danstorm Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Just measured 5.7" on the deck here in Ridgefield... we have a few more hours to go and it is back to moderate so think we end up close to 7"... god it feels good to jackpot. It is absolutely gorgeous out here. Sorry to all the folks in the urban/coastal corridor who mixed/had sticking issues... Measured 1.4" at 1:15 and 5.2" at 2:50... that's roughly 2.5"/hr. rates with that patch of dark green... Alpha can confirm. I was shocked that I got so much so quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 heaviest of the day here in garden city....maybe can squeeze out .5 - .75 of an inch from this band, so ill go with 1 inch for the day....woohoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 1.5" on grassy and snowy surfaces. Looks to be done. Not a bad event. Wish it was slightly colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I can definitely confirm 5 inch total in River Edge, NJ between Hackensack and Paramus in Bergen County. Route 4 into NYC wet payment and light traffic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 That was some snow hole here earlier when the sun came out and the temperatures ticked up by a few degrees. How long was it out for? I think I missed that, but I know it was dry for most of the morning with nothing falling after that initial burst that coated the ground around 7 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 How long was it out for? I think I missed that, but I know it was dry for most of the morning with nothing falling after that initial burst that coated the ground around 7 am. It was out for a few minutes here before the clouds came back in again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Ended up with around 1 inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Winding down in garden city...that was fun for the 30 min that the heavy snow lasted, guess it is better than no snow at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Winding down in garden city...that was fun for the 30 min that the heavy snow lasted, guess it is better than no snow at all. This storm was pretty much just a snow squall for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 With the 1.7 at NYC I think they're now within 0.5 inches of "normal" for the winter already. Yeah according to the old, fake normal. The new 30-year normal is almost real but not quite there. NYC needs about 6" more, which will probably be done within the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Finished with a big fat 0 here in Colts Neck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Yeah according to the old, fake normal. The new 30-year normal is almost real but not quite there. NYC needs about 6" more, which will probably be done within the next week. we can probably add more to that tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Yeah according to the old, fake normal. The new 30-year normal is almost real but not quite there. NYC needs about 6" more, which will probably be done within the next week. Tom,, I think we have a shot of 2 to 4 here in W. Monmouth tommorow What do you think? Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Tom,, I think we have a shot of 2 to 4 here in W. Monmouth tommorow What do you think? Rossi Rossi, temps should be colder and precip steadier down here so definitely agree. 1-3/2-4 is a reasonable range right now, we'll see if 00z data tonight trends closer w/ the coastal low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 we can probably add more to that tomorrow. Yeah this looks like a pretty good run of winter wx in our area - snow today, tomorrow, next week. Rarely do we have 3 events within a 7-10 day period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 2" here in north central NJ...and I am perfectly happy with what I got Now on to the next storm...tomorrow? The NAM, NMM, GFS, and SREF barely show anything for us up here, and I know the ARW, Euro, and GGEM are much better in terms of QPF. Here are the numbers for storm #2: ARW: right around 0.5 NMM: <0.1 NAM: <0.1 SREF: 0.1 GFS: 0.1 GGEM: I heard 0.25-0.4 Euro: not really sure If someone could fill in the blanks for me that would be great. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 The 18Z NAM and the 12Z Stony Brook MM5 both indicate that heavy snow for the South Fork early Sunday AM...when those 2 models agree on a feature like that it often needs to be examined closely....otherwise the 18Z NAM is sort of funny in how it hits coastal C-S NJ but screws everyone from there up until it hits E LI and SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Yeah this looks like a pretty good run of winter wx in our area - snow today, tomorrow, next week. Rarely do we have 3 events within a 7-10 day period. how much do you think for tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.I.Pete Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 1.75" on the grass here in Upton. Light snow. Last band should push it over 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 2" here in north central NJ...and I am perfectly happy with what I got Now on to the next storm...tomorrow? The NAM, NMM, GFS, and SREF barely show anything for us up here, and I know the ARW, Euro, and GGEM are much better in terms of QPF. Here are the numbers for storm #2: ARW: right around 0.5 NMM: <0.1 NAM: <0.1 SREF: 0.1 GFS: 0.1 GGEM: I heard 0.25-0.4 Euro: not really sure If someone could fill in the blanks for me that would be great. Thanks. I saw the Euro was .25-.5 for NYC Metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 2" here in north central NJ...and I am perfectly happy with what I got Now on to the next storm...tomorrow? The NAM, NMM, GFS, and SREF barely show anything for us up here, and I know the ARW, Euro, and GGEM are much better in terms of QPF. Here are the numbers for storm #2: ARW: right around 0.5 NMM: <0.1 NAM: <0.1 SREF: 0.1 GFS: 0.1 GGEM: I heard 0.25-0.4 Euro: not really sure If someone could fill in the blanks for me that would be great. Thanks. First thing's first, in Central NJ, I recieved 2.5" of snow. Pretty nice, and it's sticking to all of the trees and bushes. 