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Coastal Storm Potential - Jan 11-12


Baroclinic Zone

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Be prepared to be disappointed if you are putting any stock in that system for the time being... Regardless of what those products are indicating, the correction vector does not favor a stem wound slow mover.

The height distribution throughout the lower MV-Gulf and SW Atlanic Basin isn't configured properly for trough amplitude near the MA.

It is interesting to me that the models persistently do this. They model heights around 582 over MIA with 50-70kts of wind over the entire SE 500mb surface, and then try to run a trough through there while deepening it - clue: almost never works out.

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Be prepared to be disappointed if you are putting any stock in that system for the time being... Regardless of what those products are indicating, the correction vector does not favor a stem wound slow mover.

The height distribution throughout the lower MV-Gulf and SW Atlanic Basin isn't configured properly for trough amplitude near the MA.

It is interesting to me that the models persistently do this. They model heights around 582 over MIA with 50-70kts of wind over the entire SE 500mb surface, and then try to run a trough through there while deepening it - clue: almost never works out.

LOL

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