ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Will, do you think it could be that strong, with that kind of wind and cold weather? That was an amazingly dynamic storm! Intense low pressure, high winds, Nantucket got like 32" of snow and there was a wide area of a foot plus amounts. Never predict a strom that strong at this time range, but there could def be a good system. The potential is obviously high, but it could also completely miss us. There is reason for some optimism though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Euro/GGEM/Gapper all big hits....Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Some locations are just going to be piling up snow over the next several days...SW CT already nearing 30'' in many locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 GFS ensemble mean brings the storm between ACK and the BM, but nearly over the BM...just slightly NW....the Euro ens mean had it over ACK. GFS ens mean brings big qpf to SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I think the ots option is off the table imo. If anything it may come close to the coast imo, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I think the ots option is off the table imo. If anything it may come close to the coast imo, but we'll see. AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I think the ots option is off the table imo. If anything it may come close to the coast imo, but we'll see. After this weekend dabacle this would be welcomed here, I'll take the 00z euro track right now please..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I think the ots option is off the table imo. If anything it may come close to the coast imo, but we'll see. If it tracks over the canal and into the GOM, it'll go a long way towards redeeming this season for me. I'm a junkie looking for a fix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 If it tracks over the canal and into the GOM, it'll go a long way towards redeeming this season for me. I'm a junkie looking for a fix. Yeah, We really are behind on snowfall for the season here, There are a lot of people struggling because of it financially..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Even if this tracks near and se of ACK, the 500 circulation is huge, so snow would be able to spread pretty far nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Even if this tracks near and se of ACK, the 500 circulation is huge, so snow would be able to spread pretty far nw. this has a pretty good chc for most of the region i think. at this point, the only thing that probably spares me from a complete rain event is the seasonal trend of the block to (hopefully) keep this a hair to my southeast. but i'd feel good if i was anywhere in SNE and up into NNE really, right now. does look fairly progressive so i wouldn't expect a blockbuster but who knows. there were some hints in earlier runs of trying to slow it down too. plenty of time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Even if this tracks near and se of ACK, the 500 circulation is huge, so snow would be able to spread pretty far nw. That's good to hear. I'd really like to see a radar shot like that one from HVN yesterday over my luxurious villa. Neverending conveyor of 30dBZ+ FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Well, this thread has an upbeat tone. Let's think snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Well, this thread has an upbeat tone. Let's think snow. Naked snowball fights at 2K on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Euro has a huge torch at 240h. What happened to the siberian intrusion that had been modeled last week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukon Cornelius Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Nice to wake up and read some good optimism for this week's system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 GFS ensemble mean brings the storm between ACK and the BM, but nearly over the BM...just slightly NW....the Euro ens mean had it over ACK. GFS ens mean brings big qpf to SNE. Some of those GFS members were really nice eye candy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 What happened to the siberian intrusion that had been modeled last week? eh..it was modeled on yesterday's 12z euro run so this is a big shift in 12 hours. LOL. we'll see how it goes. the one thing is there is a lot of super cold coming down into the plains of canada...if that bottles up over that way, the natural response might be to moderate things a bit out our way...we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Well, this thread has an upbeat tone. Let's think snow. My crappy ability of reading maps notwithstanding, the ensmebles really made me simile along with the ops GFS/EC. Hey--will I need to fire up the snowblower when I get home tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Well for once this seems like an easier storm to predict. The pattern isn't quite so anomalous, the storm has been on the maps for 5 days already with the usual variations. It has felt to me like a close to the coast track for awhile now. Hopefully this will be the more typical New England coastal snow storm. I see the HPC prelim graphics are right in the middle of the guidance just barely outside the benchmark and progressive. Trying hard not to get sucked in but I think this has true promise as a long-tracked we know its comin classic snowstorm where the only things to figure out are how far into the interior gets good snow, does the coast have mixing issues wheres the dryslot and who get jackpotted. I like those kinda storms. Gonna pull out Kocin and look at Mar 60 shortly. As I write this it has actually started to snow, more than those little teeny lonely flurries, actual flakes that might stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 BTW, this is not a miller a so the thread title should be changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 HPC 5 day has a nice look to it considering the track just outside the BM looks like a new england snowstorm with everything a shot for warning criteria http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i12.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 Good overnight runs of the models. Let's see if the 12z runs continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 DT calling for a complete miss lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 My crappy ability of reading maps notwithstanding, the ensmebles really made me simile along with the ops GFS/EC. Hey--will I need to fire up the snowblower when I get home tomorrow? I'm about to but I'm lazy. About 4" of fluff so maybe a bit more iyby. You could use a leaf blower on this stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 DT calling for a complete miss lol No sh*t??? Why? How much snow'd you get, Kevin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I'm about to but I'm lazy. About 4" of fluff so maybe a bit more iyby. You could use a leaf blower on this stuff. Thanks, Chris. Is that your report on the PNS? If that's all there is, I'd be tempted to just leave it except for what might come into Wed. Would rather start from a relatviely clear drive for anything significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 No sh*t??? Why? How much snow'd you get, Kevin? Becasue it's missing the mid atlantic so he's upset 4 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 06z DGEX takes the low right over GON to BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Becasue it's missing the mid atlantic so he's upset 4 inches Lol. Didn't he have NYC getting 16" yesterday? (I know--that was his first guess, so I'm joking). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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