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NYC 1/7-1/8 Regional Discussion and Obs


Rib

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NYC east is getting hurt by surface temps. If this were a night time event, they would have 3"-4", just like Jersey.

Doubtful. Based on the radar, it's been spotty at best with the heavier snows. At home, still no accumulation anywhere and on/off snow. If the temp were colder, it might get us an inch at best.

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Big Flakes still and coming down at a nice clip in Jersey City. We are getting clipped by some 25 dbz's :thumbsup: .

Hey! I was in Bayonne at a doctor's appointment but I just got back and measured and came up with a resounding 2.1". I don't know why people just to my NW are reporting almost double that. Unfortunately my snow board has been buried and I forgot to dig it out so I have been measuring in my backyard but yeah, I don't think we have over 2.5"... :unsure:

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NYC east is getting hurt by surface temps. If this were a night time event, they would have 3"-4", just like Jersey.

I think the nam temp profile the other day showed that perfect-had the freezing line right on the NJ shore, where as to the north and east side of the inverted trough it was well inland...despite moderate snow here, only addding up on the cold surfaces-almost like a March event where it's just not cold enough...once past 3pm if it's still snowing at least the solar radiation will be out of the equation....

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Hey! I was in Bayonne at a doctor's appointment but I just got back and measured and came up with a resounding 2.1". I don't know why people just to my NW are reporting almost double that. Unfortunately my snow board has been buried and I forgot to dig it out so I have been measuring in my backyard but yeah, I don't think we have over 2.5"... :unsure:

I think they may be using the wipe off every 15 minutes technique. scooter.gif

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Hey! I was in Bayonne at a doctor's appointment but I just got back and measured and came up with a resounding 2.1". I don't know why people just to my NW are reporting almost double that. Unfortunately my snow board has been buried and I forgot to dig it out so I have been measuring in my backyard but yeah, I don't think we have over 2.5"... :unsure:

If you watched the radars all this morning, you can see the heaviest bands of snow was/is falling north slightly west and east of you.

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The WRF-ARW develops a 989 mb low about 50 miles off Cape May at 30 hrs, then deepens it to 987 mb at 33 hrs about 100 miles off Asbury Park, then at 36 hrs it develops a secondary low or broadens the original low and has two centers one about 150 miles offshore of Asbury Park at 986 mb and the second one about 20 miles off Asbury Park at 987mb , then it deepens that low to 985 mb about 50 miles offshore of Asbury Park, then deepens to a 983mb about 100 miles off Asbury Park, it then deepens it to a 982mb near the Benchmark at 45 hrs. Precip wise it brings an area from about Harrisburg to Baltimore, all of Eastern PA, all of NJ, all of CT, and SE NY state at least 3-4 inches of snow tomorrow, with possibly a bit more in Central NJ and possibly even more than that on Long Island maybe around 6 inches or so, and coastal CT could get a foot according to the WRF-ARW.

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The WRF-ARW develops a 989 mb low about 50 miles off Cape May at 30 hrs, then deepens it to 987 mb at 33 hrs about 100 miles off Asbury Park, then at 36 hrs it develops a secondary low or broadens the original low and has two centers one about 150 miles offshore of Asbury Park at 986 mb and the second one about 20 miles off Asbury Park at 987mb , then it deepens that low to 985 mb about 50 miles offshore of Asbury Park, then deepens to a 983mb about 100 miles off Asbury Park, it then deepens it to a 982mb near the Benchmark at 45 hrs. Precip wise it brings an area from about Harrisburg to Baltimore, all of Eastern PA, all of NJ, all of CT, and SE NY state at least 3-4 inches of snow tomorrow, with possibly a more in Central NJ and possibly even more than that on Long Island maybe around 6 inches or so, and coastal CT could get a foot according to the WRF-ARW.

map?

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Doubtful. Based on the radar, it's been spotty at best with the heavier snows. At home, still no accumulation anywhere and on/off snow. If the temp were colder, it might get us an inch at best.

agreed...but you had to have seen this coming. on the south shore of LI we NEVER do good in these situations....i would have bet the ground wouldnt have even been whitened from this....

steve d had the best forecast....6" with isolated 12" on LI....lol

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The WRF-ARW develops a 989 mb low about 50 miles off Cape May at 30 hrs, then deepens it to 987 mb at 33 hrs about 100 miles off Asbury Park, then at 36 hrs it develops a secondary low or broadens the original low and has two centers one about 150 miles offshore of Asbury Park at 986 mb and the second one about 20 miles off Asbury Park at 987mb , then it deepens that low to 985 mb about 50 miles offshore of Asbury Park, then deepens to a 983mb about 100 miles off Asbury Park, it then deepens it to a 982mb near the Benchmark at 45 hrs. Precip wise it brings an area from about Harrisburg to Baltimore, all of Eastern PA, all of NJ, all of CT, and SE NY state at least 3-4 inches of snow tomorrow, with possibly a more in Central NJ and possibly even more than that on Long Island maybe around 6 inches or so, and coastal CT could get a foot according to the WRF-ARW.

This is just for tommorow? Or does this include accumulations from today.

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Todays storm should forever put to rest the sun angle theory.Temps and not sun angle that make the difference.I have seen snow in March and April stick with no problem with temps 32 or below and days like today in early JAN where a degree or 2 above freezing means mostly wet surfaces.

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