTHER WEST ACROSS ACROSS NYC AND POINTS NW...GENERALLY LOOKING AT AN INCH OR LESS AS THIS REGION WILL LIKELY BE IN THE TRANSITION ZONE BETWEEN THE INVERTED TROUGH TO THE SOUTH AND DEVELOPING LOW TO THE EAST. SINCE THIS IS A 3RD PERIOD EVENT AND WOULD LIKE TO SEE ANOTHER SUITE OF MODEL RUNS WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES AT THIS TIME. A SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST OR SOUTHWEST OF LOW PRESSURE OR INVERTED TROUGH WOULD RESULT IN DRAMATICALLY HIGHER/LOWER SNOW TOTALS RESPECTIVELY...SO PLEASE MONITOR FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Just starting here. Did you get my PM? Never mind, I just saw your reply Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Oh to be around Wallingford or Meriden right now: http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=OKX&product=N0R&overlay=01100011&loop=yes They are going to pile up in a hurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Terrific write-up, sir... as per usual. SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/... -- Changed Discussion --MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH STRONG CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES SAT MORNING...TRACKING TO JUST EAST OF THE CWA BY SAT EVENING. THEN THINGS GET INTERESTING AS A 140 KT UPPER JET AND VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE ROUND THE BASE OF THE UPPER LOW INDUCING SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS THE UPPER LOW TO THE S AND E OF THE AREA. THIS SAME ENERGY WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF LOW PRESSURE WELL EAST OFF THE DELMARVA COAST AT THIS TIME. THE QUESTION HOW FAR NORTH AN INVERTED TROUGH SLIDING UP THROUGH SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NJ GETS...AND HOW QUICKLY IT DISSIPATES...AND HOW CLOSE TO THE COAST THE OFFSHORE LOW INTENSIFICATION TAKES PLACE. MODEL CONSENSUS APPEARS TO BE THE LOW TRACKING JUST SE OF THE 40/70 BENCHMARK SAT EVENING...AND THEN QUICKLY TRACKING NE SAT NIGHT...TO THE EAST OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY SUNDAY. THE COMBINED MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY/LIFT OF THE UPPER LOW...INVERTED TROUGH LIFTING NE FROM CENTRAL JERSEY...AND WRAP AROUND MOISTURE FROM THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW SHOULD HAVE SCT TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWER DEVELOPING ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION SAT AFTERNOON. IF THE INVERTED TROUGH SLIDES FAR ENOUGH NORTH SAT AFTERNOON...COULD SEE A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NYC AND NE NJ. SAT EVENING THE EVENT TRANSITIONS TO COASTAL LOW DEVELOPMENT WITH THE LONGEST DURATION AND INTENSITY OF SNOW EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA CLOSEST TO THE SURFACE LOW. ALSO INCREASING INDICATIONS THAT THE EASTERN 1/3RD OF THE REGION MAY BE AFFECTED BY A PERIOD OF HEAVIER DEFORMATION BANDING SAT NIGHT. CURRENTLY APPEARS THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN LI AND SE CONN BY SUNDAY MORNING (2 TO 4 INCHES). FURTHER WEST ACROSS ACROSS NYC AND POINTS NW...GENERALLY LOOKING AT AN INCH OR LESS AS THIS REGION WILL LIKELY BE IN THE TRANSITION ZONE BETWEEN THE INVERTED TROUGH TO THE SOUTH AND DEVELOPING LOW TO THE EAST. SINCE THIS IS A 3RD PERIOD EVENT AND WOULD LIKE TO SEE ANOTHER SUITE OF MODEL RUNS WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES AT THIS TIME. A SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST OR SOUTHWEST OF LOW PRESSURE OR INVERTED TROUGH WOULD RESULT IN DRAMATICALLY HIGHER/LOWER SNOW TOTALS RESPECTIVELY...SO PLEASE MONITOR FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Snowflakes the size of a half-dollar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lindywx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Well we just got hammered here the last 30 minutes with 3"/hr rates. Picked up a very quick 1 1/2" from an explosion of popcorn sized flakes. The snow is plastered on everything but is quickly coming to an end. Whoever gets into this band will get a snow weenie rush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Oh to be around Wallingford or Meriden right now: http://radar.weather...100011&loop=yes They are going to pile up in a hurry. Look out in western suffolk...that band has some yellow in it...wowzers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 heavy snow now in commack and sticking everywhere. going out with a bit of fury it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Well we just got hammered here the last 30 minutes with 3"/hr rates. Picked up a very quick 1 1/2" from an explosion of popcorn sized flakes. The snow is plastered on everything but is quickly coming to an end. Whoever gets into this band will get a snow weenie rush This seems like a summer time squall or t-shower. The leading edge reached here and then it suddenly stopped and dried out as the cell intensified back to the west. Western Suffolk is looking crazy right now, both on the radar and the traffic cams. Its starting to spit snow again here just in the past few seconds...hopefully this won't fall apart like so many do in the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Picked up 3" or so......but it is BEAUTIFUL out....snow stuck to everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Still light snow up this way near KSWF. 5" down so far. 28/27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Upton updated for tomorrow: Saturday: A chance of snow showers, mainly after 11am. Cloudy, with a high near 33. North wind between 5 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday Night: A chance of snow showers, mainly before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 24. Northwest wind between 11 and 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. For long island says Upton says snow LIKELY Saturday: A chance of snow showers after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. Calm wind becoming north between 5 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday Night: Snow likely, mainly before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 25. Blustery, with a north wind 10 to 13 mph increasing to between 18 and 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lindywx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 This seems like a summer time squall or t-shower. The leading edge reached here and then it suddenly stopped and dried out as the cell intensified back to the west. Western Suffolk is looking crazy right now, both on the radar and the traffic cams. Its starting to spit snow again here just in the past few seconds...hopefully this won't fall apart like so many do in the summer. The radar really lit up as the last band made landfall. It actually saved the day because I had nothing up to now. Hope it holds together for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 how much do you think for tomorrow? Alex, I think 1-3" looks likely for us with the potential there for 4"+. Definitely needs to be watched. Here's my thoughts on the next couple events and the pattern: http://www.lightinthestorm.com/archives/321 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 433 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011 ...SNOW EXPECTED INTO TONIGHT... NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067-069-071>075-176>179-072245- /O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110107T2200Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN- EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-ROCKLAND-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS- SOUTHERN NASSAU- 433 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... SNOW HAS ENDED...THEREFORE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Picked up 3" or so......but it is BEAUTIFUL out....snow stuck to everything. beautiful pictures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Just measured 6.25 thats 1.25 in the past 2 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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