DomNH Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Hopefully the pertinent frames are out soon...I'm just about dozing off at the computer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Hopefully the pertinent frames are out soon...I'm just about dozing off at the computer. Its out to 48... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This run...(my guess from 60 hours) will be more wrapped up and closer in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Actually it's pretty close....66 vs 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I like how this is a hybrid Miller A/B. Tells me it's going to be a really juicy system with Gulf moisture and a nasty 500mb closed low racing east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Mean looking closed 5h low at 78h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This is going to be a great run! A tad slower so the system may be able to stack better and hang around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Over the BM at 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This is going to be a great run! A tad slower so the system may be able to stack better and hang around. Yeah it's gonna be a doozy Nice to see this showing up in the 72-84 hour range on the Euro and with good ensemble support!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Looks like a blizzard on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This is going to be a great run! A tad slower so the system may be able to stack better and hang around. Agree Edit: Actually not as good for here as the low jumps east and gives Maine a scraper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 QPF look good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Slightly SE of the 12z run. Not great for NNE. Still time though for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Almost all of SNE gets crushed on the Euro. Juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 QPF look good? Maybe a hair under 0.75" for you. 0.50" makes up to around MHT. 0.25" up this way. 1"+ basically ORH points south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Given the consistency on the Euro.....3 runs going...and the concordance relatively speaking of other guidance, I am justified in starting to get excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Looks like most of the eastern half of SNE gets an inch plus of liquid equiv...esp BOS-ORH southward. The northern extent is not quite as far north as some other guidance...but there's a lot of time to figure out details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Sounds like kind of a meh run up here, but plenty of time to ramp things up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Sounds like kind of a meh run up here, but plenty of time to ramp things up. 0.75" on the NW edge isn't a bad thing if it's mostly banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Sounds like kind of a meh run up here, but plenty of time to ramp things up. I suspect this will trend closer in ...hopefully not too much so but probably enough for you to have some fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 0.75" on the NW edge isn't a bad thing if it's mostly banding. I'm feeling Ray-ish tonight for whatever reason. Time for bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 awesome.. nite everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 That type of solution would destroy BOS/PVD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 That type of solution would destroy BOS/PVD. Notice the hang back light snow for another day +. Another little lobe comes through? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Wow it just doesn't stop snowing....lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I'm feeling Ray-ish tonight for whatever reason. Time for bed. Sometimes being in the max QPF isn't always the best place to be. Heck, aside from S of BOS, look at the Boxing Day blizz. The models often struggle with the outer mesoscale banding. I'd love to be where you're sitting right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Notice the hang back light snow for another day +. Another little lobe comes through? Yeah its basically the back end of the ULL taking its time to leave. Would be some mood snow the day after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 too bad it's pretty progressive. Will definitely limit QPF which is one reason I'm not gung ho about a large swath of 12+" like DT is suggesting. I'll put together a map in the morning, but right now I'm thinking 6-10" for central and southern New England with a small stripe of 10"+ near/east of ORH Someone is going to get well over 1' in a 12 hr period.....it doesn't need to stall to drop that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Sometimes being in the max QPF isn't always the best place to be. Heck, aside from S of BOS, look at the Boxing Day blizz. The models often struggle with the outer mesoscale banding. I'd love to be where you're sitting right now. Yeah there's nothing wrong with being like 40 miles NW of the max on a model run right now. The 5h low is very healthy looking as its deepening when it cross S so I suspect the precip shield would look awesome....not too many holes in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Yeah its basically the back end of the ULL taking its time to leave. Would be some mood snow the day after. Sometimes those ULL snows are surprisingly robust. In any case...fabulous run for this area. Overall a good 0Z suite for most. This storm should be adjusted west some from the Euro position considering other guidance and ensembles. We'll see what Euro ens has. But Euro has been consistent for days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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