weatherMA Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Be prepared to be disappointed if you are putting any stock in that system for the time being... Regardless of what those products are indicating, the correction vector does not favor a stem wound slow mover. The height distribution throughout the lower MV-Gulf and SW Atlanic Basin isn't configured properly for trough amplitude near the MA. It is interesting to me that the models persistently do this. They model heights around 582 over MIA with 50-70kts of wind over the entire SE 500mb surface, and then try to run a trough through there while deepening it - clue: almost never works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 18z GFS is LOLZ. :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 LOL http://www.meteo.psu...z/dgexloop.html laugh of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 laugh of the day finally a solution that makes sense, although it appears jayhawk is snagging our best snow and we are in the screw zone in a relative sense. Well at least that would get to near our seasonal norm for mid Jan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 laugh of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I'm concerned about what John said.....DT feels the same way; it's easy to slap him with a weenie en route to whacking it to the 18z GFS, but I see no rebuttal to his analysis. The 18z GFS doesn't even look impressive to me....looks like another inverted trough of fail. EC and GFS ens are encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I get deformed by the men. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Looks like I have been running the DGEX from my basement; it spit out an exact match to 1978 last week, now March 2001. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Looks like I have been running the DGEX from my basement; it spit out an exact match to 1978 last week, now March 2001. It's coming Ray, hovmoller charts for the Snowy Win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Almost a 0% chance this slides OTS. Gibbs says it coming BTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Almost a 0% chance this slides OTS. Gibbs says it coming BTW strongly agree at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Almost a 0% chance this slides OTS. Gibbs says it coming BTW I sure as hell hope so - this weekend shafting is not pleasant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 This storm next week has a 80% chance of being a big one.....Watch the h5 dive in and get closed off as we get closer. PNA spike will help it mature.... Good night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Lot's of win at 51 hours on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 0Z GFS is a coastal hit......nice to see the operational buckle under the weight of the Nogaps lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Anyone south of the st. Lawrence seaway is still in the game on this one...lol. Too far out there to get overly invested though. Could be a more traditional classic event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 As far a SLP development, this needs to close off faster that currently shown on the 00z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 0Z GFS is a coastal hit......nice to see the operational buckle under the weight of the Nogaps lol Still looks pretty weak on the GFS...it does get some modest precip into the region. I'd rather see it look more like the NAM did at 84h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 Still looks pretty weak on the GFS...it does get some modest precip into the region. I'd rather see it look more like the NAM did at 84h. As long as the threat is still there, which it is, it's pointless to get into too much specifics. I agree on the 84h NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Well at least the NOGAPS is producing a huge storm again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Looks like a classic EC bomb to me....that pacific shortwave will crumble under the weight of the block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 GGEM is a nice pounding...esp for the coastal areas where its a really big hit, but it looks like everyone gets warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Euro is well NW of the 12z run through 102. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Big SNE hit at 108 just inside the BM. Good snow for the interior too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Euro looks ideal for us. Low really starting to crank at 102h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 984mb moving E of MA at 114hr. Nice run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Euro looks ideal for us. Low really starting to crank at 102h. Gonna pull a Phil, too early to get my expectations up....... Nah, FIYAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH game on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 CCB croaks the eastern half of SNE....BOS gets almost an inch of qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 984mb moving E of MA at 114hr. Nice run. QPF please Mr Dendrite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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