MikeS Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Euro has .25-.5 for the entire area tomorrow just like the WRF-ARW. The precip makes it all the way up to N NJ? If I remember correctly, the NAM only reached up to about TTN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 What area? I can guess a little. Just have to back out today's precip from the totals. But the entire area looks to get at least 2 inches tomorrow from the EC. What are you looking for? Do you have HPN? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 ARW's total precip from this storm and tomorrow's storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 wow dxr reports heavy snow and looking at radar there is some really heavy snow exploding over northern fairfield county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Yes it reaches southern NY state, just like the WRF-ARW. The precip makes it all the way up to N NJ? If I remember correctly, the NAM only reached up to about TTN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Pleasently surpised to hear that. Absolutely nothing but wet ground here in Hauppauge at my office. Had moderate snow for about 20 minutes, otherwise mostly light snow and snizzle. Hoping my house is doing as well as Port Jeff.. Similar here in Smithtown. Not snizzle, but lots of small poorly formed flakes right now. We are on our second coating of the day now, but the nice big flakes have ended for now. The band from about Bellport up to Mt Sinai that is a bit more broken now looked like it really meant business for a while. I can imagine a couple of inches fell somewhere along that line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 What town is that, sorry I don't know all the codes. Do you have HPN? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Keep in mind, the areas in PA and some other areas, this is actually the entire of tommorrow's storm because it already shows no precip at 12 hrs in many of those areas over PA. And the areas over NJ show .1-.25 precip after the first 12 hours so you have to back that out accordingly and translate this further east also. I gave estimates as best I could in my earlier post. Anyway, it looks very much similar to the EC. That gives you a rough idea of the path and intensity if you track the precip from Harrisburg East. Basically look at the cone shape from the PA, MD border north and east. That is the path and intensity and it intensifies more as you get into central NJ and especially along Long Island and coastal CT. ARW's total precip from this storm and tomorrow's storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 What town is that, sorry I don't know all the codes. HPN = White Plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 NYC east is getting hurt by surface temps. If this were a night time event, they would have 3"-4", just like Jersey. It might have been as bad or worse because you'd have had to lose all the solar heating obtained from the day...had it come in at 3 or 4am it would have been better, but not if it was within 6 hours of sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Snow was coming down pretty heavily at around 11-12 here in Midtown Manhattan, with big flakes, just a nice visual shot. Can't complain, everything is covered and white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Snow was coming down pretty heavily at around 11-12 here in Midtown Manhattan, with big flakes, just a nice visual shot. Can't complain, everything is covered and white. Just about over here with somewhere in the 4.5" range fallen...not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 That's about when snow started in PA and Western NJ. Even if snow started late afternoon/early evening it would have been better than mid to late morning I think It might have been as bad or worse because you'd have had to lose all the solar heating obtained from the day...had it come in at 3 or 4am it would have been better, but not if it was within 6 hours of sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Storm total of 3.75-4 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 31F mod occasionally heavy snow up in the HV over past hour. First decent intensity of the day. Flake size and variation for most of the morning suggested best lift below max dendritic growth zone. Vis was very low however despite mostly light snow. Past hour flake size has increased substantially with some dendrites but appears the aggregation is due to near freezing temps. Rough measure of ratios yields about 15:1, which is much better than during the blizzard. Refused to look at recent radar to enjoy what's falling to the max. Probably nearing 4" accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 NYC east is getting hurt by surface temps. If this were a night time event, they would have 3"-4", just like Jersey. We are getting hurt by lack of QPF, not surface temps. The ground is cold as evidenced by light snow sticking on the sidewalks/driveways with a temp of 34. If we got under precip with the same type of radar returns as NE NJ, we'd have the 3 - 4" also. That being said, this is a rather convective event in nature as many have been saying since last night and there will continue to be some areas that pick up a couple or a few inches while others close by get little. I was one of the last holdouts for the more organized Norlun type of scenario, but that isn't looking good. On the other hand...Saturday - Saturday night is really looking like something to watch. I'm still skeptical, but getting pretty interested. Snowing decently now here, but its basically been a scenario with off and on snowshowers that coat the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 nice band about to come into NYC..scratch that, it's here. Should round off today's bounty with a bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Had some steady light snow here earlier and just cloudy now with a temperature of 37 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 ARW really nails Central NJ with .5+ threw 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 My best guess is that it is showing about .25 precip for you for tommorrow's storm.. HPN = White Plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 looks like CT coast is getting slammed right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Thank you, that makes life easier, and this is only through 42 hrs? Can you please provide a link for this? ARW really nails Central NJ with .5+ threw 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Really nice band here, big wet flakes. But sadly the band is racing on through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Heh, not bad at all: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 My best guess is that it is showing about .25 precip for you for tommorrow's storm.. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
March58 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Almost 3" here in Greenwich, CT....I'm about 3 miles from KHPN. The heaviest snow appears to have blown up just to my east so I'm sure we'll see much heavier totals east of here..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 And this looks very much similar to the EC for us, just without the massive areas of precip in central Jersey, Long Island and coastal CT Heh, not bad at all: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Snowing nicely in Brooklyn sticking to sidewalks. It's funny that after the blizzard debacle all the sanitation and plows are going up and down every street, with nothing to do. This band looks nice but it looks very narrow. It's still nice to see though . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Hey! I was in Bayonne at a doctor's appointment but I just got back and measured and came up with a resounding 2.1". I don't know why people just to my NW are reporting almost double that. Unfortunately my snow board has been buried and I forgot to dig it out so I have been measuring in my backyard but yeah, I don't think we have over 2.5"... 2 inches here as well. Nice little event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Lgt Snow 4" Accumulation.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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