12Z ARW was a real surprise for the area. It gives NYC 5-8" and Central NJ 6-10." While it is interesting to look at, it is not likely to occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Just a nice mini-event to watch unfold, heavy snow at one point in the City at 11 and 12, trees look beautiful with the wet snow. Just a nice sight to see the snow replenished across the area, and maybe more tomorrow, and next week as well. Just great to have snow like this over the last 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GooGoo Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Just measured 7 inches here in Danbury. All but 0.3 inches has fallen since 12:45. Zero visiblility between 2 and 3 pm. I-84 is a disaster, closed near Brewster and a parking lot in Danbury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 12Z ARW was a real surprise for the area. It gives NYC 5-8" and Central NJ 6-10." While it is interesting to look at, it is not likely to occur. Thats including today's event: Here is tomorrow's event by itself: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 334 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011 DEZ001-002-NJZ009-010-012>015-PAZ060-067>071-081000- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.110108T1500Z-110109T0600Z/ NEW CASTLE-KENT-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-BERKS-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE- PHILADELPHIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...FLEMINGTON... SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON... READING...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA... PHILADELPHIA 334 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE: SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: TWO TO FOUR INCHES. * TIMING: BEGINNING OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN DELAWARE BY AROUND 10 AM SATURDAY AND SPREADING NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ENDING EARLY IN THE EVENING OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN DELAWARE AND LATER IN THE EVENING ELSEWHERE. * IMPACTS: SNOW WILL STICK TO ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY UNTREATED ONES. SNOWFALL RATES WILL CAUSE THE VISIBILITY TO DROP TO OR BELOW ONE-HALF MILE ON OCCASION. DRIVING WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ DEZ003-004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-081000- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.110108T1200Z-110109T0300Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT- CAROLINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON... CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON 334 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE: SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: ONE TO THREE INCHES. * TIMING: BEGINNING AROUND DAYBREAK AND LASTING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS: SNOW WILL STICK TO UNTREATED ROADWAYS. SNOWFALL RATES WILL CAUSE THE VISIBILITY TO DROP TO OR BELOW ONE MILE ON OCCASION. DRIVING WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ016>027-081000- /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0001.110108T1500Z-110109T0600Z/ SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND- ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC- COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN... CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE... HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY... LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST 334 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE: SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: FOUR INCHES OR MORE. * TIMING: BEGINNING OVER FAR SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY BY AROUND 10 AM SATURDAY AND SPREADING NORTHEAST TO NEAR INTERSTATE 195 BY AROUND NOON. ENDING IN THE EVENING. * IMPACTS: SNOW WOULD STICK TO ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY BUT NOT EXCLUSIVELY UNTREATED ONES. SNOWFALL RATES WOULD CAUSE THE VISIBILITY TO DROP TO OR BELOW ONE-HALF MILE FOR A PERIOD OF TIME. DRIVING WOULD BECOME HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 the snowhole of Groton might do really well with that one-- I dont know if that .5-.75 area of qpf being here is all that likely though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lindywx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 currently getting that last heavy burst here, may finish up with 1/4" if I'm lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Tomorrow's setup for NYC/LI as well as N-NJ depends alot on how fast that offshore surface low develops if you ask me...notice on the 12Z and 18Z runs of the NAM the spoke of vorticity that rotates NE from DE into NJ suddenly goes east towards the surface low from 30-36 on the 12Z NAM and 24-30 on the 18Z NAM...if that energy were to continue rotating NNE up the coast then a period of moderate snow could hit the above mentioned areas...however that energy is more likely to continue eastward or to jump closer to the coastal low if it gets going faster, hence resulting in a dead zone between SNJ and E LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WebBreaker63 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 For Toms River Area from Mt Holly ..WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE: SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: FOUR INCHES OR MORE. * TIMING: BEGINNING OVER FAR SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY BY AROUND 10 AM SATURDAY AND SPREADING NORTHEAST TO NEAR INTERSTATE 195 BY AROUND NOON. ENDING IN THE EVENING. * IMPACTS: SNOW WOULD STICK TO ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY BUT NOT EXCLUSIVELY UNTREATED ONES. SNOWFALL RATES WOULD CAUSE THE VISIBILITY TO DROP TO OR BELOW ONE-HALF MILE FOR A PERIOD OF TIME. DRIVING WOULD BECOME HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 GGEM ensemble mean is close to Euro operational for tomorrow's event: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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